波音公司 (BA.US) 2025年第二季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Boeing discusses addressing engine anti-icing issues, ambitious production rate increases for the MAX model, supply chain management strategies, margin improvement plans, and strategic planning for future aircraft designs. The company also highlights significant orders, recovery plan progress, improved program execution, and strong demand for specific models. Notable advancements include production rate achievements for the 737 and 787 models, stabilizing operations in the defense sector, and expanding global services.
会议速览

During the second quarter of 2025, in Boeing's financial report conference call, the company's executives expressed condolences for the recent air disasters and promised to provide assistance. At the same time, they emphasized that the company is steadily implementing recovery plans, committed to stabilizing operations, strengthening project execution, and changing corporate culture to lay the foundation for future development.

Boeing announced its largest wide-body aircraft order in history, involving up to 210 commercial aircraft, further driving its success in the defense sector. The company has successfully reduced travel workload by 50%, addressed safety and quality issues raised by employees, and streamlined over 1500 board construction documents to ensure the safe and high-quality delivery of aircraft. As of the second quarter, Boeing has delivered 150 commercial aircraft, with a total of 280 delivered in the first half of the year, the highest since 2018. The company plans to gradually increase the monthly production of the 737 and 787 to 42 and 7 aircraft, respectively, and is currently working with the FAA to stabilize production systems and seek approval.

Boeing is steadily advancing the 777X flight test program, having completed over 1400 flights and 4000 hours of flight time without any new technical issues. Production of the first 777X-8 aircraft has begun, and certification of derivative models of the 737 MAX family is expected to be completed by 2026. In the defense sector, Steve Park has been appointed permanent CEO of Boeing Defense, with the company making good progress on fixed-price development projects and signing several important contracts with the U.S. Air Force and Navy. The global services division continues to deliver outstanding performance, supporting both defense and commercial customers and expanding service networks worldwide. Additionally, Boeing is actively addressing the impact of the pandemic on global trade, while working on policy development and mitigating the effects of tariffs.

The leader of the aerospace industry in the United States emphasizes the importance of free trade for business, particularly highlighting the importance of maintaining a continuous supply chain. Despite facing challenges such as input costs and tariffs, the situation has improved through negotiation agreements such as bilateral agreements between the United States and the European Union and the United Kingdom. The industry appreciates the support from the government and is optimistic about resolving trade issues related to aircraft and components, while also focusing on stabilizing operations, improving project execution efficiency, and laying the groundwork for future development.

The company has recently promoted cultural transformation, including the establishment of new values and codes of conduct, which employees have responded positively to. This month, the company has further implemented a new performance management approach aimed at enhancing accountability, promoting career development, and measuring employee achievements through values and behaviors. These measures are crucial for the promotion and development of employees. The company's leadership expressed gratitude for the hard work of employees, emphasizing their contributions to the company's performance and customer commitments. At the same time, financial reports show that this quarter's revenue reached $42.7 billion, with a core loss per share of about $24, a significant improvement compared to last year, mainly due to increased business delivery volume and improved operational efficiency. The cash flow used was $2 million, reflecting an increase in business delivery volume and optimization of capital expenditures. Additionally, the company announced senior management changes, thanking the soon-to-be departing CFO and looking forward to the new CFO's arrival. In terms of product delivery and orders, the company has made significant progress, demonstrating long-term production plans and market confidence.

In the recent quarter, Boeing successfully delivered 70% of its projects, totaling 104 aircraft, including 42 produced in June, with a steady increase in production rate to 38 aircraft per month. Spirit AeroSystems continues to provide high-quality components, which is beneficial for production and recovery. Despite facing challenges such as inventory adjustments and certification delays, Boeing expects to maintain a production rate of 38 aircraft per month in the coming months, with plans to reduce inventory to more normal levels by 2023. The 777 project also showed improved stability in the quarter, with a current production rate of 7.1 aircraft per month and approximately 15 aircraft in inventory. In addition, the Defense, Space & Security department delivered 34 aircraft and two satellites in the quarter, with operating profit margin significantly increasing to 1.7%, reflecting the continuous recovery of the business and efforts towards high-profit margin goals. In terms of development projects, such as the MQ-25 and T-7 projects, Boeing is dedicated to reducing risks and delivering key capabilities to customers.

