可口可乐公司 (KO.US) 2025年第二季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Despite facing weather conditions, geopolitical conflicts, and consumer pressures, Coca-Cola reported a 5% organic revenue growth and a robust margin expansion in Q2 2025. The company emphasized its adaptability, strategic pivots, and updated 2025 guidance, highlighting strong financial results and regional performance improvements. Key markets showed volume improvements, with a focus on agility, affordability initiatives, and local execution. North America, Latin America, and EMEA all displayed growth in various metrics despite initial challenges.
会议速览

In the second quarter of 2025, the Coca-Cola Company faced continuous changes in the external environment. By closely monitoring consumer demand, managing its brand portfolio, and deepening its comprehensive market strategy, the company achieved performance in line with its updated performance guidance. Despite facing unfavorable weather and consumer pressure, the company still achieved a 1% decrease in sales volume and a 5% increase in organic revenue, while demonstrating strong profit margin improvement. The company achieved growth in market value share in multiple markets including North America, showing its flexibility and adaptability in global scale and local execution.

Coca-Cola Company has achieved growth in market share, revenue, and profit through sustained brand investments in the face of consumer uncertainty and economic pressures. While sales have declined in some markets such as Latin America, the company has successfully implemented targeted marketing strategies such as enhancing advertising relevance, value, and affordability, as well as deepening customer cooperation, leading to sales growth in multiple product lines (such as Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, Diet Coke, Fanta, Fairlife, Body Armor, and Powerade). In Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region, the company has addressed macroeconomic challenges through innovative marketing activities, product localization, channel optimization, and expansion of digital platforms, resulting in organic revenue and profit growth. Specific strategies and results in markets such as Mexico, China, India, Japan, and South Korea were highlighted, emphasizing the role of marketing transformation and innovation agendas in supporting overall growth strategies.

The company is driving transaction growth by integrating marketing expertise, digital investments, and clear sales information, with a particular emphasis on learning and applying successful experiences in different markets. This includes utilizing the strengths of Latin America to develop non-renewable water businesses in Africa and the Philippines, as well as using North American experience to promote high-end products in Europe. Additionally, the company is optimizing pricing channels through AI technology to improve market response speed and product attractiveness, while strengthening local execution capabilities globally to ensure the successful implementation of revenue growth plans. Despite the uncertain external environment, the company remains growth-oriented, continuously adjusting strategies to achieve its growth goals.

The company achieved positive growth in organic revenue in the first half of 2025, especially in a challenging business environment, with a 5% increase in organic revenue and a 4% increase in earnings per share. Although unit cases decreased by 1%, price mix grew by 6%, partly due to pricing actions of around 5 percentage points. In addition, despite facing challenges in currency positions, the company still achieved an 80 basis point increase in comparable gross margin and a 190 basis point increase in comparable operating profit margin. The improvement in financial performance is mainly attributed to productivity improvements, investment timing, and favorable cycles compared to the previous year. The company also emphasized its strong balance sheet and confidence in future cash flow generation.

The company has updated its performance guidance for 2025, expecting organic revenue growth of 5 to 6%, comparable currency-neutral EPS growth of around 8%, while facing 1 to 2 points of currency headwinds. Despite the dynamic changes in the external environment, the company has successfully responded through flexible strategies, achieving strong organic sales growth and profit improvement. The company emphasizes its agility and execution capabilities in quickly responding to market changes under the "Alltheweek" strategy to ensure sustained performance growth and shareholder value creation.

The Fair Life brand is showing strong growth momentum in the protein product market. Despite facing production constraints, it is expected that by early 2026, with the launch of a new facility in New York, this bottleneck will gradually be alleviated. The capacity of the new facility will gradually increase, and the company is also considering further expanding capacity in existing facilities to meet the growing demand. In terms of international expansion, although there are challenges, in the coming years, the Fair Life brand's plans for markets outside of North America are also being considered.

