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星巴克公司 (SBUX.US) 2025财年第三季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Starbucks is focusing on operational improvements, digital loyalty enhancements, international growth, and financial stability. Key initiatives include expanding network connections, innovating the loyalty program, testing new beverages, and transforming the coffee house portfolio. The company aims to optimize mobile orders, introduce customizable energy offerings, and complete at least 1,000 coffee house uplifts by 2026. Additionally, Starbucks is evaluating strategic partnerships for growth in China and reported a quarterly revenue of $9.5 billion with varied performance across regions.
会议速览
Starbucks 2025 financial year third quarter performance conference call
The conference call discussed the financial performance of Starbucks in the third quarter of the fiscal year 2025, including non-GAAP results, revenue, operating profit margin, and growth indicators for earnings per share. Participants were also reminded to pay attention to the risks and uncertainties of forward-looking statements, and were provided with ways to access relevant SEC documents. The conference also mentioned reconciliation information between non-GAAP measures and GAAP measures, as well as arrangements for webcasting and archiving.
Starbucks' business transformation and future development plan
Starbucks is rapidly advancing the transformation of its business and culture based on feedback from customers and partners. Although global comparable store sales decreased this quarter, comparable sales growth was achieved in the Chinese market. Customer satisfaction in the North American region has improved, with reduced complaints, particularly increasing transaction volumes and perceived value among younger customer groups. In addition, Starbucks has emphasized its strengths in technology, drive-thru, digital, and delivery services, and plans to further consolidate its market position and customer experience through a series of operational changes, adjustments to its store portfolio, and innovative strategies.
Starbucks is promoting a large-scale green service model to enhance customer experience and sales.
Starbucks is currently promoting its green service model on a full scale, marking the company's largest investment in operational standards and customer service to date. The green service model focuses on five key moments, including building customer connections and enhancing experiences, as well as adjusting employee schedules, working hours, and peak hour coverage, aiming to provide consistent and scalable service standards. In addition, Starbucks has introduced intelligent queueing technology and advanced order sorting algorithms to ensure consistency and timeliness in service across all points of contact. In the pilot phase, this service model has shown significant results, including cost and service quality improvements, sales growth, and increased customer satisfaction. Meanwhile, Starbucks plans to introduce new growth tools in the next fiscal quarter to further drive same-store sales growth, and improve inventory management to meet existing demand and reduce stockouts.
Starbucks announces transformation of North American coffee shops and future development strategies.
Starbucks plans to undergo a major transformation of its coffee shops in North America, aiming to create a more cozy and highly connected customer experience. The company plans to invest approximately $150,000 in each store for a quick renovation, introducing more textures, warmth, and layered designs while maintaining the continuity of store operations. In addition, Starbucks is developing a prototype for "future coffee shops," with the first prototype set to open in 2026, featuring 32 seats and convenient drive-thru service at a cost about 30% lower than traditional store fronts. The company also plans to complete an evaluation of its coffee shops in North America by the end of the 2026 fiscal year to ensure the rationality and profitability of store locations, and will discontinue operating store models that only offer mobile orders and pick-up. Meanwhile, Starbucks will enhance customer experience and economic benefits through menu innovation, digital loyalty programs, and reducing reliance on promotions, driving the transformation and growth of its North American business.
Starbucks' international business has surpassed $2 billion in quarterly revenue, with continuous growth in the China region.
Starbucks' international business achieved over $2 billion in revenue for the first time in a single quarter. In China, the company has seen revenue growth for three consecutive quarters through short-term strategy adjustments, with overall comparable sales turning positive. Beverage innovations, customized options, and adjustments to non-product pricing strategies have helped expand customer base and drive sales in the afternoon and evening. Starbucks has also shown strong performance in other global markets, such as the UK and Latin America, demonstrating sustained sales growth and profitability. The company plans to further accelerate international market growth through strategic partnerships and will hold an Investor Day in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 to showcase its long-term plans and ambitions.