This business portfolio is expected to return to historical performance levels in the future, through stable production, executing development plans, and transitioning to new contracts with more stringent underwriting standards. Business Growth Services (BGS) has shown strong performance, with significant financial results and an order backlog of $22 billion, with revenue increasing by 8% year-on-year to $5.3 billion, mainly driven by increased commercial and government business volumes. Operating profit margin rose to 19.9%, with both commercial and government businesses achieving double-digit profit margins. In terms of cash and debt, the market net balance is $53.3 billion, the company maintains an unused credit line of $10 billion, while paying attention to investment ratings and supply chain stability. In terms of policies, the company continues to monitor trade policy developments, emphasizing the importance of free trade policies to commercial aerospace, and working closely with suppliers to control cost pressures.

It is expected that the free cash flow in the third quarter will be roughly in line with the second quarter, excluding the potential one-time payment impact from the Department of Justice (DOJ). This payment will lay the foundation for positive free cash flow in the fourth quarter, assuming commercial construction forecasts remain stable. Market research shows that the company's product portfolio is strong, as evidenced by significant backlogs in our orders.

Boeing Company provided a detailed explanation of its financial performance in the second quarter, particularly the $2.5 billion in free cash flow usage, which exceeded expectations. This improvement was mainly attributed to better BCA delivery performance and certain timing factors, especially the delivery of 13 777 aircraft in the second quarter, significantly higher than the usual 6 to 7 aircraft, bringing an additional $700 million in positive free cash flow to the company. Looking ahead, the company expects free cash flow in the third quarter to be similar to the second quarter, while mentioning possible one-time payments of $700 million and other influencing factors.

In recent discussions, Boeing emphasized the positive impact of several trade agreements announced since April on its orders and potential revenue, especially the zero-tariff agreement reached with the European Union. Boeing pointed out that these agreements, especially the new agreement with Japan, will help reduce its import costs, particularly for equipment imported from Japan. At the same time, the company is also focused on trade negotiations with Italy, hoping to reach a zero-tariff agreement as well. Boeing stated that despite facing cost increases and inflation pressure, the current trade environment is favorable for its pricing strategy management to cope with rising costs and maintain a healthy momentum in the order environment. Additionally, Boeing expressed concerns about the US-China trade relationship, hoping to avoid retaliatory tariffs due to trade imbalances, and to maintain stable trade relationships with Mexico and Canada.

In the discussion, Boeing detailed its plans to increase production rates for the 737 Max and 787, especially in response to strong market demand for the 787 and the acceleration of the wide-body aircraft replacement cycle. The company stated that they are gradually increasing production rates while ensuring the stability of the production system and meeting quality requirements. Additionally, the company mentioned its investment expansion plan in Charleston to address the growing demand for the 787 aircraft.

During the discussion, it was mentioned that Boeing's guidance for Max aircraft deliveries this year is expected to be between 70 and 80 aircraft. It was also mentioned that there is a possibility of exceeding the previous target of 400 deliveries, reaching 425 aircraft or more. Additionally, the inventory situation of the 777X aircraft was discussed, and despite significant losses on this model, the total inventory is still on track as expected. The issue of engine icing was also mentioned, stating that resolving this issue will require more time as problems have been found during the current design implementation, necessitating additional design changes.

Boeing Company discussed its plan to increase production to unprecedented levels, especially for the Max series aircraft, with a goal of reaching a monthly output of 27 to 52 aircraft within six months. The company stated that this ambitious goal is based on increased inventory, factory capacity, and a deep understanding of supply chain management. It was specifically mentioned that the fourth production line will focus mainly on producing the 10 variant, and current inventory levels will not become a bottleneck in the short term for the supply chain. Boeing emphasized that by gradually increasing production rates, they will ensure product quality and continuously monitor and address potential issues in the supply chain to meet market demand.

