高通公司 (QCOM.US) 2025财年第四季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Qualcomm reported record QCT annual revenues of $38.4 billion with 13% year-over-year growth, driven by premium Android handsets, automotive, IoT, and AI advancements. The company highlighted a multi-billion dollar opportunity in data centers, robotics, and AI smart glass, showcasing diversified capabilities and leading technology platforms. Leadership expressed confidence in achieving long-term revenue targets and maintaining competitiveness in various sectors.
会议速览
The earnings call for Qualcomm's fiscal Q4 2025 was hosted, with guidance on listening, questioning, and call recording procedures. Non-GAAP financial measures were discussed, alongside forward-looking statements with material differences noted. A Q&A session was planned, featuring Alex Rogers, and earnings details were accessible on Qualcomm's website.
Discussed fiscal Q4 achievements, including record revenues driven by Snapdragon sales, automotive and IoT growth, and licensing. Announced AI innovations like Snapdragon X2 Elite and X2 Elite Extreme, smart glasses advancements, and the launch of Snapdragon Ride Pilot. Highlighted strategic acquisitions, including Arduino, and entry into AI data center market with AI 200 and AI 250 SoCs. Looked ahead to updates on data center plans and progress in robotics, ADAS, and industrial edge AI.
The dialogue outlines robust Q4 and fiscal year financial results, showcasing revenue and EPS growth above guidance, record free cash flow, and detailed guidance for the upcoming quarter, emphasizing QCT's revenue growth, QTL's performance, and strategic financial updates.
The company updates on progress toward fiscal 29 revenue targets, highlighting achievements in automotive, IoT, XR, PCs, and networking. It also discusses data center opportunities and expresses gratitude to employees for delivering industry-leading technologies. The dialogue includes an inquiry about data center engagements and hyperscale partnerships.
The dialogue highlights the development of power-efficient computing assets and a new inference architecture aimed at increasing data center efficiency. The focus is on generating more tokens with less power, as seen in AI 100 and AI 200/250 projects. Excitement surrounds upcoming updates on performance, KPIs, and customer engagement with hyperscalers.
Qualcomm emphasizes execution and product performance in a competitive market, highlighting the growth in the Android premium tier. Despite potential shifts with Samsung, the company assumes a 75% share baseline, focusing on premium content and ASPs for earnings growth.
Discussion covers projected data center revenue starting fiscal 28, with a focus on AI accelerators and their impact on cost-performance ratios. Also addressed are concerns over handset sales decline into March, with guidance on business momentum and upcoming acquisitions.
The dialogue discusses the factors behind QCT's revenue growth, emphasizing Android premium shipments and the Snapdragon chip launch. It also touches upon ongoing negotiations with Huawei for a licensing agreement, indicating no recent developments.
Discusses the year-over-year increase in non-Apple QCT revenue, attributing growth to mix shift towards higher-end devices and premium tier content. Highlights positive reception of Snapdragon-powered devices in China and anticipates global launches, emphasizing normal purchase patterns post-launch.
Qualcomm discusses its innovative approach to AI data center architecture focusing on efficiency and power consumption, aiming to lead with future-oriented designs. The dialogue also covers the trend of increasing ASPs in handsets driven by demand for premium devices and enhanced processing capabilities, projecting continued growth in the premium segment.
The dialogue explores the factors contributing to QCT's projected outperformance in the upcoming quarter, focusing on IoT, autos, and handsets, with inquiries about unexpected improvements and market expectations.
The company forecasts flat to slightly up revenue in automotive, with a record $1.1 billion in September. IoT and handset revenues are projected to grow, driven by successful chip launches and positive consumer response, with low teens sequential growth expected in the December quarter.
The dialogue discusses historical sales patterns in China, highlighting stronger first and second fiscal quarters due to events like the Chinese New Year, with a notable dip in the third quarter, urging consistency with past business trends.
Discussion on factors affecting QCT evette margin decline, including mix, manufacturing costs, and RD investments for growth. Update on modeling non-Android handset business for calendar 26 with no changes to previous projections.
A significant upside opportunity in the data center market, particularly in AI smart glass, is anticipated, potentially surpassing previous multi-billion dollar projections. The rapid market takeoff suggests a much larger potential than initially outlined, indicating a major growth area in personal AI technologies.
