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耐克 (NKE.US) 2026财年第二季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Nike reported mixed Q2 fiscal 2026 results, highlighting North America's growth in running, basketball, and training, while facing ongoing challenges in China. The company is focusing on athlete-centered innovation, product diversification, and operational efficiencies to achieve sustainable, profitable growth, with leadership changes aimed at improving decision-making. Despite pressure on gross margins due to tariffs and inventory liquidation, Nike remains confident in its path forward, aiming to return to double-digit EBIT margins and sharing progress in upcoming quarters.
会议速览
Nike's Q2 Fiscal 2026 Results Conference Call: Forward-Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Measures
The call, led by VP of Corporate Finance, opens with an invitation to review Nike's Q2 fiscal 2026 press release. It highlights forward-looking statements, non-GAAP measures, and reconciliation details, emphasizing year-over-year comparisons in currency-neutral terms.
Nike's CEO Highlights Progress Amid Challenges, Emphasizes Sport Offense and Global Expansion
The CEO acknowledges team efforts, outlines Win Now actions and Sport Offense strategy, highlights North America's leadership, and emphasizes global market engagement for growth.
Revitalizing Nike's Global Strategy: A City-by-City, Partner-by-Partner Approach
Nike's strategy focuses on strengthening partnerships, adapting to unique market conditions, and leveraging local teams to inspire consumers, with a special emphasis on North America's success and China's potential. The company aims to drive profitable growth by refining its approach in key geographies, enhancing brand and sport-specific marketing, and ensuring every detail contributes to a superior consumer experience.
Nike's Diversified Product Portfolio and Innovation Pipeline Fuel Growth Amidst Challenges
Nike's strategy focuses on a diversified product portfolio through footwear, apparel, and equipment innovations. Despite facing pressures on margins due to market cleanup efforts and tariffs, Nike remains committed to expanding its product innovation pipeline. The company introduces new platforms like Nike Mind for performance preparation, aerospa for enhanced apparel, and continues scaling successful collections internationally. Leadership changes, including a new COO role, aim to improve operational efficiency and profitability. Despite challenges, Nike's order book is improving, and significant investments are being made in marketing and product development to inspire consumers and elevate the brand.
Nike's Progress in Recovery: Running Strong, Managing Tariffs, and Rebuilding Brands
Reflecting on a year since Eliott joined, Nike showcases recovery in running and digital sectors, though faces challenges in Greater China and Converse, alongside $1.2 billion annual product cost hikes from tariffs, aiming for sustained growth and margin improvement.
Nike's Financial Performance and Wind Now Strategy Impact Across Geographies
The dialogue discusses Nike's financial results, highlighting a year-over-year increase driven by higher brand marketing expenses, partially offset by lower operating overhead. It outlines progress in North America, focusing on the Wind Now strategy, which has led to profitability recovery and sustainable growth. Key points include strong wholesale growth, improvements in Nike Direct, and a focus on premium offerings. The discussion also touches on inventory management, tax rate changes, and regional performance, emphasizing disciplined cost management and strategic actions for future growth.
Performance Growth Amidst Regional Declines and Inventory Challenges in EMEA and Greater China
Despite robust growth in performance and sportswear, particularly in Central and Eastern Europe, EMEA and Greater China face challenges with inventory management and declining store traffic. Nike's focus shifts to enhancing brand distinction through sport and innovation, leveraging local insights for premium market integration.
Revitalizing Nike's Premium Position in China Through Strategic Initiatives
Addressing the impact of off-price sales and higher markdowns, Nike focused on sport innovation and retail presentation, achieving better traffic and sales growth in their initial store pilot, particularly in running, to strengthen its premium positioning in the Greater China market.
Strategies for Reducing Inventory and Enhancing Brand Momentum in Integrated Marketplaces
The dialogue outlines strategies implemented to reduce Nike inventory by mid-teens and 20% in units, cutting sell-in plans for spring and summer buys to improve sell-through and full-price realization. It emphasizes the need for further shifts in the integrated marketplace, scaling the momentum of initial store pilots, elevating brands across digital platforms, and clearing excess product to break existing management cycles.