In the discussion, the change in the airline industry's EPS (earnings per share) margin profit was mentioned, especially in the development trends after the launch of different projects. Although the current market expectation is negative, it is expected that the negative situation will gradually decrease every quarter, with the negative growth in the second quarter decreasing from 6.6% to 5.1%, and it is expected to continue to improve in the future quarters. In the long run, despite facing challenges, the industry remains optimistic, believing that it can return to historical profit margins. The key lies in continued recovery plans, improving productivity, and better adjustments to business conditions in the future.

In the discussion, Boeing mentioned the opportunity for margin improvement in its DBS business and the potential risk of strikes. The company stated that despite the risk of strikes, their impact is limited and the company has the ability to manage and respond to them. In addition, Boeing emphasized that in the process of signing new contracts, measures are being taken to avoid past pricing errors and reduce project risks through active management to achieve high unit margin goals for the DBS business. The T7 project serves as a successful case study, demonstrating how the company collaborates with customers to change project outcomes for mutual benefit.

In the meeting, the company's recent financial performance was discussed, especially regarding the situation of free cash flow. It was pointed out that if the trends of the second quarter were continued into the third quarter, with an additional amount of 700 million, the fourth quarter would need to almost break even in order to achieve the annual target of -3. At the same time, consensus on the cash flow expectations for 2027 and 2028 was within the framework of 10 billion, and it was asked whether this framework still applies after considering the 4 billion in operating capital, and whether the company is moving towards a stable state.

The discussion focused on the future design decisions in the aviation industry, particularly regarding the positive performance in Italy in the fourth quarter and its relationship with delivery and performance. In addition, the discussion also explored the engine architecture decisions for the new generation aircraft by Airbus in the face of competition, and when BCA needs to start making similar design decisions to stay competitive. The discussion also involved considerations of technological maturity, market timing, and overall strategy.

The company's leadership expressed satisfaction with the performance in the first half of the year, emphasizing the challenges of the macroeconomic dynamics. They highlighted that the company is gradually adjusting its direction with excellent talents and market positioning. Despite making progress, continued efforts are still needed to address existing problems, enhance customer trust and product confidence. They also put forward expectations and requirements for the work in the second half of the year.

