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IREN Ltd (IREN.US) 2026财年第一季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Iron discusses its FY26 Q1 results, highlighting a $9.7B AI cloud contract with Microsoft, expanding GPU fleets, and a vertically integrated platform. Revenue reached $240M, with adjusted EBITDA at $92M. By 2026, Iron aims for $3.4B in annualized revenue, utilizing 16% of its power capacity. Competitive advantages include faster GPU deployments, cost efficiency, and superior service. Iron anticipates 25-30% levered IRR, pursuing financing and expanding data center capacities to meet AI compute demand.
会议速览
IQ One's FY26 Q1 Results Highlight AI Cloud Contract and Revenue Growth
IQ One reported strong FY26 Q1 financial results with a $240 million revenue increase and a $9.7 billion AI cloud contract with Microsoft, underscoring its position as a trusted AI cloud service provider. The contract, generating $1.94 billion in annual recurring revenue, supports GPU fleet expansion to 142,000 units by 2026, leveraging 16% of secured power capacity for future growth.
Expanding AI Cloud Services: Vertical Integration and Future Growth
A strategic approach to scaling AI cloud services through vertical integration, emphasizing control over the entire stack from substation to GPU, is highlighted. The expansion targets 140,000 GPUs by 2026, leveraging existing data centers for capital efficiency. Key projects, including the Prince George data center and the Sweetwater facility in Texas, showcase advanced design specifications and future scalability, ensuring long-term returns and adaptability to evolving AI compute demands.
Record Revenues and Strong Financial Performance Highlight Q1 FY 26 Results
The company reported record revenues for the fifth consecutive quarter, with total revenue reaching 240 million, marking a 28% increase quarter over quarter and a 355% increase year over year. Net income and EBITDA significantly rose due to unrealized gains on prepaid forward and capco transactions, while adjusted EBITDA reflected continued margin strength despite higher payroll tax expenses. Operating expenses increased, mainly due to higher depreciation and share-based payment expenses.
Microsoft Partnership Boosts Financial Returns and Strategic Value
The partnership with Microsoft through an AI Cloud deal offers significant financial returns, with $1.9 billion in annual revenue expected at an 85% EBITDA margin. The transaction includes $5.8 billion in CapEx for GPUs, funded by customer prepayments, GPU financing, and other sources, ensuring a robust return on investment. The deal validates the company's proprietary data center design, enhancing strategic value and attracting broader market interest.
High Returns on Cloud Investment: Detailed Analysis of IRRs and Financing Strategies
Speakers discuss an investment in cloud infrastructure, emphasizing high double-digit unlevered IRRs and levered returns of 25-30% with $2.5 billion leverage. They highlight optimized financing, including a market-rate colocation charge, a built-in financing mechanism for GPUs, and a 20% prepayment reducing CapEx. The dialogue concludes with attractive returns and a path to $3.4 billion ARR by 2026.
Horizon Platform's Scalability and Future-Proofing for Microsoft's GPU Deployment
Discusses the number of GPUs to be deployed under a Microsoft contract, emphasizing the platform's design for scalability and future generations of chips, with a focus on high rack densities and enhanced design features for concurrent maintainability.
Pricing Dynamics in Cloud GPU Market Post-HPC Deal
A discussion on the rise in GPU pricing and its implications, following a successful HPC deal, with inquiries into market trends and pricing robustness.
Strong Market Demand for AI Cloud Services Across Various Customer Segments
The dialogue highlights robust demand for AI cloud services, particularly in GPU clusters and liquid-cooled capacities, catering to hyperscalers, foundational AI labs, enterprises, and startups. The ability to rapidly scale and transition existing data centers to AI workloads is emphasized, showcasing the platform's credibility and trust among both new and existing customers.
Investment Attraction and Potential Hosting at Sweetwater's Cloud Site
Discussion highlights strong interest in Sweetwater's cloud site with April 2026 energization, emphasizing GPU as a service's attractive returns. Potential hosting considered based on future cash flow and risk-adjusted returns, reflecting market dynamics and demand-supply balance.
Analysis of Dell's GPU Order and Data Center CapEx Efficiency
The dialogue discusses the allocation of Dell's $5.8 billion GPU order, emphasizing the majority for GPUs with significant auxiliary equipment costs. It explores the potential reuse of equipment for future GPU upgrades and details the efficient CapEx transition of data centers to AI workloads, noting minimal conversion costs and potential redundancy additions.