Nike's Q2 Revenue Decline Amid Headwinds, Outlook for Low Single-Digit Q3 Decline
Nike faced revenue challenges in Q2, with declines across various segments, particularly in Asia Pacific. Despite efforts to manage inventory and leverage promotions, overall revenue and EBIT decreased. Looking ahead, Nike anticipates low single-digit revenue decline in Q3, driven by modest growth in North America and impacts from tariffs and foreign exchange, with strategies aimed at long-term brand health.
Progress in Investments and Brand Health Amid Economic Recovery
The dialogue outlines financial expectations including dollar appreciation and expense management, highlighting investments in sports and North America to support brand recovery and long-term health.
Earning Greatness: Rebuilding Brands and Embracing Perseverance
Focuses on operationalizing sports offenses, rebuilding key city teams, and enhancing profitability. Highlights the Dodgers' World Series win as a lesson in perseverance, trust, and making bold decisions. Emphasizes the importance of leaning on each other, staying focused on fundamentals, and making hard calls to achieve long-term success, paralleling Nike's current challenges and goals.
Nike's Turnaround Progress and Margin Improvements Amid Global Challenges
The dialogue highlights Nike's progress in its turnaround strategy, emphasizing growth in North America and the effectiveness of its 'Win Now' actions and 'Sport Offense' initiatives. It discusses the varying pace of recovery across different geographies and product segments, with China facing the longest road ahead. The conversation also touches on margin improvements, particularly in North America, despite headwinds from new tariffs, and outlines expectations for future margin expansion, indicating a focus on sustainable growth.
Navigating Global Growth and Market Challenges with Strategic Brand Diversification and Regional Focus
A global company discusses its strategy for achieving sustainable growth by diversifying product portfolios across multiple brands, geographies, and sports. The company highlights its progress in North America, confidence in driving modest wholesale growth, and the need for flexibility in addressing challenges in Greater China. The approach involves small, cross-functional teams operating at different timelines to create beautiful products and capitalize on integrated market opportunities.
Path to Double-Digit EBIT Margins and Recovery in China Market
Discussed strategies for achieving double-digit EBIT margins through growth, efficiency improvements, and cost management. Also addressed China's market challenges, highlighting recovery efforts and the impact of inventory clean-up.
Revitalizing Nike's Premium Position in China's Sportswear Market
Nike is redefining its strategy in China by focusing on sport rather than lifestyle, cleaning up aged product, and enhancing retail presentation. Early successes are noted, but more work is needed to restore Nike's premium and innovative brand image in the Chinese market.
Growth Phasing and Distribution Strategy in Retail Verticals
A discussion on the phased growth of retail verticals highlights strong market acceptance and innovation across all sectors. The focus is on achieving rapid growth in certain areas while maintaining a steady pace in others. Regarding North America, the strategy emphasizes the balance between new distribution points and same-store sales growth, with plans to potentially expand the distribution network further.
Nike's Strategy to Dimensionalize Sports Opportunities and Elevate Marketplace Partnerships
Nike is enhancing its sports opportunities by launching new products in running, football, and basketball, while strengthening marketplace partnerships to sustain growth. The company focuses on innovation, connecting R&D to sport offense, and expanding its portfolio to cater to diverse consumer needs. Marketplace strategy is consumer-based, aiming to be in the path of consumers through digital and physical channels.
Strategies for Sustainable Growth: Setting Visions and Addressing Challenges in China
The dialogue focuses on strategic planning for sustainable growth by setting three-year visions and aligning them with one-year and seasonal plans. It also discusses the challenges in China, emphasizing the need for a fresh perspective, new approaches, and capabilities to overcome current headwinds and return to growth. The speaker expresses confidence in the team's ability to address these challenges and restore double-digit margins.
Navigating Dynamic Markets for Long-Term Brand Health
Emphasizes the complexity of operating in a global, dynamic environment, highlighting the importance of flexibility and daily responsiveness. Encouraged by North American progress, the focus remains on short-term consistency with a commitment to sharing longer-term insights as confidence grows.
