好市多公司 (COST.US) 2026财年第一季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Discussed 8.2% net sales growth to $65.98 billion, 13.6% earnings per share increase excluding tax items, driven by membership fees, traffic, and ticket size. Highlighted AI in pharmacy, fresh sales growth, digital initiatives, and 92.2% renewal rate in US/Canada. Outlined plans for warehouse openings, international expansion, and member engagement improvements.
会议速览
The conference operator introduces the earnings call, emphasizing the opening of eight new warehouses and the company's total count reaching 921 globally. CFO discusses forward-looking statements and financial risks, while a key executive outlines growth initiatives, concluding with a transition to financial results discussion.
Costco outlines plans for future warehouse growth, innovative real estate projects, and digital enhancements to improve member experience and drive sales. The company is expanding its warehouse network, relocating high-volume stores, and leveraging AI to optimize operations, while maintaining a strong focus on employee commitment and sustainability.
The company reported a net income of $2.001 billion and $65.98 billion in net sales for Q1 FY2026, marking an 8.2% increase year-over-year. Comparable sales grew 6.4%, driven by a 3.1% rise in traffic and a 3.2% increase in average transaction value. Membership fee income rose 14%, with 39.7 million paid executive memberships at quarter's end. Capital expenditures reached $1.53 billion, with a full-year estimate of $6.5 billion.
The dialogue showcases record sales in US food court, e-commerce, and bakery, strong growth in non-food items, effective inflation management, and significant digital sales growth through web and app improvements. It also highlights new brand partnerships, Kirkland's signature product launches, and successful holiday merchandise strategies.
Discusses Costco's strategic investment in technology for future growth while reaffirming commitment to competitive pricing for members.
A discussion on maintaining high sales standards despite market pressures, emphasizing consistent member value, quality, and newness. Despite monthly fluctuations due to external factors, the company has achieved steady 6.5% average sales growth over seven months, focusing on expanding membership and visit frequency.
Executive members benefit from extended morning and evening hours, with an additional $10 monthly benefit for Instacart users. The changes have been well-received, improving traffic distribution and overall shopping experience.
The dialogue discusses the impact of executive upgrades on sales, estimating a 1% lift in sales growth. It acknowledges the difficulty in tracking long-term spend uplifts but highlights the company's ability to maintain overall sales growth despite the cycling of gift cards and gold, which were expected to impact sales during this period.
The dialogue discusses the company's approach to opening new warehouses in the US, focusing on infill locations in established markets and expanding into new markets. The strategy involves driving sales frequency in infill locations and increasing new sign-ups in new markets. The company expresses confidence in its market expansion and plans to continue previous strategies while adapting to different scenarios.
The dialogue focuses on leveraging digital advertising for retail media, developing a customer-centric marketplace, and integrating AI across customer experience, employee support, and inventory management to innovate and enhance business operations.
Discusses the significance of retail media as a new opportunity, highlighting current profitable ventures like travel and media revenue, and the potential to tap into supplier marketing spend for growth.
Costco emphasizes enhancing member experience through personalization and targeted messaging, expanding retail media with successful campaigns and new channels. The company leverages AI for global procurement, supply chain optimization, and employee skill enhancement, aiming to improve member experience and operational efficiency.
The dialogue highlights Costco's innovative strategies for expanding its market presence, including partnerships with developers for smaller, more accessible locations, and a focus on international growth. It emphasizes the company's strong position for future expansion, with over 30 locations planned, and its ability to adapt to competitive markets. Productivity improvements and creative solutions to relieve pressure from high-volume stores are also discussed, showcasing Costco's commitment to enhancing member access and store efficiency.
The dialogue highlights the strategic balance between accelerating sales in existing warehouses, particularly in the US and Canada, and driving new member growth in international markets with less warehouse penetration, emphasizing the dual benefits of this approach in generating strong returns on investment and overall business growth.
The dialogue discusses how Costco addressed a decline in renewal rates, particularly among new members who signed up digitally. By focusing on targeted communication to highlight membership value, Costco was able to offset some of the expected decline, demonstrating early success in improving renewal rates.
Inquiry about Costco's digital engagement metrics and delivery success, seeking data on membership participation and logistics efficiency improvements.
The dialogue highlights significant growth in digital engagement, with website traffic up 24% and app traffic over 40% in Q3. The speaker expresses confidence in continued digital sales growth outpacing overall average sales in the long term, driven by ongoing enhancements and member relevancy improvements.