Starbucks Third Quarter Performance Report and Strategy Adjustment
Starbucks achieved revenue of $9.5 billion in the third quarter, a 3% year-on-year increase, mainly driven by a 6% growth in net new company-operated stores, but partially offset by a 2% decline in comparable store sales. In terms of global comparable store sales performance, the US market saw a 2% decrease, with transaction costs falling by less than 4%. Despite the impact of the lack of private discount promotions last year, the operating transaction volume of the US company improved for two consecutive quarters, while the proportion of stores with positive transaction volume has also increased for three consecutive quarters.
Starbucks third quarter performance review and future development strategy
Starbucks showed significant signs of recovery in the third quarter performance, especially with growth in revenue in central business districts and non-Starbucks Rewards members, as well as achieving the first year-over-year transaction growth since the pandemic recovery. Transaction volume for Starbucks Rewards customers also continues to increase each quarter, and the company plans to further drive growth and loyalty among this customer segment through a redesigned loyalty program. In the U.S., ticket growth reached 2%, primarily driven by product innovations, especially in food. While revenue from licensed stores decreased in the retail segment, sales in airports and university campuses saw growth. In international markets, 7 major markets achieved positive comparable store sales growth, with a 2% increase in comparable sales in the Chinese market thanks to successful pricing innovations and strong marketing activities. In Japan, although same-store sales were negative this quarter, the brand remains strong. Revenue from the Channel Development department increased by 10%, mainly due to increased revenue from the Global Coffee Alliance. Starbucks opened a total of 2008 new stores globally this quarter, primarily in the U.S. and China. The company is conducting a comprehensive evaluation of its store portfolio to ensure that each store represents the brand and customer commitment, with plans to complete this evaluation by the end of the year. In terms of capital deployment, Starbucks is committed to reducing costs for new store openings and renovations while maintaining a welcoming environment and high profit margins. Despite a decrease in earnings per share this quarter, the company remains committed to its capital allocation strategy, maintaining a strong financial position and credit rating, while returning cash to shareholders through dividends.
Starbucks Forecast and Detailed Investment Strategy
Starbucks executives detailed the company's long-term strategies and investment plans, emphasizing ongoing efforts in existing innovation plans and brand building, as well as anticipation for the upcoming pumpkin spice latte sales season. At the same time, the company is actively addressing uncertain consumer environments and cost pressures, laying the groundwork early through key projects like 'Green for Service'. It is expected that performance will continue to improve with the implementation of the 'Back to Starbucks' strategy in 2026. Additionally, Starbucks plans to invest over $500 million in additional labor hours for its company-operated stores in the US in the next year to optimize cost structures, improve efficiency, and enhance customer experience. Despite facing challenges of increased costs in the short term, these investments are expected to drive higher profit margins and financial performance in the long run.
Starbucks discusses long-term cost structure optimization and profit goals.
Starbucks emphasized in the discussion its efforts to optimize cost structure in the short and long term, as well as to achieve long-term profitability goals through establishing a sustainable operating model. The discussion mentioned 2019 as a reference point, with the aim of reaching or even surpassing the profitability level of that year in the future. Additionally, Starbucks plans to detail its profit path and long-term goals at an investor day in early 2026, demonstrating confidence in cost control, innovation, and sustained growth.
Starbucks discusses the promotion and innovation plan of the green service model.
In the conversation, Starbucks discussed the promotion plan of the green service model, expecting the model to gradually start implementation at all stores by mid-month. It was also mentioned that time is needed for employees to adapt to the new labor model and for customers to experience the improvement in service. In addition, the role of system managers and their importance in the internal promotion mechanism of the company was mentioned, emphasizing the mission of cultivating talents from within and planning the training and promotion path for middle management personnel.
Starbucks' operational improvements and food innovation strategy
Starbucks has achieved a continuous improvement in customer experience by implementing operational improvement platforms and green service models. At the same time, its marketing strategy has also shown positive effects, especially in increasing the number of non-discount reward and non-reward transaction customers. In addition, Starbucks is drawing on the experience of food innovation in places like Canada and London, planning to promote successful food options to global markets, including the United States.
Starbucks discusses the optimization of its service model, green initiatives, and loyalty rewards program.
