维萨卡公司 (V.US) 2025年第四季度及全年业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Visa reported a 12% year-over-year increase in net revenue to $10.7 billion and a 10% rise in EPS for fiscal 2025. Key achievements include securing a global virtual travel card deal with Trip.com, expanding partnerships with BMO, and introducing Visa Direct, which saw a 27% transaction growth. The company emphasized its role in leading agent commerce and stablecoin opportunities through initiatives like Visa Intelligent Commerce and Visa Trusted Agent Protocol. Visa also outlined its strategic focus on innovation, investments in Visa as a Service, and plans for 2026, aiming for low double-digit net revenue and EPS growth amidst macroeconomic uncertainties.
会议速览
Visa reported strong fiscal Q4 and full year 2025 earnings with net revenue growth of 12% and 17% respectively. The company highlighted its focus on innovation and becoming a hyperscaler in payments, enabling businesses to build on Visa's infrastructure. Total payments processed reached $14 trillion, up 8% year-over-year, demonstrating Visa's expanding role in global money movement.
Visa highlights significant advancements in its network, services, and technologies, including the growth of endpoints, deployment of next-gen core processing, expansion of stablecoin capabilities, and enhanced risk management, aiming to revolutionize global commerce and money movement.
Visa introduces advanced solutions in digital commerce, including Visa Intelligent Commerce, Visa Flex, and Visa Accept, expanding global payment accessibility. Notable advancements include Visa Trusted Agent Protocol for secure checkouts, Visa Flex credential for unified funding sources, and Visa Accept for small sellers. Initiatives like tapped transactions and transit systems integration demonstrate Visa's commitment to innovation and global expansion.
Visa reports on its fiscal year 2025 achievements, focusing on innovation across its Visa as a Service stack, significant growth in commercial payments, and strategic partnerships. Highlights include the expansion of Tap to Phone, Visa Direct, and Visa Direct to account capabilities, as well as advancements in risk management and advisory services. Visa also emphasizes its commitment to clients and partners, showcasing its role as a leading payments platform and its preparation for major events like the 2026 FIFA World Cup and Olympic Games.
Visa reports a robust Q4 and fiscal year-end, with global payments volume up 9%, net revenue increasing 12%, and EPS rising 10%. Notable growth in Asia Pacific, e-commerce, and commercial solutions, alongside strong consumer spending, drove results. Revenue from commercial and money movement solutions, value-added services, and data processing exceeded expectations, with full-year CMS revenue growing 15% and value-added services revenue 23% in constant dollars.
Assumptions include macroeconomic stability, consistent pricing impacts, and FX benefits, projecting uniform quarterly contributions with Q3 being the most challenging. Full-year growth is forecasted in the low double digits, aligning with 2025's 11% nominal growth rate.
Revenue is expected to grow significantly in Q1 due to pricing actions, with investments in Visa as a service, consumer payments, and AI targeting long-term growth, alongside heightened marketing spend for the Olympics and FIFA.
Outlook includes non-operating expenses of $125M-$175M for 2026, a 14% quarterly dividend hike, and Q1 adjusted net revenue growth in the high end of low double digits, with adjusted EPS growth in the low teens. Non-GAAP tax rate expected between 18.5%-19% in 2026, up from 18% in prior years due to absence of one-time benefits. Constant dollar US payments volume up 7%, with e-commerce and travel sectors seeing growth. Strategy focuses on balancing short and long-term considerations amidst a healthy underlying business and significant growth opportunities.
Discusses Visa's robust FY25 performance, emphasizing business diversification and consistent spend growth across categories, reinforcing consumer resilience and positive FY26 projections.
Visa is leading in agent commerce by setting standards and innovating with Visa Intelligent Commerce and the Visa Trusted Agent Protocol, aiming for open standards and easy merchant integration, signaling a significant opportunity for the ecosystem.
Discusses agent commerce's potential to accelerate e-commerce adoption, expand merchant reach, and increase transaction volumes, while addressing security concerns and integration challenges.
Discussed factors behind high data processing yield, including new pricing and mix, with faster growth in higher yielding cross-border regions. Sustainability questioned due to Vas expansion, emphasizing need for ongoing performance analysis.