Microsoft's Hyperscale Preferences and AI Cloud Deal Dynamics
Microsoft's negotiation strategy evolved over time, initially considering co-location but ultimately favoring a cloud deal with a 20% prepayment, significant CapEx funding, and a high equity IRR, reflecting a broader trend of hyperscale customer preferences for diverse deal structures.
Exploring Expansion Beyond Microsoft's 200 MW Deal Amid Confidentiality
A discussion unfolds on potential interest exceeding the initial 200 MW agreement with Microsoft, hinting at broader engagement in cloud and similar projects, all while respecting confidentiality constraints.
Contractual Penalties, CapEx Breakdown, and Horizon Campus Infrastructure
Discussion covers contractual penalties for timeline delays, assurance of past performance, and CapEx allocation for Horizon Campus, including networking enhancements.
Update on BC GPU Contracting and Diverse Customer Demand
A status update reveals over 12,000 GPUs from the initial 23,000 batch have been contracted, with strong demand from both AI natives and enterprise customers. Late delivery GPUs are yet to be fully contracted, but interest remains high, especially for the bare metal offering in British Columbia.
Risk Assessment and Prepayment in Microsoft Cloud Deal
Discusses the risk profile of cloud deals versus colocation, highlighting the benefits of the Microsoft cloud deal including a significant prepayment, high IRR, and equity return potential, while emphasizing the strategic decision to prioritize cloud over colocation for better shareholder value.
Exploring Bare Metal Services and Direct Fiber Loop Benefits for Enhanced Customer Solutions
Discussed preference for bare metal offerings among advanced AI companies, emphasizing raw compute and performance benefits. Explored future potential in software layers for smaller customers. Highlighted strategic value of direct fiber loop between sites for scalable customer deployments and execution focus on delivering GPU capacity by 2026.
要点回答
Q:What are the financial results for the first fiscal quarter ending September 30, 2025?
A:The financial results for the first fiscal quarter ending September 30, 2025, include a fifth consecutive quarterly increase in revenue reaching $240 million and adjusted EBITDA of $92 million.
Q:What is the significance of the AI cloud contract with Microsoft announced earlier this week?
A:The $9.7 billion AI cloud contract with Microsoft is a defining milestone for the business, validating the company's position as a trusted provider of AI cloud services, opening access to a new customer segment among global hyperscalers, and expected to generate approximately $1.94 billion in annual recurring revenue.
Q:How will the company scale its GPU fleet and what is the projected revenue from this expansion?
A:The company plans to scale its GPU fleet from 23,000 GPUs to 142,000 GPUs by the end of 2026, which is expected to support approximately $3.4 billion in annualized run-rate revenue.
Q:What are the benefits of the company's vertical integration model?
A:The benefits of the company's vertical integration model include control over the entire stack from substation to GPU, which eliminates dependence on third-party colocation providers and removes counterparty risk. This allows for faster GPU deployments with control over execution, uptime, and customer service, resulting in scalability, cost efficiency, and superior performance.
Q:How is the company planning to manage its growth in a capital-efficient manner?
A:The company plans to manage its growth in a capital-efficient manner by leveraging existing data centers for the deployment of additional GPUs. The incremental 40,000 GPU build-out will be executed efficiently, with the ASIC to GPU swap-out program progressing well across its campuses.
Q:What role does the British Columbia Data Center play in supporting the expansion?
A:The British Columbia Data Center supports the expansion by fast-tracking growth in high-performance AI workloads and scaling the company's GPU fleet into one of the largest in North America, which is part of the ASIC to GPU migration process.
Q:What are the characteristics of the next phase of data center construction and its purpose?
A:The next phase of data center construction is focused on accelerating the development of Horizons 1 to 4 to accommodate the phase delivery of Nvidia GPUs for Microsoft. The facilities are being engineered to tier 3 equivalent standards for concurrent maintainability, with a key feature being the establishment of a network core architecture capable of supporting a 100 MW supercluster for high-performance AI training with future-proofing for next generation GPUs. This phase also incorporates Flex rack densities to accommodate future chip generations without requiring major structural overhauls, providing long-term value protection and reducing recontracting risks.
Q:What is the potential expansion capacity of Sweetwater, and what is its current development status?
A:Sweetwater, the flagship data center in West Harvey, Texas, has a full build-out potential to support up to 2 GW (2000 MW) of gross capacity, all of which has been secured from the grid. While recent headlines have been more about AI cloud expansion at other sites, Sweetwater remains an exciting platform asset poised to service the wave of AI compute demand. Sweetwater One energization is on schedule with more than 100 people mobilized on site to support the construction of one of the largest high voltage data center substations in the United States.
Q:What financial results were reported for Q1 FY 26?