Analysis of North America Revenue Growth and Operating Overhead Adjustments
The dialogue explores the factors contributing to significant North America revenue growth, emphasizing domestic product performance and the impact of wholesale penetration. It also discusses potential adjustments in operating overhead and the strategic reallocation of resources towards demand creation, highlighting the company's competitive edge.
North America's Growth, Market Share Gains, and Cost Leverage in the Sports Industry
The dialogue highlights North America's strong growth, particularly in running and global football, with market share gains and successful product launches like Jordan's AJ for Black Cat. It discusses the transition from liquidation-fueled growth to full-price growth, emphasizing cost leverage from wholesale growth and strategic investments in demand creation, while maintaining a balanced portfolio across sports brands.
要点回答
Q:What is the anticipated impact of the new footwear platform, Nike Mind?
A:Nike Mind is seen as a new dimension to the Nike Training offense, bringing a fresh perspective to athletic preparation and competition.
Q:What new apparel platform will be introduced in football, and when?
A:The new apparel platform, AeroSpa, will be introduced in the National Team Kits in March, and it is described as 'like air conditioning for the body,' offering innovative performance features.
Q:How is the World Cup influencing product bookings and partner relations for Nike?
A:Wholesale partners are very confident in Nike's football product bookings, with units nearly 40% higher in World Cup 22. This has led to a commitment to refresh over 1000 doors around the world, and the marketing team is making significant investments to inspire fans, which are expected to translate to improved consumer experiences in the back half of the year.
Q:What is the strategic change within Nike's leadership team?
A:Within Nike's leadership team, there has been a strategic change with the appointment of Virendra 'Vic' Aggarwal as Chief Operating Officer. His team will ensure the full integration of technology across the company in the creation, planning, manufacturing, and sale of innovations.
Q:How are tariffs impacting Nike's margins and what actions are being taken?
A:Tariffs have created significant headwinds for Nike, putting pressure on margins. Nike is focused on clearing inventory impacted by these tariffs and is implementing actions to reduce the impact on EBIT margins by approximately 120 basis points.
Q:What were the overall revenue and earnings per share figures for the quarter?
A:Revenues for the quarter were up 1% on a reported basis and flat on a currency-neutral basis. Earnings per share were 53 cents.
Q:How did Nike's inventory levels change and how does it relate to its business recovery?
A:Nike's inventory decreased 3% versus the prior year, with units down in high single digits in North America and EMEA. This indicates a return to a healthy marketplace, although work remains in Greater China and parts of APAC.
Q:What were the key results for North America in the second quarter?
A:In North America for the second quarter, revenue declined percent, with Nike Direct down 10% and Nike Digital down 16%. However, wholesale grew 24%, and EBIT declined 8% on a reported basis. The momentum from running extended into other sports like basketball and training, and the quarter benefited from the liquidation of inventory to value channels as part of the strategy to clean up the marketplace.
Q:What was the impact of Nike's Black Friday on sales and inventory?
A:Black Friday sales were partially driven by strong sell-through of the Jordan Blackhat launch, resulting in growth across running, kids, basketball, and training categories. Nike Digital and wholesale sportswear saw sequential improvement with classic footwear franchises declining. Inventory declined mid single digits versus the prior year, with units down double digits.
Q:How did Nike's revenue and EBIT perform in the reported quarter?
A:Revenue was down percent, with Nike Direct declining 3%, Nike Digital down 2%, and Nike's stores down. Hood Wholesale was flat. EBIT declined on a reported basis.
Q:What trends were observed in EMEA and how did it affect the company's performance?
A:EMEA maintained a healthy marketplace but had heavier promotional activity than expected. Central and Eastern Europe and the Middle East grew while Western Europe saw slight declines. Qi's performance business grew with double-digit growth in running and other categories, but inventory grew double digits and classic footwear franchises had a mid Eds. percent decline.
Q:What actions were taken by Nike in China to address ongoing challenges?
A:In China, Nike continued its store pilot, focused on sport with new product innovation and retail presentation, and reduced promotions during the quarter. Nike also accelerated the return of age inventory and adjusted inventory and purchase plans to improve sell-through and full price realization.
