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超微电脑 (SMCI.US) 2026财年第二季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Achieved record $12.68B revenue, 120-123% YoY growth, focusing on TCPP solutions to enhance profitability. Addresses margin pressures with strategic pricing, customer diversification, and capital investment. Anticipates continued AI infrastructure demand, expects Q3 net sales of at least $12.3B, full-year revenue of at least $40B, and improved margins. Secures additional capital, optimizes cash flow, and expands TCPP and DCBBS offerings.
会议速览
Supermicro's Fiscal Year 2026 Q2 & Full Year Financial Results and Outlook
The call discusses Supermicro's fiscal year 2026 second quarter and full year financial results, providing guidance for Q3 and full fiscal year. It highlights non-GAAP financial measures, emphasizing their role in evaluating the company's operating performance, while noting risks and uncertainties affecting future results. The presentation includes a Q&A session for sell-side analysts, with a reminder of the upcoming third quarter fiscal 2026 quiet period.
Super Micro's Robust Q2 Growth and Strategic Shifts in AI Infrastructure
Super Micro reports record Q2 revenue, emphasizing AI and large-scale systems demand. Despite margin pressures, the company outlines strategies including TCPP solutions, global manufacturing expansion, and enterprise focus to drive long-term growth and profitability. Guidance for Q3 and full-year revenue is revised upward, reflecting confidence in market trends and product innovations.
Record Q2 Revenue, Driven by AI Solutions, and Q3 Outlook for FY26
Announced record Q2 revenue of $12.7B, up 123% YoY, led by AI GPU platforms. Forecasted Q3 revenue of at least $12.3B, with improved gross margins and capital expenditure guidance.
Q&A Session Highlights Q4 Margin Improvements and FY26 Guidance
Discussion covers Q4 margin expansion, operational efficiency, and FY26 revenue guidance implications, addressing concerns on sequential moderation and market conservatism.
P CPP's Impact on Revenues and Gross Margins in the Data Center Industry
A new product line, P CPP, introduced six months ago, is gaining traction with customers seeking efficient data center solutions. It contributed 4% to profits in the first half, with expectations of growing to a double-digit contribution by year-end, positively impacting overall gross margins.
Component Supply & Customer Demand: Navigating DCPD Growth and Global TCPP Adoption
Discusses how improved component availability could boost DCPD numbers beyond the 40 billion target, while highlighting global TCPP solution demand as a catalyst for expanding customer support and easing data center construction across various geographies.
Investments and Growth in DC BBS: Expanding Capabilities and Enhancing Profit Margins
The dialogue discusses investments in DC BBS to enhance data center solutions, aiming for a double-digit profit share by 2026. It highlights the development of a comprehensive product line, including items like ACD and solar air, with plans for further expansion. The conversation also touches on the superior margin profile of DC BBS compared to traditional sales, emphasizing the unique, optimized solutions provided, which are expected to yield margins over 20%.
Analysis of Gross Margins, Component Shortages, and Supermicro's Market Leadership in AI and Data Center Solutions
The dialogue delves into the impact of increased costs, component shortages, and investments on gross margins, alongside Supermicro's strategy to lead in AI and data center solutions. It highlights the company's commitment to providing optimized, one-stop-shop solutions, addressing global customer needs, and its confidence in maintaining a competitive edge through early market introductions and robust engineering capabilities.
Revenue Growth and Customer Commitment: A Focus on Major Clients and Contract Progress
The dialogue discusses the impact of a significant customer contributing to revenue growth, the potential for sustained engagement, and the ramp-up of a large contract with Data Vault, highlighting the strengthening of total solutions and broad customer base.
Revenue Diversification and Growth Outlook in the Second Half of Fiscal Year
Speakers discuss the expectation of significant revenue diversification in the second half of the fiscal year, highlighting the increase in large-scale customers and the growth in PCP and solar air. They express confidence in a healthy revenue growth trajectory, despite potential customer schedule shifts.
Strategies for Accelerated Growth and Platform Transition Progress
Discussed strategies to increase cash for faster growth, emphasizing a diversified customer base and high-value solutions. Mentioned progress on transitioning to Vera Rubin and Helios systems, noting customer interest and readiness for delivery, contingent on partner availability.
Strategies for Enhancing Customer Base Diversity and Advancements in Data Center Solutions
The dialogue focuses on strategies to increase the percentage of smaller and mid-sized enterprise customers in the sales mix, aiming for a more diversified customer base. It also discusses opportunities for differentiation in the upcoming data center upgrade cycle, emphasizing a comprehensive solution approach to optimize data center video power solutions, aiming for quicker, more reliable, and cost-effective management, with potential innovations in energy consumption and grid power replacement.
Engineering Company's Strategy for Enhanced Sales Growth and Margins Amid Pricing Challenges
Discussed factors influencing sales growth and margins, emphasizing aggressive pricing, order catch-up, and strategic market expansion. Long-term outlook includes aiming for double-digit margins, leveraging technology and broad market reach.