The discussion focused on the performance of the US dairy industry, especially investments in small countries and small-scale investments, as well as the significant success achieved in Santa Clara, Mexico, becoming Mexico's largest value-added dairy company. In addition, the strong market position of the Fairlife and Core Power brands was mentioned, and the willingness to continue exploring international opportunities, especially to expand the consumer advantage of these brands to other global markets.

The discussion focused on the rebound speed in the markets of Mexico and India, as well as the impact of these market changes on the second half of the fiscal year. At the same time, it was also mentioned that due to the strong profit performance in the first half of the year, there may be more investments in the second half of the fiscal year, and inquiries were made about the possible target areas for these additional investments.

The company plans to drive its business growth by enhancing the cost-effectiveness of coffee in the Mexican market, celebrating its 100th anniversary, and strengthening its marketing efforts. At the same time, despite a slight decline in Q2 performance due to weather conditions in the Indian market, the company has shown long-term confidence in the Indian market by establishing a new franchise business model and conducting marketing activities. Additionally, the company mentioned that it will reinvest some profits in growth strategies to maintain and enhance future market momentum.

After a slow start in Q1, Coca-Cola's business in the North American market saw significant recovery in Q2, showing strong revenue growth, market share, and profit. It specifically mentioned adjustments in marketing strategies for low-income groups, as well as a focus on specific consumer groups such as Hispanic consumers and the quick-service restaurant (QSR) market. In addition, it emphasized customized advertising strategies for different consumer groups and the development of new accounts in specific channels such as Costco and Carnival, demonstrating the company's proactive measures in responding to market recovery and changing consumer trends.

The conversation mentioned the company's success in marketing transformation, especially in improving the efficiency of advertising and digitization, as well as cost savings in media buying and ad production. In addition, the company also emphasized the strict management and frugal investment strategy in operating costs, which resulted in better productivity results in the first half of the year than expected.

In the second quarter, the profit margin in the North American market significantly improved, despite the increase in marketing expenses. This positive change can be attributed to multiple factors, including productivity improvement plans, slowdown in vertical integration businesses, and optimization of product and channel mix. Additionally, the company continues to increase investment in branding, innovation, and marketing promotion to drive growth and increase market share, indicating that the improvement in profit margin is achieved based on continuous investment and optimization of market strategies.

The meeting discussed the company's recent performance, especially the improvement in productivity and profit margins, while also analyzing the impact of foreign exchange fluctuations on the company's performance, particularly the performance of G10 currencies and the effectiveness of hedging strategies. The company expects to continue to achieve growth and improve profit margins in the second half of the year, although the pace may slow compared to before. Additionally, more information about the company's outlook for 2026 will be provided during the October conference call.

This conversation focused on the performance of the global consumer market, specifically mentioning that certain regions such as the ASEAN market (including Thailand, Indonesia, and Vietnam) showed unexpected consumer weakness in the second quarter. At the same time, there was discussion about plans to innovate products using new health sweeteners like pure cane sugar and fiber, emphasizing the importance of continuous innovation and learning in finding innovative points that match consumer demands in the constantly changing consumer preferences.

In the discussion, James confirmed that the slowing growth of the Fair Life brand is mainly due to capacity limitations rather than a decrease in market competitiveness, while expressing confidence in the brand's future growth. He also mentioned that as the brand successfully attracts the attention of competitors, the company will continue to focus on enhancing the marketing and execution of the Fair Life and Core Power brands, while anticipating development opportunities from new capacity and innovation.

The dialogue discussed the performance of the European and EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa) markets in the second quarter, especially focusing on consumer trends and market growth. The European market showed positive volume growth and balanced price mix growth, with consumers overall showing resilience, although low-income groups showed a demand for value and affordability. Products like Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, Sprite, and Fuze Tea performed well. Africa and the Eura-Asia regions also showed good growth, especially in Coca-Cola and flavor performance, thanks to good system execution and focus on local markets.