Q:How is Nike addressing the challenges in the integrated marketplace in China?
A:Nike is addressing these challenges by continuing its store pilot, focusing on sport, and elevating brands across digital platforms to clean up excess inventory and break the cycle of discounting.
Q:What were the revenue and EBIT results for the APAC region in the reported quarter?
A:APAC revenue was down 4%, with Nike Direct declining 5%, Nike Digital down 10%, and Nike's stores up. Ed Wholesale was down, and EBIT declined on a reported basis.
Q:What is the outlook for Q2 revenue and gross margins in the APAC region?
A:Q2 revenue in the APAC region is expected to be down low single digits with modest growth in North America. Gross margins are expected to be down approximately 175 to 225 basis points, but excluding the impact of higher gross product costs related to new tariffs, gross margin expansion would be positive.
Q:What is the projected growth for the third quarter in the APAC region?
A:In the third quarter, it is expected that APAC revenues will be up low single digits due to higher demand creation and investments in the sport offense.
Q:What priorities are mentioned for returning to sustainable, profitable growth?
A:Priorities for returning to sustainable, profitable growth include operationalizing the sport offense, elevating the marketplace, and rebuilding key city teams.
Q:How is Nike's current situation similar to the example of the Dodgers?
A:Nike's current situation is similar to the Dodgers in that both are facing high industry expectations and pressure, yet both are leaning on each other, focusing on fundamentals, making hard calls, and building for the long term.
Q:What is the speaker's view on the path to sustainable profitable growth?
A:The speaker believes that the path to sustainable profitable growth is through immediate (win now) actions, which are being accelerated by the sport offense.
Q:What actions are driving Nike's current growth?
A:Nike's current growth is being driven by 'win now' actions around culture, product storytelling, the marketplace, and winning with consumers on the ground. The sport offense is the accelerator of these actions and is bringing balance to the portfolio.
Q:What is the speaker's outlook on growth across different regions for Nike?
A:The speaker outlines that the growth across different regions for Nike is diverse, with the Nike brand and sport growing, running leading the effort, North America showing resilience, and APAC having mixed results. China is identified as the region with the most work to do. However, the speaker is confident that the 'win now' actions and the sport offense are working and will lead to profitable, sustainable growth.
Q:How does the speaker describe the impact of the 'win now' actions and the sport offense on Nike's growth?
A:The speaker describes that the 'win now' actions and the sport offense are critical in navigating through both transitory and structural headwinds, and are contributing to meaningful progress and a path back to profitable, sustainable growth.
Q:What is the projected gross margin impact for Q3, and what does it include?
A:The projected gross margin impact for Q3 is a decrease of 170 to 150 basis points, which includes 315 basis points of higher product costs related to new tariffs.
Q:What is the speaker's assessment of the state of the marketplace in North America and Europe?
A:The speaker assesses the state of the marketplace in North America as having healthy inventory levels and a recovery from transitory headwinds expected to begin. In Europe, the speaker indicates that inventory is in a healthy place and promotional activity is being watched.
Q:When does the speaker believe that the caveat about non-linear recovery will no longer be needed?
A:The speaker does not provide a specific timeline for when the caveat about a non-linear recovery will no longer be needed. However, they emphasize that each brand is at a different stage of diversifying its product portfolio and that establishing a sport offense across various geographies and key cities is a process that will take time. The speaker mentions the success in North America as a confident indicator of the brand's path forward, suggesting that the non-linear recovery caveat may no longer be needed once the strategic initiatives are fully implemented and integrated across the different markets.
Q:What is the company's outlook on the path to double-digit EBIT margins and the near-term in China?
A:The company continues to prioritize improving margins and sees a path back to double-digit EBIT margins. While specific timelines were not provided, the focus is on navigating real-time challenges in Greater China and making decisions for the long-term health of the brands, taking actions 90 days at a time for flexibility.
Q:What measures are being taken to improve EBIT margins and how is the situation in North America?