Analysis of Working Capital, Interest Income Growth, and Capital Adequacy for Future Expansion
The discussion centered around the company's working capital status, highlighting the increase in interest income due to higher cash reserves and explaining how growing accounts receivable and inventory led to capital usage. It also addressed the adequacy of current capital for future needs, emphasizing the access to additional funds and the focus on repeat customers for business growth.
Conference Call Recap: Technical Difficulties, Share Count Increase, and Logo Additions
The dialogue covered updates on adding multiple logos, referencing a 10 KS and QS document, and addressing technical issues with the webcast provider. It also clarified a share count increase from 663 to 694 million shares, with plans for a replay after the call for those affected by the technical difficulties.
要点回答
Q:What are the expectations for Q3 and full-year revenue?
A:The company expects Q3 GAAP diluted net income per share of at least 52 cents and non GAAP diluted net income per share of at least 60 cents. They anticipate net sales to be at least $12.3 billion. For the full year, they expect at least $40 billion in net sales.
Q:What was the Q2 revenue and how was it affected by customer readiness?
A:Q2 fiscal year 26 revenue was $12.7 billion, up 123% year over year and up sequentially. It included approximately $1.5 billion in delayed Q1 shipments due to customer readiness. Growth was driven by the rapid ramp and deployment of their AI solutions.
Q:How is the breakdown of revenue across different segments and geographies?
A:Revenue was divided into an enterprise channel revenue segment of $2 billion (16% of total revenue) and an OEM appliance and large data center segment revenue of $10.7 billion (84% of Q2 revenue). Geographically, the U.S. represented 86% of Q2 revenue, with Asia up 53%, Europe down 63%, and the rest of the world up 77% year over year.
Q:What were the main factors affecting Q2 non GAAP gross margin?
A:Q2 non GAAP gross margin was 6.4%, down from 9.5% in Q1, impacted by customer and product mix, as well as higher freight production and expedite costs.
Q:What were the changes in Q2 operating expenses and non GAAP operating margin?
A:Q2 operating expenses were $324 million, up sequentially and year over year. Non GAAP operating margin for Q2 was 4.5%, compared to 5.4% in Q1.
Q:What was the cash flow used in operations for Q2, and how does it compare to the prior quarter?
A:Q2 cash flow used in operations was $24 million, compared to $918 million in the prior quarter. Q2 operating cash flow reflected higher net income, offset by higher accounts receivable and inventory levels, and aided by higher accounts payables.
Q:What was the balance sheet position at the end of the December quarter and Q2?
A:At the end of the December quarter, the company had a cash position of $4.1 billion in bank and convertible no debt of $4.9 billion, resulting in a net debt position of $707 million. In Q2, the net debt position increased to $779 million.
Q:What is the projected Q3 financial outlook?
A:The projected Q3 GAAP diluted net income per share is at least 52 cents and non GAAP diluted net income per share of at least 60 cents. The company expects net sales to be at least $12.3 billion, with GAAP operating expenses around $354 million, including $74 million in stock-based compensation.
Q:What factors are expected to improve the profitability and gross margin?
A:The customer mix is improving with more large-scale customers, which will enhance profitability. The costs associated with expedite transportation for the December quarter are anticipated to decline as the product matures. Additionally, the negative impact of tariffs is expected to improve, and the Net Price Per Server (NPS) is increasing, which will affect gross margin positively.
Q:Is the company entering a period of not only gross margin expansion but also structural Opex dollar leverage?
A:Yes, the company is entering a period of not only gross margin expansion but also structural Opex dollar leverage. This is indicated by the reduction of expedite transportation costs and the maturing product line, which will positively affect the operating margin.
Q:How does the full year guidance of $40 billion and the implied Edqm impact the expectations for the upcoming quarters?
A:The full year guidance of $40 billion for fiscal year 2026, when backed into the implied Edqm, suggests significant quarter-over-quarter moderation. The conservative number indicates that, if the business continues to grow, especially with the increase in power consumption reduction and data center reliability, the guidance may be exceeded if supply constraints improve.
Q:What contribution does the Data Center Building Blocks (DC BBS) make to overall profits and how is its trajectory expected to change?
A:DC BBS contributed about 4% to total profits in the first half of the fiscal year. It is forecasted to increase its contribution to double digits by the end of the calendar year. This is due to the product line's quick growth, as more customers are attracted by the benefits of building data centers with DC BBS.
Q:How will the potential increase in supply impact the revenue numbers if supply constraints are alleviated?
A:If supply constraints were alleviated, the revenue numbers could be higher than the current expectations. The conservative approach taken in the forecast is due to the ongoing shortage situation in the market. However, the demand for data centers is strong globally, and any improvement in supply would likely result in increased revenue.