In the discussion, the company expressed reflection on the long-term strategy of the coffee business, especially regarding the performance of brands such as Georgia and Costa in the market. The company acknowledges that the coffee industry is a large, fragmented, and constantly growing sector within the beverage industry, making it attractive. However, the investment in Costa has not met expectations, and the business still relies more on stores rather than the expected rapid growth of ready-to-drink coffee and express services. The company is reflecting on existing learnings and experiences, looking for new growth paths, while continuing to operate the Costa business to maximize returns on investment.

The discussion mainly revolves around Coca-Cola Company's business transformation, including completing the remaining portion of the business through franchising to concentrate on driving brand demand growth. The company emphasizes its continued development and innovation of top brand portfolio, as well as strengthening partnerships with global bottling partners to achieve better market execution and overall growth. Additionally, it is mentioned that further enhancing brand portfolio and market competitiveness through organic and inorganic growth strategies.

In the conversation, the company discussed its confidence in future business growth, particularly focusing on positive expectations for the second half of the year. It was mentioned that some negative factors in the second quarter are temporary and there may be a larger base comparison in the fourth quarter. The company emphasized its flexibility in investment strategy and systematic construction for long-term growth, expressing strong confidence in achieving its 2025 goals, and committing to creating sustainable value for all stakeholders.
要点回答
Q:What is the purpose of the conference call mentioned in the transcript?
A:The purpose of the conference call is to communicate with investors and therefore questions from the media will not be addressed during the formal question and answer portion of the call. Media participants should contact Coca-Cola's media relations department for any questions.
Q:Who are the key executives participating in the call?
A:Key executives participating in the call include Robin Halpern, Vice President and Head of Investor Relations; James Quincieux, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and John Murphy, President and Chief Financial Officer.
Q:What is the status of the company's efforts to deliver on updated guidance for the top and bottom lines?
A:The company is on track to deliver on both its updated top line and bottom line guidance for the year.
Q:How did the company's volumes perform throughout the first half of 2025 and what factors impacted this performance?
A:Volumes declined 1% throughout the first half of 2025 due to difficult comparisons against the prior year's second quarter. In April and May, volume trends were on track, but decelerated in June due to adverse weather and consumer pressure in several key markets. Sequential improvements were seen in markets like the U.S. and Europe, and the company's plans in these markets were deemed effective.
Q:What were the key highlights for the company's performance across different geographical segments?
A:Key highlights include North America maintaining value share gains and revenue despite socio-economic pressures; Latin America experiencing organic revenue and profit growth, aided by the improving economy in Argentina; EMEA growing volume across all three operating units; and APAC having mixed performance with ASEAN and South Pacific growing revenue and operating income despite volume decline in some countries.
Q:What actions are the company's systems taking in response to the external environment?
A:The company's systems are refining channel and investment strategies to capture emerging growth opportunities, focusing on local execution, and adapting to the challenging macro environment.
Q:What innovations and campaigns are mentioned that support the company's growth strategy?
A:Innovations include the introduction of new products like spte plus T in North America and the 'Bring the Juice' campaign in North America. Consumer engagement strategies include the 'Share a Coke' campaign and localized marketing efforts such as 'Coca-Cola and meals' in India. Additionally, the company is scaling the 'Refill and Snap' offering and focusing on integrated marketing campaigns.
Q:What is the significance of the revenue growth management approach for the company?
A:Revenue growth management is a critical tool for segmenting consumers and channels and integrating it with marketing expertise to drive transaction growth.
Q:What are the key factors contributing to the company's robust local execution?
A:Robust local execution is key to the success of the company's top line initiatives, and it is attributed to a stronger system that drives further investment for growth. A culture of collective learning and a commitment to improving every aspect of business operations are also contributing factors.
Q:What were the company's performance highlights in the first half of 2025?
A:In the first half of 2025, the company delivered positive volume organic revenue growth at the high end of its long-standing algorithm, robust margin expansion, and continued earnings per share growth despite a dynamic operating landscape with uncertainty. Investments were made with discipline to achieve objectives, including growing organic revenues and improving unit cases, price mix, comparable gross margin, and comparable operating margin.