A:To improve EBIT margins, the company is focusing on the benefits of 'win now' actions taken to clean up marketplaces, the impacts of tariffs, and improving the efficiency and activity of operations. North America is seeing improvements with wholesale order growth and a base for top-line growth moving forward.
Q:What is the strategy for the China market and how is the company addressing the challenges there?
A:The company is resetting its approach to the China marketplace, starting with restructuring how the business is organized, with the Geos now reporting to the CEO. There's a focus on returning to the basics of retail, improving the presentation of products, and making investments in Shanghai and Beijing to reset key doors. Early successes have been observed, but more work remains, and the company is adapting its approach with partners.
Q:How is the company addressing the challenges in China's retail market and what is the diagnosis of the current situation?
A:The company acknowledges that it has become a lifestyle brand competing on price in China, reduced its in-market presence, and wasn't making investments in its store fleet, resulting in stores that are not compelling. The company is cleaning up the marketplace of aged product, focusing on better storytelling and elevated visual presentation, and increasing investments in retail consumer experiences.
Q:What is the company's perspective on the pace of change in China and how is it preparing for the future?
A:The company acknowledges that change in China is not happening at the desired pace but remains confident in its ability to return Nike to a beloved, premium, and innovative brand in China, drawing from Elliot's deep history in the market and the company's history of diagnosing and solving problems.
Q:What are the strategies for Nike's product portfolio diversification and how are they performing?
A:Nike's strategies for product portfolio diversification include building a more diverse portfolio across performance and sportswear, and across price points. The company has seen progress in this area as evidenced by the depth and dimension across various segments. The sport focus is a key strategy, with the teams excelling at moving into sports through their sport offenses. The innovation pipeline is strengthening and the response in the order book for the back half of the year is positive.
Q:What are the new product launches and future plans in the running category?
A:In the running category, new product launches include Romero Premium, which is part of the 9 box construct and has had a good sell-through. Structure 26 has been launched in the stability silo, and Structure Plus is set to launch next month. The apparel line is also expanding with strong new offerings. In terms of future plans, there is a focus on dimensionalizing the running category, with a particular mention of innovations in football apparel and footwear through different silos such as Ed silos and National Team Kits World Cup.
Q:How is Nike's approach to the global marketplace and partnerships?
A:Nike's approach to the global marketplace is consumer-based and focuses on repositioning the brand in a segmented and differentiated way across accounts and the marketplace. The company has strong partnerships and is working closely with partners to elevate the marketplace. The team's efforts in driving 'Win now' actions have been successful, and the order book for the back half of the year shows balanced growth with new and existing partners. The company is looking for opportunities to leverage partners across digital and physical channels.
Q:What is the significance of three-year visions for the company's growth strategy?
A:The significance of three-year visions in Nike's growth strategy lies in aligning with specific consumer segments by sport and creating a roadmap that informs one-year plans and seasonal plans. This approach is intended to foster sustainable growth with partners by having clear, actionable goals over an extended period.
Q:Can you discuss the progress and strategies related to China?
A:Nike acknowledges the challenges in China and the need for a fresh perspective and new approach, which includes working with and through partners. The company is confident in the progress made and the team in place and aims to turn the business around as quickly as possible without specifying a date due to the dynamic environment.
Q:What factors are driving the strong revenue growth in North America?
A:The strong revenue growth in North America is driven by several factors, including growth in running where sell-through is encouraging and market share is being gained. Global football and training categories are also contributing to growth, along with the success of the GT future and right-sizing in sportswear. The team has managed to create a balanced portfolio across brands and sports. In Q2, the revenue growth was strong, and the guidance for Q3 suggests modest growth with a comparison to a lower liquidation fueled growth in Q2.
Q:What is the company's stance on cost leverage and investments in demand creation?
A:The company believes that growth creates leverage on the cost structure, with wholesale growth contributing significantly. While investments in demand creation are prioritized, the company aims to maintain a balance, focusing on creating big moments that resonate with consumers. Operating overhead costs are being tightly managed to ensure the brand's continued progress. The company looks forward to sharing more insights on these topics in future quarters.
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