A:For Q1 FY 26, the company reported a total revenue of $240 million, marking a 28% quarter-over-quarter and a 355% year-over-year increase. Operating expenses increased due to higher depreciation and share-based payment expenses resulting from a materially higher share price. Net income and EBITDA were $385 million and $663 million, respectively, both significantly up from the previous period, largely attributable to unrealized gains on prepaid forward and capco transactions related to convertible note financings. Adjusted EBITDA was $92 million, reflecting continued margin strength.
Q:What are the details of the AI Cloud partnership with Microsoft and its financial impact?
A:The AI Cloud partnership with Microsoft is a significant milestone for the company, expected to deliver approximately $1.9 billion in annual revenue once the four phases come online, with an estimated 85% project EBITDA margin. This strong margin incorporates all direct operating expenses across cloud and data center operations, including power, salaries, wages, maintenance, insurance, and other direct costs. The investment in cloud returns is supported by a $5.8 billion CapEx for GPUs and ancillaries, which, after internal colocation charges, is expected to yield robust returns on the cloud investment.
Q:How is the company planning to finance the transaction with Microsoft in a capital-efficient manner?
A:The company is planning to finance the transaction with Microsoft in a capital-efficient way by aligning payments for CapEx with the phase delivery of GPUs across 2026, receiving customer prepayments of 20% of total contract revenue upfront, and leveraging the strong credit profile of Microsoft to potentially raise significant additional funding secured against the GPUs and contracted cash flows. The company is targeting approximately $2.5 billion through these initiatives, with options for funding the remaining balance through existing cash, operating cash flows, equity, convertible notes, and corporate instruments. The company also issued 1 million in 0-coupon convertible notes and secured GPU financing to support AI cloud expansion.
Q:What is the strategic value of servicing a large technology company with a proprietary data center design?
A:The strategic value of servicing a large technology company with a proprietary data center design is twofold: it demonstrates to capital markets and investors that the company is on the right track, and it provides validation in the broader customer ecosystem.
Q:What is the expected unlevered IRR for the cloud returns transaction, and how does adding leverage affect the levered IRR?
A:The expected unlevered IRR for the cloud returns transaction is low double digits. When a $2.5 billion additional leverage is taken into account, the levered IRR is expected to be in the order of 25 to 30%. With a potential $3 billion leverage package, the levered return could increase by an additional 10%.
Q:How does the structure of the deal with Microsoft affect the revenue projections for the data centers?
A:The deal with Microsoft includes a colocation charge structure that projects revenue for the data centers at an internal rate of $130 per kilowatt per month, which is considered a market rate of return. The first five years of this arrangement is underwritten by a hyperscale credit, contributing to the revenue projections.
Q:What percentage of the CapEx for the GPU fleet is paid upfront, and what does this mean for the company?
A:The company receives a third of the CapEx for the GPU fleet upfront, which amounts to $3.4 billion by the end of 2026. This allows the company to retain a larger percentage of equity while still accessing significant capital for growth.
Q:What is the anticipated number of GPUs to be deployed for the Microsoft deal, and how is the data center design future-proofed for future chip generations?
A:The anticipated number of GPUs to be deployed for the Microsoft deal is not explicitly stated in the transcript. However, the data center design is future-proofed by accommodating up to 200kW of rack power, which is more than the 135kW utilized by the GB 300 S GPUs. This indicates the potential for future generations of chips to be supported in the data centers. Other enhancements include full tier 3 equivalent concurrent maintainability, designed to handle multiple generations of GPUs.
Q:What is the nature of demand for the company's products and how is it servicing customer requirements?
A:The company continues to see very good levels of demand across all offerings, particularly for air-cooled servers that are ideal for 500 to 4000 GPU clusters with rapid scalability capabilities. The transition of existing data centers to AI workloads is a quick process, which allows the company to meet the growth requirements of customers in that category effectively.
Q:How is the company addressing demand for high-end liquid cooled capacity, and which customer classes does it serve?
A:The company offers high-end liquid-cooled capacity (Horizon One build-out) from Nvidia, which is in high demand. This allows them to serve a diverse range of customers from hyperscalers and foundational AI labs to large enterprises and top-tier AI startups, as well as smaller scale inference and enterprise users.
Q:What is the outlook for new interest in cloud services at the Sweetwater site, and how does the company view the potential hosting business there?
A:The company is seeing strong interest in cloud services, including GPU as a service and colocation, across all potential service offerings, including at the Sweetwater site. Initial energization is expected in April 2026, and while it is early days from a construction perspective, the potential return profile and future cash flow from engaging in the cloud business at Sweetwater is very attractive.