Q:What investments are being made to expand the capabilities for the new DC BBS?
A:Investments have been made in developing the TCPP (Data Center Building Blocks), which began about 12 months ago. So far, there are about 10 items available, and another 2-3 items are expected to be introduced in the next few months or quarters. This development will make the data center building process more complete and easy for customers.
Q:What is the expected margin profile for the Data Center Building Blocks (DC BBS)?
A:The margin profile for DC BBS is expected to be much higher than the company's typical large cloud and G services margin. This is because DC BBS is a unique solution that is specifically designed, vetted, and optimized for customers, leading to better margins exceeding more than 20%.
Q:What factors impacted gross margins in the December quarter and what is expected in the March quarter?
A:Higher transportation and expedite costs due to increased demand and the ramp-up of new technologies for mesh shipments impacted gross margins in the December quarter. The exact impact on margins in the March quarter was not quantified, but it is mentioned that the company has had component shortages which are affecting the AI and large data center demand. The company is being conservative in its guidance for these shortages.
Q:Are component shortages impacting data center demand and what type of customers is the DC Bvs product aimed at?
A:Component shortages are mainly due to the strong growth in demand for AI and large data centers, and not because of production capacity issues. This indicates growth within the industry and the company's position as part of major growth companies. The component cost increase is a real factor impacting the business, but it's not expected to hurt the company too much. The DC Bvs product is aimed at a global market with varied data center needs, including large scale, mid-size scale, and small scale customers, offering them a one-stop shop solution or the option to buy everything for themselves.
Q:Is Super Micro expected to continue bringing products to the market one generation faster, and how will this affect power efficiency?
A:Super Micro is expected to continue bringing products to the market one generation faster due to their strong engineering background and large engineering team, allowing them to make a total solution one generation or six months earlier than others. This will help customers build data centers and cloud AI platforms more quickly. The power efficiency advantages will be maintained as a result of these advancements.
Q:Will the large 10% customer remain a substantial part of the revenue growth in the March quarter and how is the Data vault contract progressing?
A:The 10% customer was a significant driver of upside in the quarter and is expected to remain substantial, possibly as a plus percent customer in the March quarter. The Data vault contract, signed six or nine months prior, is starting to ramp up as the company's foundation strengthens and their total solution for data centers gains more broad customer adoption.
Q:Is revenue expected to diversify significantly in the second half of fiscal 2023?
A:Revenue is expected to grow quickly with the addition of more large-scale customers, making the customer base more diversified. The company is on a healthy track with revenue expected to grow rapidly. Although it's challenging to predict due to customer schedule shifts, the overall growth is anticipated to continue in the June quarters.
Q:Can you provide visibility into the timing and volume of orders for the upcoming platform transitions to Vera Rubin and the Helios system?
A:The company has many highly interested customers and some are already engaged. They hope to deliver as soon as possible, pending when their partners' solution is ready. They are working closely with partners and have received some good commitments from customers for these systems.
Q:Are smaller customers expected to become a greater percentage of sales?
A:The speaker's question and the reason for the inquiry are unclear from the provided text. However, the text does not directly address the expected percentage of sales from smaller customers versus larger ones. The discussion does not provide any color on the changing customer mix or the impact of larger customers' pricing leverage on smaller customers' sales.
Q:What is the company's strategy for increasing customer diversity?
A:The company is focusing on growing its enterprise, middle-sized, and even larger enterprise customers as part of its strategy to increase customer diversity.
Q:What opportunities are there for differentiation in the next cycle of upgrades?
A:The company aims to drive greater differentiation in the next cycle of upgrades by providing a complete solution that optimizes the whole data center and video power solution for customers, which includes easy management and lower energy consumption.
Q:What factors contributed to the change in sales growth and margins?
A:The change in sales growth and margins could be a reflection of a tougher pricing environment, winning back share, and orders being pushed out in previous quarters. The exact cause is not explicitly stated in the provided text.
Q:How should one think about gross margins going forward?
A:The company expects gross margins to grow to a double-digit ratio as soon as possible, reflecting its strategy to continue growing larger accounts, develop technology, and reach a broader market including large-scale, smaller scale, and mid-tier customers.
Q:What is the reason for the significant other income compared to guidance?
A:The other income came in about 50% million dollars above the guidance due to higher interest income from growing cash reserves. This was partially offset by increased investments in accounts receivable and inventory.
Q:Will the company have access to additional capital for future growth?
A:The company has access to additional capital through various means, including credit facilities, and currently believes it has adequate capital to meet its needs for the current outlook.
Q:What is the customer renewal rate, and how does it relate to the new customer acquisitions?
A:The customer renewal rate is 63%, and the company has added a lot of new logos alongside the renewal of existing customers. However, whether the 63% renewal rate is from previous 10% customers is not confirmed in the provided text.
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