During the discussion, the company elaborated on the improvements to its service model, particularly the progress made through the implementation of a green service model in its 24/7 operations, as well as the rethinking of its loyalty rewards program aimed at better recognizing and rewarding customers with different spending frequencies. Additionally, the challenges of maintaining speed, accuracy, and consistency in the innovation process were emphasized, along with the importance of innovating existing production processes while ensuring these standards are met.
Starbucks drives business growth through innovation and cost control.
Starbucks emphasizes the importance of innovation and close collaboration with customers and partners in order to meet customer needs. They work together with store employees (called 'baristas') to develop new products and services, ensuring that innovation can be effectively implemented and meet customer expectations. In addition, through menu simplification and optimizing mobile payments, Starbucks aims to reduce non-productive labor for employees and improve work efficiency. At the same time, the company sets up incentive mechanisms based on cost reduction to encourage all employees to work hard to lower operational costs, achieving better financial performance and business growth.
Starbucks accelerates the launch of green APRO service model and successful measurement standards.
In the test, the green APRO service model was successfully implemented in 2000 stores, demonstrating effective personnel allocation and technology application, especially in the intelligent order system. This prompted the company to decide to fully promote this service in all stores across the United States before the end of summer. Key indicators for measuring the success of the model include customer satisfaction, correct staffing, meeting speed requirements, and ultimately transaction growth, all of which will be reflected through a growth scorecard. In addition, the new service model will be fully launched before the busy season in autumn, expected to provide a better customer experience for upcoming holiday sales peaks such as Pumpkin Spice Latte.
Starbucks' strategy of facing competition in the American market and finding strategic partners in China.
When facing competition pressure from various aspects in the American market, Starbucks focuses mainly on enhancing brand value, strengthening customer service, and solidifying its unique position in consumers' hearts. When discussing its operations in China, Starbucks expressed its willingness to seek strategic partners, emphasizing the need to find a partner who shares its mission and values to operate more effectively in the local market. It also hopes that through collaboration with local partners, it can ensure the continuous growth and success of the Starbucks brand in the future Chinese market.
Starbucks discusses product innovation, value positioning, and future pricing strategies.
During the discussion, the company emphasized the importance of product innovation in different time periods and occasions, including considering different cup sizes and price points to meet consumer demands. At the same time, the company reiterated its positioning as a high-end brand committed to providing a premium experience, with pricing being the last consideration in its business model. Although future price adjustments are inevitable, the company will try to minimize the extent of price changes.
Starbucks 2025 Fiscal Third Quarter Performance and Future Development Strategy
In the performance discussion in the third quarter of the 2025 fiscal year, Starbucks top management detailed the market challenges currently facing the company, including changes in the competitive environment, adjustments in consumer behavior, and macroeconomic pressures. They emphasized the importance of attracting customers back through strengthening the "green service" model and continuous innovation, believing this to be key to driving business growth. Additionally, Starbucks plans to lay a solid foundation for future development through large-scale investments and operational reforms. They also mentioned a repositioning of the cafe strategy to focus more on community connections and innovation, demonstrating the company's confidence and strategic planning for future development.
要点回答
Q:What are the planned innovations for Starbucks in fiscal year 2026?
A:In fiscal year 2026, Starbucks plans to bring a consistent stream of innovation to market, build a robust menu innovation pipeline, and introduce new offerings such as protein cocon which has become one of their most popular modifiers. They will also reimagined the artisanal bake case, introduce a new 1971 Dark roast coffee, and launch more experiential beverages and nutritious satisfaction points, including new coconut water-based tea and coffee beverages.
Q:How is Starbucks enhancing its digital business?
A:Starbucks is enhancing its digital business with the new Starbucks app and significant enhancements to order and pay to improve the customer experience at pickup. This is part of the company's broader aim to improve its digital platform in line with their 2026 goal.
Q:What is the significance of the international business's performance?
A:The international business significance lies in achieving more than $2 billion in quarterly revenue for the first time ever, and the potential to scale changes from the U.S. like lower cost store bills and renovations globally to create opportunities for faster business growth.