Q:How is the company allocating the $5.8 billion order from Dell between GPUs and auxiliary equipment?
A:The $5.8 billion order from Dell is mostly allocated to GPUs, with a substantial amount also set aside for top-tier networking equipment for the GPU clusters, specifically the Infiniband offering. The future viability of the specific equipment for the clusters, however, remains to be seen, as it may not be reusable for future generations of GPUs.
Q:What is the expected cost efficiency for the new data centers in Canada, and how does the transition to AI workloads affect the CapEx requirements?
A:The transition of data centers to AI workloads is relatively cost-efficient with minimal CapEx requirements. This involves mainly removing existing AC systems and replacing them with standard data center racks and power distribution units (PDUs) compatible with AI servers. In some cases, adding redundancy might be required, which could cost around $2 million per megawatt. However, the overall process is capital and CapEx efficient, especially in the context of large-scale liquid cooled capacity deployments like those at Horizon.
Q:Has the company ever missed a construction or commissioning date?
A:The company has never missed a construction or commissioning date as a listed company, indicating a strong track record of on-time delivery.
Q:What is included in the CapEx for the data center and does it have potential impacts from tariffs or networking cabling?
A:The CapEx includes infrastructure for a 100 MW supercluster, which necessitates significant additional infrastructure. Some of the costs mentioned are related to this capability and may not be a requirement for all customers, offering a level of uniqueness in the potential impact from tariffs or networking cabling.
Q:What is the status of contracting out the remaining GPUs from the initial batch?
A:Out of the initial 23,000 GPUs, 11,000 have been contracted, and an additional thousand GPUs have been contracted subsequently. The remaining GPUs are mainly for delivery later in the timeline, and while there is increased appetite from customers to pre-contract, discussions are still ongoing for a significant portion of the yet-uncontracted capacity.
Q:How does the speaker perceive risk in cloud deals versus colocation deals?
A:The speaker views risk differently in cloud deals compared to colocation deals. Colocation deals with hyperscalers have a lower equity return potential over the contract term and rely on recontracting after the term for any return. In contrast, the cloud deal has a better risk profile. For short-term colocation contracts without hyperscale credit, there's a risk of not being able to refresh GPUs against companies with insufficient balance sheets.
Q:What future options are available if the Microsoft contract expires?
A:Upon the expiry of the Microsoft contract, the company has optionality to sign a colocation deal, relaunch a new cloud offering with the latest generation GPUs, or potentially operate the GPUs for additional years as with prior generations like the A100s.
Q:How does the company view the trade-off between assets and bond exposures in colocation deals?
A:The company is uncomfortable with the trade-off of transferring an asset, which is tied to technology and demand growth, for bond exposure to the counterparty, especially when the counterparty may not have a strong balance sheet. The colocation deals involve exchanging equity exposure for bond positions, which is not seen as a favorable decision for shareholders.
Q:How is the projected IRR of 35% equity IRR calculated and what is its significance?
A:The projected IRR of 35% equity IRR is calculated by considering the equity portion of the IRR and assuming it is funded with 100% ordinary equity. This is deemed conservative given the company's track record of raising convertibles and lack of debt at the corporate level, and it aligns with a trillion-dollar credit and efficient funding.
Q:What is the company's stance on its cloud software stack and customer stickiness?
A:The company's current strategy focuses on providing a bare metal offering that caters to highly advanced AI and software companies requiring raw compute and performance benefits. While there has not been a significant demand for anything other than the bare metal service, the company continues to monitor customer needs and is prepared to layer in additional software if required by customers in the future.
Q:Why does the company not focus on developing its own software and operating layer, despite the availability of GPUs?
A:The company does not develop its own software and operating layer because the largest and most sophisticated technology companies prefer to access GPUs to run their proprietary software. These companies have a competitive advantage in their respective spaces and are looking for bare metal infrastructure. As the market develops, there may be a role for the company to service smaller customers without the internal capability or budget, but for the company's current strategy of pursuing scale, focusing on the commoditized software market is not seen as a pathway to achieving scale.
Q:How should one think about the relationship between Sweetwater 1 and Sweetwater 2 with the direct fiber loop, and what is the potential value proposition?
A:The direct fiber loop between Sweetwater 1 and Sweetwater 2 adds an additional layer of optionality for the customers. It enables the potential for scaling deployments where the two sites can operate as an individual campus despite being physically separated. This capability is valuable for customers seeking scale and is the reason the company pursued the direct fiber connection.
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