The dialogue highlights the company's outlook on a significant data center opportunity, potentially reaching multi-billion dollars in revenue. The speaker emphasizes the company's diversified technology capabilities and its commitment to leading innovation across various industries. The call concludes with gratitude towards partners and employees, reinforcing the strategy to maintain leadership in every sector engaged.
要点回答
Q:What were the financial results for Qualcomm's fiscal Q4?
A:In fiscal Q4, Qualcomm delivered revenues of $11.3 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.00, both of which were at the high end of the guidance range. QCT revenues were $9.8 billion, up 9% sequentially, driven by strong customer demand for premium tier Android handsets, automotive applications, and strength in Internet of Things (IoT) segments. Non-GAAP revenues for the year were $44 billion, up 13% year over year.
Q:What are the highlights from the Snapdragon Summit?
A:The highlights from the Snapdragon Summit include the introduction of the Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 5 mobile platform for next-generation flagship AI smartphones. This platform features the third-generation Kryo CPU, an upgraded NPU, and CPU with the Snapdragon Edge. The summit also featured keynotes with over 26 million unique views, participation from more than 100 partners, analysts, tech influencers, and press, and the unveiling of the newest platform for premium laptops, the Snapdragon X 2 Elite and X 2 Elite Extreme, demonstrating industry leading processors and performance.
Q:How is the AI transformation impacting intelligent wearables and smart glasses?
A:The AI transformation is impacting intelligent wearables by evolving smart glasses into personal AI devices that can connect users directly to an AI agent or model. This category is growing rapidly, fueled by strong demand for smart glasses from Meta, which introduced several new styles. The leadership in this space is reflected in the 30 designs in production or development with global partners, including Samsung and Google, showcasing the growth potential and innovation in this sector.
Q:What is the significance of the partnership announced at IAA Mobility?
A:The expanded partnership announced at IAA Mobility between Qualcomm and Google includes the integration of Google Gemini models into Qualcomm's suite of Snapdragon Digital Chassis solutions. This partnership aims to enable automakers to build and deploy personalized AI agents for in-vehicle assistance, thereby bringing multimodal edge-to-cloud AI to next-generation software-defined vehicles and industrial IoT applications.
Q:What is the anticipated growth trend for AI data centers?
A:The anticipated growth trend for AI data centers is moving from training to dedicated inference workloads.
Q:What were the financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter?
A:The financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter were strong non GAAP performance with revenues of $11.3 billion and EPS of $3, revenues of $1.4 billion and EBT margin of 72% in QTL, QCT revenues of $9.8 billion and EBT of $2.9 billion with year over year growth of 13% and 17% respectively, and QCT EB margin of 29% at the high end of guidance.
Q:What is the forecasted non GAAP tax rate and impact of the tax legislation on the company?
A:The forecasted non GAAP tax rate is in the 13% to 14% range going forward. The new tax legislation resulted in a non-cash charge of $5.7 billion in the 4th fiscal quarter to reduce the value of their deferred tax assets, impacting GAAP results but excluded from non GAAP metrics.
Q:What was the performance in fiscal 25 and how was QCT's execution?
A:The performance in fiscal 25 was impressive with non GAAP revenues of $V billion and EPS of $E dollars representing year over year growth of 13% and 18% respectively. QCT achieved 16% year over year revenue growth, and delivered QCT operating margins in line with the long-term target. Over the past five years, non-GAAP QCT revenues grew at a 15% compounded annual growth rate.
Q:What is the guidance for the first fiscal quarter?
A:The guidance for the first fiscal quarter is revenues in the range of $11.8 to $12.6 billion and non GAAP EPS of $3.30 cents to $3.50 cents in QTL, revenues of $1.4 to $1.6 billion and EBITDA margins of 74% to 78% in QCT, and record revenues of $10.3 to $10.9 billion with EBT margins of 30% to 32% in QCT.
Q:What is the progress towards the 22 billion fiscal 29 revenue target?
A:The progress towards the 22 billion fiscal 29 revenue target is on track with a 36% year over year revenue growth in automotive and a 22% year over year revenue growth in industrial sectors. The increasing importance of artificial intelligence and high-performance computing validates the trajectory towards achieving the 14 billion revenue target in industrial areas.