The dialogue highlights the strategic use of digital communication tools to enhance member engagement, streamline services like pharmacy payments, and introduce new features such as online cake and deli tray ordering, aiming to create a cohesive experience between digital and physical retail spaces. The roadmap for the next 12 months includes advancements in the app and digital membership, expected to surpass warehouse growth.
Discusses international growth in Europe and Asia, highlighting Spain, UK, and Asian markets, with a focus on balanced expansion. Also covers US remodel strategies, emphasizing relocation projects and facility upgrades, achieving significant sales uplifts.
The dialogue discusses the impact of healthcare costs, extended operating hours, and wage investments on warehouse productivity, highlighting a negative leverage for the quarter due to higher healthcare expenses and a tax charge. Despite these challenges, the speaker outlines the potential for future productivity improvements, noting the ongoing investments in wages and the expectation of continued productivity growth in the coming quarters.
The dialogue discusses the company's strategies to manage rising healthcare costs, including extended operating hours and employee agreements. It highlights efforts to offset these expenses and achieve sales leverage, aiming for mid-single-digit sales growth. The speaker notes the positive impact of these measures, suggesting potential for future cost management and sales performance improvement.
Discussion covers inflation rates in general merchandise, noting slight inflation in food and fresh items with offsetting deflation in produce. Inflation is attributed to commodities like beef and coffee, while eggs and cheese show lower inflation than earlier. Ticket growth in comp is attributed to inflation, bigger pack sizes, upgraded items, and unit growth.
Discusses the slowdown in membership growth, attributes it to maturing warehouse markets, and outlines strategies including improved renewal rates, extended hours, and enhanced benefits to stimulate future growth.
The company discusses how its non-food sales have transitioned from high to low double-digit growth, attributing some of this shift to the challenging comparison from previous years' gift card sales and gold product promotions. Despite these hurdles, the company highlights positive market share gains in various non-food categories and remains optimistic about continuing growth by offering great value to members. They also note strong performance in specific areas like gold and jewelry, health and beauty, and apparel.
Discusses a 5-10 year real estate plan aiming for 30+ new warehouses annually, with growth opportunities in all current markets. Highlights focus on private brand pricing, emphasizing cost understanding and efficiency to lower prices for members without compromising quality.
The dialogue highlights Costco's ongoing commitment to personalizing member experiences through data-driven insights. While initial efforts have shown promising results, the company acknowledges a long roadmap ahead for refining personalization strategies. Key areas of focus include optimizing product visibility, enhancing email communications, and improving digital sales engagement, all aimed at boosting member satisfaction and driving sales growth.
The dialogue discusses the impact of digital signups, primarily younger members, on renewal rates, leading to a slight decline. Strategies for targeted communication have shown promise in improving these rates, with a focus on closing the gap between digital and traditional signups. Transparency is emphasized regarding ongoing efforts and potential for further declines in the short term.
The dialogue discusses the consistent shopping patterns of members, noting fluctuations influenced by external factors like tariffs and port strikes. Despite a slowdown in non-sf reader growth, extended store hours have bolstered overall sales, maintaining a steady 6.5% growth rate over recent months, with no significant changes in consumer behavior anticipated heading into the holiday season.
要点回答
Q:What was the year-over-year change in the reported sgna rate, and what factors impacted it?
A:The reported sgna rate was 9.6%, which is a year-over-year increase of one basis point from 9.59% last year. The operations component of sgna also increased by one basis point. Higher productivity and efficiency from technology investments offset wage investments and the impact of extended operating hours, but the rate was negatively impacted by a 4 basis point charge related to a tax assessment for prior years.
Q:How did interest expense and interest income compare to the previous year, and what was the impact of foreign exchange?
A:Interest expense decreased to $35 million from $37 million last year, while interest income grew to $122 million from $96 million. The benefits from foreign exchange were $33 million, compared to $51 million last year, due to lower gains in foreign exchange. The tax rate for the quarter was 22.5%, up from 22% in the same quarter of the previous year.
Q:What were the estimated capital expenditures for the full year, and for what purposes were they allocated?
A:Capital expenditure in Q1 was approximately $1.53 billion, and it is estimated that capital expenditure for the full year will be about $6.5 billion. The additional investments are to support a higher number of new warehouse openings, increased warehouse remodels, depot network expansion, and digital enhancements.
Q:What were some of the highlights of the holiday selling season at Costco?
A:Costco's US Food Court set a daily record on Halloween with pizza sales, Black Friday was a record-breaking day for the US eCommerce business with over $250 million in non-food orders, and U bakeries sold 4.5 million pies in the three days leading up to Thanksgiving.
Q:How did core merchandising results in Q1 perform and what was the contribution of various departments?