Boing company has completed the earnings conference call for the second quarter of 2025, thank you to all participants for joining.
要点回答
Q:What significant event occurred in the aerospace industry that the company is responding to?
A:The company is responding to the grounding of Air India Flight 171 on the ground, which is a significant event that the team is addressing with ongoing assistance and investigation.
Q:What major order was announced by the company in the second quarter of 2025?
A:The company announced the largest widebody order ever, for up to 210 commercial airplanes.
Q:What are the key accomplishments mentioned in the company's production and quality control efforts?
A:Key accomplishments include a 50% reduction in travel work at rollout, addressing employee feedback, structured on-job training, and simplifying more than 1500 board construction documents.
Q:What is the planned production rate for 737 aircraft and what achievement is the company focusing on now?
A:The planned production rate for 737 aircraft was ramped up to 38 per month and the company is now focused on demonstrating stability at that rate.
Q:What performance indicators are being used to measure the health of the production system and what is the company's next plan with the FAA?
A:The company is using key performance indicators agreed to with the FAA to measure the health of the production system and plans to request approval from the FAA to increase production to 42 aircraft per month on 787 in the coming months.
Q:What progress has been made in the 777x flight test program and what are the updated expectations for the 737 Max Family?
A:The 777x flight test program has completed over 1400 flights and 4000 flight hours with no new technical issues reported. For the 737 Max Family, certification is now expected in 2026 due to work taking longer than expected.
Q:Who was named the permanent defense CEO and what has been her focus in this role?
A:Steve Park was named the permanent defense CEO. She has focused on guiding the team in recovery, stabilizing the defense business, improving customer relationships, and developing people with a focus on building a strong culture.
Q:How did the recent reconciliation bill impact the company's national defense spending?
A:The recently enacted reconciliation bill increases national defense spending by $150 billion through fiscal year 2029, which is expected to provide funding for various programs beneficial to the company.
Q:What are the recent achievements of the global services team?
A:The global services team has successfully delivered a new enhanced anti-submarine and warfare technology for the team in Jacksonville, Florida. They have also secured contracts for PA aircraft training systems, supports the Republic of Iraq in commercial services, and opened their third center in Germany and their 9th global location dedicated to shipping repairs and maintenance.
Q:What is the impact of the pandemic on global trade and company strategy?
A:The ongoing pandemic has led to a focus on global trade and has caused the company to simultaneously work on policy development while mitigating the impacts of tariffs due to trade negotiations.
Q:Why is the continuation of free trade important to the company?
A:Continued free trade is important to the company as it is crucial for their business model. The company's top priority is ensuring supply continuity and working across the supply chain to promote strong market demand.
Q:How is the company managing input cost risks?
A:The company is actively managing the dynamic environment of input cost risks by appreciating the efforts of the administration and Congress to support the aerospace industry worldwide. They are optimistic that future improvements will address aircraft and parts, thereby working through their diverse backlog of over $600 billion.
Q:What progress has been made in terms of culture change within the company?
A:The company has made progress in culture change by creating a new set of values and behaviors through employee involvement and has introduced a new performance management approach to strengthen accountability and develop careers based on those values and behaviors.
Q:Who is being thanked for their contributions to the company, and what notable changes are occurring in the executive team?
A:The company is grateful to its employees for their hard work and to Bryant West for stabilizing the business over four years. Notable changes in the executive team include the upcoming transition of state law to become the new CFO and the transition of Brian to a senior advisory role.
Q:What financial performance results were highlighted for the quarter?
A:The total company financial performance for the quarter included revenue of $42.7 billion, a core loss per share of about 24, and a cash flow from operations of -2 million, driven by higher commercial deliveries and improved operational performance. Free cash flow was better than expectations shared in April, reflecting higher commercial deliveries and a better wide-body mix.
Q:What recent production and delivery updates are provided for the 737 program?
A:The 737 program delivered 104 airplanes in the quarter, including 42 in June. The production rate steadily increased to 38 per month by June and is expected to gain approval for that rate in the coming months. The team is on track with operational KPIs and is positioned to continue improving production quality and flow.
Q:What is the current backlog and revenue position for the business?
A:The business has a backlog of $60.6 billion and delivered 34 aircraft in the quarter, resulting in an operating margin of 1.7%, which is a significant improvement over the previous year.
Q:What are the expectations for the business in terms of production and future returns?
A:The business portfolio is well positioned for the future and is expected to return to historical performance levels as production stabilizes, development programs progress, and the business transitions to new contracts with tighter underwriting standards.
Q:What notable sales and service agreements have been made by BGS?
A:BGS completed the sale of its maintenance repair facility at Gatwick Airport and secured a contract to provide an aircraft training system to the public sector.
Q:What is the current cash debt to market capitalization ratio for the company?
A:The cash debt to market capitalization ratio is $23 billion, primarily reflecting the debt repayment and free cash flow uses in the quarter.
Q:What are the company's objectives for balance sheet improvement?
A:The company's objectives for balance sheet improvement are to continue prioritizing investment grading and to stabilize the factor in supply chain.
Q:What is the projected free cash flow for the current year and the potential impacts?
A:The company expects third quarter free cash flow to be more or less in line with the second quarter usage before any impact from a potential one-time DOJ payment. With a positive free cash flow forecast for the fourth quarter, the commercial outlook remains strong, supported by market research and a significant backlog that underpins the company's confidence in managing the business.