Q:What are the details on the hyperscale engagement mentioned?
A:The details on the hyperscale engagement mentioned are that it is distinct from the Humane engagement and any timing details on this engagement were not provided in the transcript.
Q:What is the anticipated outcome of the company's work in the inference architecture?
A:The anticipated outcome is to generate the most amount of tokens with the least amount of power, which is the company's right to play.
Q:What is the company's approach to developing AI solutions and what progress has been made?
A:The company is developing AI solutions in a disciplined manner, starting with early experimentation with AI 100 to develop software, moving to AI 200 and AI 250, both the SOC and the system-on-chip solutions. They are pleased with the progress and will provide more details early next year.
Q:What is the company's strategy regarding market competition and customer engagement?
A:The company's strategy is to focus on execution and to show products performing well in the market. They are excited about the new chapter of expansion and are engaging with many companies in the market.
Q:What are the company's views on its performance in the Android space and market share expectations?
A:The company sees momentum in the Android space driving growth in the fourth quarter. The lead Android customer is potentially looking to use an internal modem more, but visibility into the company's share is limited. The company expects premium spending to drive upside in the handsets market.
Q:How does the company expect its relationship with Samsung to affect its market share?
A:The company's relationship with Samsung has historically had a financial assumption of a 75% share, which is expected to be the baseline. This is always the financial assumption for new Galaxy models, and occasionally they can achieve more than 75%.
Q:What expectations does the company have regarding revenue from data center products?
A:The company expects data center products to start contributing to revenue in fiscal year 28, potentially pulling in earlier into fiscal script. Data center revenue is expected to become material in fiscal script.
Q:What can be expected regarding interest in the company's data center inference solutions?
A:The company is receiving interest from companies needing to deploy significant compute for inference in the data center, especially given power and computer density constraints.
Q:Is the company guiding on the potential change in share with the primary Android customer for the upcoming quarters?
A:The company is not guiding beyond the first quarter and does not provide specific guidance on share changes with the primary Android customer for upcoming quarters. However, they note strong business momentum and expect the benefits to continue from the December quarter onwards.
Q:What is the impact of the new Snapdragon chip on the sequential revenue growth forecast?
A:The sequential revenue growth forecast for the QCT handset revenue stream in the December quarter is approximately low teens, and it is primarily driven by Android, with some benefit from Apple.
Q:Can you provide an update on the negotiations with Huawei for a license?
A:We actually don't have an update now. Discussions are still underway, and really nothing substantive to say beyond that.
Q:Is the non-apple QCT revenue growth primarily due to an increase in content or unit growth?
A:The non-apple QCT revenue growth is attributed to two primary drivers: a shift in the mix of units towards higher-value products and the ongoing growth within the premium tier content as more capable chips are delivered.
Q:Is the strength of the Snapdragon in September and December mainly in China and are there any concerns about pull-forward?
A:The strength of the Snapdragon in September and December is not just in China. Most major Chinese customers have already launched devices and the initial reception to these devices has been very positive. Global customers are expected to launch devices later in the quarter and into early next year, reflecting normal purchase patterns around device launches and positive consumer reaction.
Q:What is the significance of the different architecture mentioned in the press release?
A:The different architecture mentioned in the press release signifies a new approach by Qualcomm, focused on creating the highest possible compute density at the lowest cost in energy consumption. This is a departure from traditional GPU and HBM configurations and represents an advanced development within the company.
Q:To what extent has the growth in handsets been driven by Snapdragon ASPs, and what is the impact of higher Asps on future handset growth?
A:The growth in handsets has been driven by strong demand for more capable chips, leading to higher ASPs. The industry is expected to absorb these higher ASPs as there is a long-term trend of demand for advanced chips. There is also a multi-year trend of consumers purchasing more capable devices, which contributes to the growth.
Q:What components contribute to the outperformance in the December quarter guidance compared to market expectations?
A:The outperformance in the December quarter guidance compared to market expectations is expected to come from various segments, including IoT, autos, and handsets. The performance is due to factors such as a positive shift in the mix towards more premium devices and strong demand.

QUALCOMM, Inc.
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