A:Core merchandising in Q1 focused on quality, value, and newness, delivering market share gains across virtually all departments. Fresh sales grew mid to high single digits, with double-digit growth in meat. Bakery experienced high single-digit growth from new items such as hard day dessert bars and creme brule bars. Non-food categories also had comp sales in the mid single digits, with strong performance in tires and small appliances. Overall, the buyer's job was to find new and exciting items at great values and adjust the assortment to minimize the impact of tariffs.
Q:What partnerships were added in Q1 and how did they contribute to the sales growth in the non-food sundries category?
A:New national brand partnerships in Q1 included Gap, Vera Bradley apparel, and Upper Deck trading cards, contributing to a mid single-digit growth in the non-food sundries category, with strong results in candy and food. Newness drove growth with on-trend items like dairy chocolate performing very well.
Q:What differentiates Kirkland's signature offerings and how did sales perform?
A:Kirkland's signature items offer 15% to 20% value compared to national brands with equal or better quality. Sales grew at a faster pace than overall sales with new items launched such as facial towels, blueberry croissants, apparel items, and a Caramel Brownie Sundae. Prices were lowered on several items, and the digital site traffic increased 24%.
Q:How did various sectors within non-sf toodsi perform and what growth did pharmacy, tires, and small electrics experience?
A:In non-sf toodsi, sectors such as pharmacy, gold and jewelry, tires, small electronics, apparel, and majors grew double digits year over year. The same-day delivery service, offered in partnership with Instacart and others internationally, performed extremely well and grew at a faster pace than overall digital sales.
Q:What achievements were made by Costco travel and what was the impact of inflation?
A:Costco Travel achieved over $100 million in gross bookings in the US through Costco Travel in the five days following Thanksgiving, up 12% from the prior year. Inflation remained relatively consistent with recent quarters, except for higher inflation in commodities such as beef, seafood, and coffee, which was offset by lower inflation in eggs, cheese, butter, and produce. Non-food inflation was low single digit, primarily driven by gold and imported goods.
Q:How have tariffs been managed and what strategies are in place to minimize their impact?
A:The company's buyers have done a great job reducing the impact of tariffs for members by changing the country of production for some items, sourcing more items produced in the US, consolidating buying efforts globally to lower the cost of goods, and leaning into Kirkland's signature. Additionally, the item assortment has been optimized. Tariff impacted items were replaced with alternative value items, some of which are produced in the US and largely unimpacted by tariffs. The supply chain has remained stable, and the merchants feel good about the inventory position.
Q:What are the recent international expansion achievements mentioned?
A:The recent international expansion achievements include the Sweden opening of a second location, a third in France, and several upcoming projects in Asia.
Q:What is the company's strategy to maintain balance in growth between domestic and international markets?
A:The company is balancing growth between domestic and international markets by accelerating sales in busy warehouses to improve the economic model, and by increasing new member sign-ups in markets with less warehouse penetration to drive significant membership increases.
Q:What measures have been taken to offset the impact of more digitally engaged members on renewal rates?
A:To offset the impact of digitally engaged members on renewal rates, the company is focusing on delivering targeted and relevant communication to members to ensure they see the value in continuing their membership. Early results show positive impacts from these engagement efforts.
Q:What trends are seen in digital engagement among members?
A:Digital engagement among members is growing as the company enhances its website and app. Traffic to the website grew 24% and the app grew even more, with a focus on increasing relevancy and digital sales are expected to grow faster than overall sales.
Q:What are the upcoming enhancements in the Costco app?
A:The upcoming enhancements in the Costco app include the introduction of pay ahead for the pharmacy, ordering cakes and deli trays online, and improving the digital adoption of services previously perceived as clunky by members.
Q:What is the current pipeline for international expansion and how often does the company undertake remodels in the U.S.?
A:The company sees good prospects for international expansion with strong growth in Europe and Asia, and plans to continue balancing expansion internationally with projects in the U.S. They do about 5 to 6 relocations a year in the U.S., with a significant uplift when these occur.
Q:What are the main challenges affecting productivity and cost leverage?
A:The main challenges affecting productivity and cost leverage include the annual investments through the employee agreement, extended operating hours, higher healthcare costs that grew faster than sales, and a tax charge from several years ago.
Q:What measures has the company implemented to offset the additional costs related to extended opening hours and employee agreements?
A:The company has implemented measures to offset the additional costs related to extended opening hours and employee agreements. This includes work done by the team to manage these costs and an expectation that, if not for the sales tax adjustment, there would have been some leverage during the quarter.