The dialogue discusses Visa's commitment to AI and agent commerce, highlighting its leadership in establishing efficient payment processes. It also covers the deployment of the new Visa Net, emphasizing its role in accelerating product development and adapting to regional requirements, positioning Visa favorably for future advancements in e-commerce and mobile commerce.
Discussion reveals Latin America's growth slowdown, particularly noting Argentina's moderating inflation, yet the region maintains strong performance.
Discusses the role of tokenization as a foundational element for secure transactions and the Visa trusted agent protocol as an open standard to enhance merchant integration, emphasizing collaboration across the commerce ecosystem for scalable and secure commerce solutions.
Visa anticipates a strong holiday sales quarter, attributing resilience to stable consumer spending and macroeconomic conditions. The company highlights a continued trend of robust cross-border growth, with e-commerce surpassing pre-pandemic levels and now constituting 40% of the business, growing faster than travel.
Discusses stablecoin opportunities in issuance, settlement network modernization, and cross-border money movement, emphasizing emerging markets and targeted product development.
The dialogue discusses the recent improvements in Asia PAC, particularly in China, and evaluates their sustainability. It highlights the momentum in China and AP as a whole, projecting continued growth opportunities in the region.
The dialogue explores the significant increase in value added services' contribution to revenue, highlighting a shift from 20% to nearly 30%, with growth rates climbing from high teens to mid-20s. It also delves into the factors driving the approximately 30% growth in RPO, emphasizing the role of value in kind as a key incentive for client engagement and value creation, while acknowledging its supplementary impact on value added services and other business segments.
The dialogue focused on Visa's strategic investments aimed at long-term growth, emphasizing efficient business management and strong financial performance. Key areas of investment include agentic, stablecoins, and expanding services like Visa Pay and Visa Accept. The company remains committed to balancing short, medium, and long-term returns, ensuring strong shareholder returns and industry-leading margins. Excitement was expressed over future opportunities and the alignment of product pipelines with sales strategies.
要点回答
Q:What were the financial results for Visa's fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2025?
A:For Visa's fiscal fourth quarter, net revenue grew 12% year over year to $10.7 billion, with EPS up 10%. Full year net revenue and EPS showed year over year growth of 14% and 13% respectively. Total year payments were $14 trillion, up 8% year over year in constant dollars, and processed transactions totaled 258 billion, up 10% year over year.
Q:What are the key achievements in the services layer of Visa's as a service stack?
A:In the services layer, Visa has grown the number of Visa credentials by 270 million, and signed several new deals to drive further growth. Notable highlights include the renewal of the nearly 60-year relationship with Barclays in the UK and the US, an expanded relationship with Southwest Airlines, a new deal with Scotia Bank Wealth Management, and continued upgrades to China Merchants Bank's cards. The number of Visa tokens has risen to over 16 billion from 10 billion just in May 2024. Visa's risk management capabilities have also been enhanced, including Visa Scam disruption that proactively detects scam activity at the network level.
Q:How has Visa's network of networks grown, and what new capabilities does it now support?
A:Visa's network of networks has expanded with more connection points, now supporting approximately 12 billion endpoints including 4 billion cards, bank accounts, and digital wallets. It adds support for four stablecoins running on four unique blockchains, representing two currencies that can be accepted and converted to over 25 traditional fiat currencies. Additionally, the next generation of Visa Net, the core processing platform, has been deployed with a cloud-ready, microservices, distributed modular architecture using open languages and technologies to facilitate easier scaling, faster feature deployment, and enhance development speed, security, and maintainability.
Q:What progress has been made with Visa's stablecoin platform?
A:Visa's stablecoin platform has seen over $140 billion in crypto and stablecoin flows, with users purchasing and spending assets using Visa credentials. There are now more than 130 stablecoin linked card issuing programs in over 40 countries, and stablecoin linked Visa card spend has quadrupled in Q4 versus a year ago. Visa has added more stablecoins and blockchains for settlement, with monthly volume surpassing a $2.5 billion annualized run rate. The Visa Tokenized Asset platform enables banks to mint and burn their own stablecoins and enhances cross-border money movement with Visa Direct.
Q:What advancements have been made at the solutions layer of the Visa as a service stack?