Q:What changes in China are contributing to revenue growth?
A:In China, near-term changes have contributed to revenue growth with three consecutive quarters of revenue growth and positive total comps. The revenue growth is attributed to beverage innovation, new customization options, changes in non-pro pricing, broadening the customer base, bolstering afternoon and evening sales, and the impact of lower cost store bills and renovations.
Q:What is the status of the partnership discussions for Starbucks in China?
A:Starbucks is in discussions with more than 20 parties regarding potential strategic partnerships. The company remains committed to the China business and seeks to retain a meaningful stake. The discussions indicate significant interest in partnering with Starbucks due to the brand's strength and the long-term opportunity in China.
Q:How is performance in other global markets?
A:Other global markets such as the UK and various regions in EEMEA are seeing improvements with positive comparable sales and revenue growth. Even in challenging economic environments, the business in Turkey performed strongly, and Starbucks maintained double-digit year-over-year growth in system sales, revenue, and operating income in Latin America.
Q:How will the leadership team's investment in experience affect the company?
A:The investment in leadership experience is expected to improve service delivery and customer experience. The event of Green for Service was highlighted as a galvanizing moment for the company, with employees returning to their communities to take action and deliver world-class customer service.
Q:What is the company's position on capital allocation and financial strength?
A:Starbucks remains committed to its capital allocation strategy, which includes maintaining a strong balance sheet and an A credit rating, as well as returning cash to shareholders via dividends. For the upcoming year, the company provided guidance and is conservative on how current year-over-year trends will change in Q4 for the U.S. company operating business due to the uncertain consumer environment.
Q:What are the strategies Starbucks is implementing to mitigate the impact of coffee prices and tariffs?
A:Starbucks is mitigating expected tariff exposure outside of green coffees, reducing green coffee prices through buying and hedging practices, and increasing coffee coverage due to price declines.
Q:How are Starbucks' investments in labor hours expected to affect the company's cost structure and financial performance?
A:Investments of over half a billion dollars in additional labor hours are expected to offset cost pressures, drive a healthier and more efficient cost structure, and fund the back product strategy. This will help in weathering macro headwinds and simultaneously investing in the US company-operated portfolio.
Q:Can Starbucks fully offset the significant investment in labor hours with cost savings, or will sales leverage be required?
A:Starbucks is working on short and long-term cost structure efficiency and is putting in place durable and sustainable activities. While exact quantification of cost offsets is not provided, it is clear that some offset will come together quickly while some will take longer. The strategy is to address the cost structure long-term and grow to see improvements in the bottom line as the top line improves.
Q:What is the strategy for returning Starbucks to pre-COVID profitability and the role of the cost structure?
A:The strategy for returning to pre-COVID profitability involves focusing on driving the top line and then setting up a cost structure that can deliver expected profitability. The company is working on a clear path to approach the 2019 profitability levels and has emphasized the importance of a strong cost structure. As of now, there is a focus on laying out the path to achieve this, and the company is confident in the progress being made.
Q:How is the Green Service model being implemented across Starbucks' store base?
A:The Green Service model started rolling out in mid-August and is expected to take time to implement across all stores and for processors to adjust. It takes time to get into a rhythm with new team members and for customers to recognize a different service experience. However, it is anticipated that as time progresses, the benefits of the Green Service model will become apparent, and the company is excited about the potential for future innovation.
Q:What is Starbucks' approach to innovation and growth from a place of strength?
A:Starbucks' approach to innovation and growth is centered around a strong foundation and the use of innovation to enhance the business. The company is focused on being more efficient and is investing in the assistant manager role to build a pipeline for future store managers. By mastering the size of operations, promoting within the company, and providing opportunities for growth, Starbucks aims to ensure a robust future for the company.
Q:What positive effects have the company's marketing strategies had on business?
A:The company's marketing strategies have led to a pick-up in non-reward and non-discount customer transactions and an increase in the number of transactions over the past year in the third quarter. The strategies have also been amplified by improved service in stores.