Q:How does the company measure inflation, and what is the current state of inflation in general merchandise and food?
A:The company measures inflation as the purchase of bigger pack sizes or upgraded items by members, in addition to traditional measures of price increases. In the current quarter, food and fresh food inflation was slightly positive, ranging from low to mid single digits, similar to the last quarter. Fresh fruits and vegetables have been deflationary, while items like beef, seafood, and coffee have led to some inflation. However, other items like eggs and cheese have lower inflation than earlier in the year, which has somewhat offset each other, leading to no significant change in overall inflation levels.
Q:What is the impact of inflation on the company's ticket growth in the comparable sales?
A:The impact of inflation on the company's ticket growth in comparable sales is a combination of factors including inflation on like-for-like items, members buying bigger pack sizes, moving to newer models, and some level of unit growth. While specific figures were not provided, the speaker suggests that all these factors contribute to the overall inflation impact on ticket growth.
Q:What is the trend in total paid membership growth and how does the company view its future prospects for this metric?
A:The company has been pleased with the results in the quarter regarding total paid membership growth, noting an increase of over 5% in Q9. While year-over-year growth has slowed compared to the last few years, it remains positive and the company feels good about the health of membership growth. There are opportunities to maintain future growth, supported by factors like actions to improve renewal rates, new warehouse openings, and the maturing of existing ones. The company is also committed to enhancing the value of the membership with changes such as extended opening hours and Instacart benefits. Although the growth rate is slower, the company views the momentum and opportunity for continued growth as positive.
Q:What updates can be provided on the performance of the non-food category and what factors are influencing it?
A:The non-food category has seen a decrease in year-over-year growth to low double digits and midsingle digits. Factors influencing this include the sales of gold in warehouses and online, and some of the gift card programs from last year. However, the company still sees good market share gains across most non-food categories. Positive performers include gold and jewelry, special events, health and beauty, and categories like majors, tires, and small appliances. The company believes its teams are delivering great value to members and sees a path for continued market share growth in non-foods by continuing to provide that value.
Q:What are the latest thoughts on the potential for warehouse expansion and how are the costs being managed?
A:The company looks at a 5 to 10-year plan for real estate and expects to open around 30 new warehouses a year, meeting or exceeding the goal set for themselves. The potential for warehouse expansion in the US and internationally to various markets like Canada, Mexico, Europe, Asia, and Australia was reiterated. The focus is on continued presence in each geography and maintaining the supply chain for private brand products. Price investments are primarily in Kirkland Signature products, where the company aims to be the first to lower prices and the last to increase them, ensuring a strong understanding of costs and seeking opportunities to pass savings onto members.
Q:How are personalization efforts currently performing, and what specific examples are there of their impact?
A:Personalization efforts at Costco seem to be working well early on, and the company is now using membership data to improve the experience, convenience, and relevancy of messaging for members, with a focus on helping them achieve the best value from their Costco membership.
Q:What areas are still showing room for improvement in personalization efforts?
A:Although personalization efforts are showing positive results, there is still a roadmap for further improvement, such as personalizing elements like the items and order of items seen by members on the Mvm and optimizing email communication delivery.
Q:Are the personalization changes driving improvements in member engagement and digital sales?
A:Yes, personalization changes are designed to drive improvements in member engagement and digital sales, which are expected to grow at a faster pace than warehouse business overall, and are contributing to more member engagement.
Q:Why is there a potential for renewal rates to still decline, and how is the company addressing this?
A:The potential for continued renewal rate decline is attributed to the addition of younger, digitally signed-up members who renew at a lower rate. The company is addressing this issue by making targeted and relevant communication to members who have signed up through that channel, and while they're encouraged by the recent improvements, they aim to reverse the decline as soon as possible.
Q:What was the impact of adding digitally signed-up members on renewal rates, and how is the company planning to close the gap between digital and warehouse signups?
A:The addition of digitally signed-up members, who generally renew at a lower rate, has impacted renewal rates. The company's goal is to close the gap between digital and warehouse signups as quickly as possible.
Q:What trends are seen in the company's comparable sales through November and December, and what is it indicating about consumer behavior?
A:There is relative consistency in how members are shopping, with month-to-month sales fluctuation mostly due to external factors like strikes, consumer uncertainty, and tariffs. The company has observed continued strong growth in non-superfresh (sf) readers and market share gains but a deceleration in non-sf readers, which has been offset by benefits from extended operating hours. Overall, the company is seeing a consistent range of growth in the 6 to 7% area when looking at the past two quarters.

Costco Wholesale Corp.
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