A:At the solutions layer, Visa has introduced new features and capabilities such as Visa Intelligent Commerce, Visa Flex, and Visa Accept. Visa Intelligent Commerce integrates token technology with authentication and predictive analytics to provide secure, personalized digital commerce experiences. Visa Flex has gained momentum with over 1 million signups in 15 European markets. Visa Accept enables small sellers to accept card payments easily. Visa Pay connects any participating wallet to any Visa accepting seller worldwide. Additionally, 79% of all face-to-face transactions are now taps, up 8 percentage points from the previous year.
Q:What is the latest status of Visa's Tap to Phone solution and its impact on micro and large sellers?
A:Tap to Phone has passed 20 million transacting devices, more than doubling since the previous year, with strong growth across all regions. The solution provides an easy, low-cost method for micro sellers to begin accepting card payments and for large sellers to add additional mobile terminals. Visa's TrueTap card launched a year ago has strong adoption, offering a simplified, secure customer experience with simple card taps to mobile devices. Over 600 issuers globally are now participating in Tap to Phone, live for over 1.4 billion Visa Credit and Debit cards.
Q:What business wins were highlighted for the virtual card credentials and enhanced spend management capabilities?
A:The company highlighted winning the global virtual travel card issuing business with trip.com, expanding their partnership with BMO through which they offer the spend clarity for Enterprise tool, and securing a de novo issuing relationship with ICICI Bank in India for its first corporate Forex prepaid card. Additionally, the company's Visa SMB cards in India doubled since 2020, reaching over 10 million, and their total commercial cards grew to 340 million worldwide.
Q:How has Visa Direct contributed to the company's growth?
A:Visa Direct has reached 12.6 billion transactions in full year 2025, up 27% year over year. It has helped expand cross-orderr payouts with partnerships such as with KCB in East Africa, Touch and Go e-wallet in Malaysia, and Raji in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company's interoperability capabilities enabled renewal with Yape and Plin in Peru, and they signed their first Pismo deal for a stable coin linked card with Is Pay in Europe. The Token Management Service (TMS) has provided integration simplicity for merchants and acquiring clients, and they signed with Booking.com for TMS and account updater across more than 65 markets.
Q:What is the significance of the Visa Advanced Authorization in detecting fraud?
A:Visa Advanced Authorization evaluates more than 400 unique attributes in milliseconds, helping detect fraud. The first bank in Latin America and the Caribbean, Banco Diners in Ecuador, deployed a network agnostic solution to score both Visa and non-Visa transactions. In a six-month pilot in Brazil, Visa Prote for A2A scored nearly $500 billion of bank partners' pick volume, identified over $90 million of fraud, and had a detection rate of more than 80%.
Q:How are the company's risk and security solutions performing?
A:The company's risk and security solutions are network agnostic and are being sought after by clients, with over 100 closed client deals since January. Visa Prote for A2A has delivered value with AI and is helping to reduce fraud and ensure a safer payment experience for buyers and sellers. The most recently acquired risk capabilities from Feature Space are in high demand.
Q:What new marketing opportunities are presented by the company's sponsorships?
A:The company's flagship sponsorships include the FIFA World Cup 2026 in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, and the Olympic and Paralympic Winter Games in Milano Cortina. They are seeing significant interest from clients for unique cardholder experiences and brand building. Marketing campaigns for the Olympic and Paralympic Games have generated engagement with over 35 clients for the 2026 Games and more than 70 for the FIFA World Cup 2026, with over 100 in the pipeline.
Q:What access and service layers does Visa's as a service stack provide?
A:Visa's as a service stack includes an open partnership approach to provide value by enabling access to Visa solutions through multiple integration methods, including custom integrations, programmatic access via APIs, and structured data exchange through the Model Context Protocol (MCP) server. This allows anyone from small businesses to global banks to build on top of the Visa stack and operate at scale instantly.
Q:What were the company's revenue and earnings growth figures for the fiscal year 2025?
A:The company had strong fiscal year 2025 performance with total revenue growth of 11%, net revenue up 12% year over year, and EPS up 10% year over year in nominal and constant dollars. Full year 2025 net revenue was $40 billion, and EPS was $11.47. CMS revenue grew 15% and value-added services revenue grew 23% on a constant dollar basis.
Q:What differentiates the Visa Trusted Agent Protocol from other protocols?