Q:What is the team's plan regarding food and what is its potential for international expansion?
A:The team has been exploring the food options in Toronto and considering what works well for international expansion, including adapting these options for the US market and potentially other global locations. Improvements have been made to the base case in London, with more opportunity to enhance the food offering.
Q:How does the company plan to leverage its global examples of success?
A:The company plans to take advantage of successes seen in various global locations by sharing these insights with license partners and determining where it makes sense to bring these ideas into the United States market.
Q:What challenges and changes are noted in the rewards program?
A:The rewards program has been criticized for being too focused on discounts rather than recognizing customer loyalty and engagement. The company is moving towards a system that better tailors recognition of loyalty and engagement, aiming for a more effective and relevant rewards program that will be presented in more detail in February.
Q:How does the company ensure consistency and effective implementation of innovations in its stores?
A:The company aims to ensure that innovations are not only unique but also practical for partners in the stores. By working with field partners and baristas, innovations are developed in a co-built manner, focusing on customer needs and ensuring consistent execution. The starting five menu simplification is part of this effort, as well as the use of research to fine-tune programs like the protein platform, which is set to be introduced later in the year.
Q:What is the goal of the bonus contingent on reducing operating expenses and what does it aim to achieve?
A:The bonus contingent on reducing operating expenses aims to incentivize the organization to focus on cost management with a goal to improve the overall cost structure. This is to ensure that as the company grows, there is a positive correlation between top-line revenue and bottom-line profitability.
Q:Why was the decision made to expedite the rollout of the green service model and what confidence did the earlier tests provide?
A:The decision to expedite the rollout was based on positive results from pilots, effective staff training, deployment in the right locations, and the support of technology such as the smart ordering algorithm. Notable outcomes included reduced transaction waste and successful integration into the company's performance metrics. The positive outcomes demonstrated the model's scalability and readiness for wider implementation before the fall holiday season.
Q:What does the speaker see as the greatest challenge for Starbucks in the US business with respect to competition and value perception?
A:The speaker considers ensuring the bank is perceived to be valuable as critical, focusing on making the brand more valuable for customers in the future. They emphasize the green service model as a foundational element for great customer service, which they believe is uniquely valuable to Starbucks.
Q:What are the primary goals for Starbucks in seeking a strategic partnership in China?
A:The primary goals for Starbucks in seeking a partner in China include finding a partner that shares its mission and values, operates effectively in the local market, and ensures the brand is in a better place in the future. The intention is not about capital but about operating effectively and ensuring the brand remains strong.
Q:How does the speaker view the role of innovation and value in the new products that are set to be released by Starbucks?
A:The speaker believes innovation should be relevant to the day part, occasion, and customer experience targeted by Starbucks. They aim to ensure the innovation aligns with being a premium brand and enhances the customer's premium experience. Value is a critical consideration in how the new products are sized and priced.
Q:Why does the speaker believe that pricing should be a last resort for Starbucks, and what is their stance on using it in the future?
A:The speaker views pricing as the last lever to pull, preferring to hold off on it as much as possible. However, they acknowledge the necessity of pricing in the future as part of the business model and express a preference for using it only as a last resort and to the least extent necessary.
Q:What does the speaker identify as critical components of Starbucks' strategy to attract customers back to their stores?
A:The speaker identifies that it is a combination of things that will bring customers back to Starbucks stores, with the green apron service model being mission-critical and step one. Relevant innovation and staying in front of customer culture are also seen as crucial parts of the strategy.
Q:What is the speaker's focus in the current business environment and how does it align with Starbucks' brand vision?
A:The speaker's focus in the current business environment is on controlling what they can within their operations, which aligns with the brand vision of valuing every customer and setting partners up for success. They emphasize that innovation is essential and that the business is turning around despite challenges.
Q:What is the speaker's stance on the importance of operational foundations and strategic investments for Starbucks?
A:The speaker stresses the importance of laying an operational foundation and making strategic investments to ensure Starbucks not only becomes stronger and more resilient but is also ready to innovate at scale. They express excitement about early signs of success and the ambition of the new leadership team.
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