Q:How should past performance relate to the company's expectations for the year?
A:The performance in the second quarter suggests an expectation of around $3 billion for prior 4 to $5 billion targets, with potential upside risks for the year related to delivery performance and timing items. Factors such as interest payments, 737 and 787 program performance, and potential one-time payments should be considered when evaluating the company's performance for the year.
Q:What is the expected impact of the Japan agreement on the company's input tariffs?
A:The Japan agreement is expected to have a positive impact by eliminating input tariffs, contributing to a potential savings of more than $500 million.
Q:How does the current order environment affect pricing and the management of inflationary costs?
A:The current order environment is positive for pricing, irrespective of tariffs, and is helping to offset some inflationary cost growth due to managing pricing to reflect the constrained environment.
Q:What is the company's concern regarding retaliatory tariffs with China?
A:The company is concerned about ending up in retaliatory tariffs with China and is monitoring the situation to ensure that their current trade situation is not compromised.
Q:What are the expectations for future production rates of the 737 Max and 787, and how does the company plan to address market demand?
A:The company plans to stabilize production at the increased rate of 737 Max and 787 deliveries, and then consider further rate increases as part of their strategy to address strong market demand. Expansion is planned in Charleston to support continued growth beyond the current capacity of their facilities.
Q:What is the current status of the 737 Max production rate and what are the expectations for future rate increases?
A:The 737 Max production rate is currently at 38 units per month, and discussions on future rate increases are expected to start once one key performance indicator (KPI) improves. Rate increases will occur in increments of five, with no increase earlier than six months, and only after ensuring the production system meets certain metrics for stability.
Q:What was the impact of inventory on the company's financials and delivery expectations for the 707X?
A:Inventory increased due to the absorption of the 707X, but this was offset by liquidating a lot of wide bodies. The company still expects inventory levels to rise as they approach the EIS. For the 737 and 787, they have delivered 37 airplanes in the first half and are focused on stabilizing at a rate of 70 to 80 per year, with a target around 400 deliveries for the 737.
Q:Why is the delivery of the 787 taking longer than anticipated and what steps are being taken to address this?
A:The delivery of the 787 is taking longer because the engineering design did not yield the expected results within the anticipated timeframe. Additional design changes are required to address the de-icing requirement, which is causing a delay.
Q:What are the expectations for production rate increases and potential bottlenecks?
A:The speaker indicates that the production rate is expected to increase to ambitious targets, such as moving to six-month intervals with rate increases to 27 and 52. Potential bottlenecks are seen in the supply chain, with the challenge of balancing inventory levels and ensuring the supply chain can handle higher production rates. The speaker notes that while supply chain constraints are anticipated to evolve as the company increases production, there will be a focus on managing these constraints to resolve them effectively.
Q:What role will the fourth line in Everett play in production?
A:The fourth line in Everett will predominantly focus on the 10 variant, which has the most changes from other variants. It is expected to streamline the production process for this particular variant.
Q:How is the company managing supply chain challenges and inventory levels?
A:The company has a significant amount of inventory in place, which is expected to mitigate supply chain challenges in the near term as they ramp up production of the Max. However, as production increases to higher rates, balancing inventory levels and ensuring the supply chain can sustain those rates will be a continued challenge. The company anticipates that, as they increase production, supply chain constraints will be resolved and new ones may emerge, which they will address methodically.
Q:What is the impact of the change in certification on margins?
A:The impact of the change in certification on margins is described as modest, and the company is not overly concerned about it. It is mentioned that any potential margin consequences are expected to be minimal given the size of the program.
Q:What is the expected trajectory for EBIT margins as different programs ramp up?
A:The key markets are anticipated to be negative for the year, but this is expected to improve quarter by quarter. In the first and second quarters, EBIT margins were negative 6.6 and 5.1, respectively, and it is expected that they will improve in the second half of each quarter, although they will still be negative. It is also mentioned that by 2026, EBIT margins are expected to improve, but no specific figures or further characterization is provided.
Q:How is the outlook for Bds business and margins?
A:The Bds business is expected to return to high single-digit margins without any significant impact from the strike. The company is entering into new contracts with appropriate contracting types to avoid past errors and is actively managing programs, such as the T 7 example, to ensure these contracts are beneficial to both the company and the customer.
Q:What is the view on free cash flow and the company's financial framework beyond 2023?
A:The speaker suggests that the free cash flow for the fourth quarter will likely be positive, with an expectation of around $3 billion. The view is that this is a reasonable assumption as they move through the remainder of the year, and the company is focused on achieving stability and addressing production rates. The long-term financial framework, including the $10 billion target in 2027 and 2028, is still considered appropriate by the speaker.
Q:When does BCA need to begin making design decisions for its next-generation aircraft?
A:The exact time frame for BCA to begin making design decisions for its next-generation aircraft is not specified. The speaker mentions that the company is working through this and is not ready to announce any specific time frame at this point, as it involves complex considerations beyond technology, including cash flow and other related factors. The speaker indicates that the company will make an announcement when the appropriate time converges all of the necessary work streams.

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