A:The Visa Trusted Agent Protocol is distinguished by two key features: it is open, featuring an open set of standards which is crucial for widespread adoption in agent commerce, and it is easy to integrate, built on existing web infrastructure that allows for quick integration into existing messaging standards.
Q:What is the estimated timeline for material volumes in agent commerce according to the speaker?
A:The speaker indicates that it is still early days for agent commerce and that the evolution is similar to what was seen in e-commerce. Initially, consumers used agents for discovery, then they moved to actual merchant sites to purchase. The next steps involve integrating buy capabilities into the shopping journey and empowering agents to make purchases without human intervention. The full materialization of these stages will unfold over time, but the speaker does not provide a specific timeline for when material volumes will be achieved.
Q:What factors contributed to the increase in data processing revenue?
A:The increase in data processing revenue was attributed to new pricing implemented by the company in the second half of the fiscal year, which benefited in the third and fourth quarters and carried into the first quarter. Additionally, the revenue growth was influenced by a shift in mix, which refers to the varying yields from different products, services, clients, and regions.
Q:How will the new VisaNet rollout impact product development and the network's efficiency?
A:The new VisaNet rollout is intended to expedite product development and position the network effectively for future growth, particularly in the realm of agent commerce and stablecoins. The speaker highlights that Visa is building the necessary infrastructure, regulations, rules, and processes to support emerging technologies and platforms. The implementation of the next generation of e-net allows for quicker adaptation to ecosystem changes, regional and country-specific requirements, and will ultimately benefit the entire ecosystem and partners.
Q:What challenges are being faced in Latin America, specifically in Argentina?
A:In Latin America, a slowdown in volume growth was experienced, with the biggest contributor being the moderation of inflation in Argentina. Despite this, the region still exhibited strong growth. Overall, Latin America remains a high-growth region and the speaker is pleased with the performance.
Q:What is the role of tokenization in Visa's strategy for trusted transactions?
A:Tokenization is a critical building block that enables safe, secure, and trusted transactions with agents on behalf of users. It is embedded across the ecosystem, well-known, and globally adopted, supporting the scaling of standards related to the trusted agent protocol.
Q:What are the two main reasons for the expected growth in the use of the Trusted Agent Protocol?
A:The expected growth in the use of the Trusted Agent Protocol is due to it being an open standard and designed to be lightweight and easy for merchants to integrate with.
Q:How is Visa anticipating the upcoming holiday quarter and what factors are contributing to its expectations?
A:Visa is anticipating a strong upcoming holiday quarter, bolstered by the resilience of the consumer, a stable macro environment, and pricing from a year ago. The guidance reflects a strong Q1 performance, supported by stable underlying drivers.
Q:What trends are being observed in cross-border growth compared to e-commerce and travel?
A:Cross-border growth is above the pres COVID-19 trend, with a shift in the mix of volume towards e-commerce, which now constitutes about 40% of the business and is growing at a faster rate than travel.
Q:What opportunities does Visa see in the issuance and modernization of settlement networks with stablecoins?
A:Visa sees opportunities in the issuance and modernization of settlement networks with stablecoins, particularly in emerging markets and cross-border money movement. They have been capturing opportunities through products like Pismo, working with clients in the consulting business, and leveraging stablecoins for cross-border money movement.
Q:What factors contributed to the recent improvement in results in mainland China and the Asia-Pacific region?
A:The improvement in mainland China and the Asia-Pacific region is attributed to timing and idiosyncratic factors which are expected to normalize. The results are positive, and the region is an important growth opportunity moving forward.
Q:What has been driving the growth in revenue for Value Added Services (VAS)?
A:The growth in revenue for Value Added Services (VAS) has been driven by value in kind, which is an important incentive lever for clients to drive value for themselves and contributes to strong client engagement and value for Visa. However, it does not drive the majority of VAS revenue.
Q:What is Visa's investment strategy and how does it relate to growth and profit?
A:Visa's investment strategy is focused on short, medium, and long-term returns. They invest in opportunities that align with their growth strategies, such as emerging trends like agency and stablecoins. By doing so, they aim to deliver on their growth framework, which includes compelling profit growth and strong shareholder returns.

Visa, Inc.
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