Q:What is the updated guidance for 2025, and what factors are considered?
A:The updated guidance for 2025 considers actions to drive growth and the current external environment knowledge. The company expects organic revenue growth of 5 to 6% and now predicts a comparable currency-neutral earnings per share growth of approximately 8%. The company anticipates 1 to 2 point currency headwinds to comparable net revenues and a 5 point currency headwind to comparable earnings per share for the full year 2025. Factors taken into account include dynamic external landscape, expected market recovery, concentrate sales comparison, and the impact of global trade dynamics on the cost structure.
Q:What international expansion plans are there for the Fair Life brand?
A:The company has made investments in dairy, achieving strong performance in small countries with investments and Santa Clara in Mexico becoming the number one value-added dairy business. Although the replication of the North American dairy manufacturing footprint in other regions is difficult, the company continues to look at other international opportunities for the Fair Life brand. There is an acknowledgment of the unique structure of the dairy industry in the US compared to other parts of the world but is focused on delivering consumer benefits that provide a competitive advantage. Further details on international expansion plans were not disclosed in the transcript.
Q:How does the company plan to address capacity constraints for the Fair Life brand?
A:The company plans to address capacity constraints for the Fair Life brand by relying on the New York facility, which will come online at the beginning of 2026. This facility will ramp up and steadily address the constraints on capacity for different Fair Life variants and package sizes. There are also plans to expand capacity at some existing facilities in the future.
Q:What are the strategies for improving performance in the back half of the year, especially in terms of reinvestment and targeting of incremental investment?
A:The strategies for improving performance in the back half of the year include a focus on affordability, such as doubling down on refillable coffee and promoting value offerings. There are plans to celebrate the 100th anniversary in Mexico with specific marketing activation. The company is also pulling together marketing execution with their bottling partner to emphasize the long-standing economic impact. The company has a strong marketing and innovation plan, and the local franchise models outperformed the company-owned bottler in the first half. There is also a refranchising effort with the jubilant group, and the new CEO is expected to bring energy and focus to the execution.
Q:What were the challenges faced in India and how does the refranchising with the jubilant group and the new CEO impact the outlook for the country?
A:In India, the challenges included a non-linear situation and a decline due to the conflict in the monsoon season. However, the company has set up the refranchising piece with the jubilant group, which is operational with the new CEO. The new CEO is expected to bring new energy and dynamism to improve execution in the marketplace. The company has strong plans from a marketing and innovation perspective and believes the local franchise models are doing better than the company-owned bottler. With a focus on the transition and resolute efforts, the company is confident regarding future prospects in India.
Q:What factors contributed to the better-than-expected productivity in the first half and how is the company planning for the second half?
A:The factors contributing to better-than-expected productivity in the first half were primarily the benefits of marketing transformation, which improved the efficiency and effectiveness of advertising production and media buying. Additionally, the company was disciplined with operating expenses, leading to cost savings. Moving into the second half, the company anticipates some productivity savings that were expected in the second half to be realized sooner, which is positive. The company continues to lean into growth with a growth strategy and will invest further to drive momentum in the second half and set up a strong foundation for 2026.
Q:What are the recent trends in the North American market, especially regarding QSR, at-home dining, and the Hispanic consumer?
A:In the North American market, there has been an improvement in unit volume despite it remaining negative. The US business had a strong comeback from a slower start in Q1, with sequential improvements in Q2 and good revenue growth. Consumer aggregate spend is holding up, though there is pressure in lower-income segments. The company is focusing on affordability and marketing occasions. On the Hispanic consumer front, issues that were present in the first half have largely been resolved by the end of June, returning to the brand equity scores and household penetration levels from the beginning of the year. The company has made progress with targeted advertising and emphasizing the local business model. Away-from-home channel performance varies depending on economic conditions, but the team has done well on customer renewals and adding new accounts like Costco and Carnival.
Q:What factors drove the improved margins in North America for the quarter and how does the company view the consistency of these margins in the long term?
A:The improved margins in North America for the quarter were attributed to productivity initiatives, which include the benefits of marketing transformation and operating expense discipline. The deceleration of vertically integrated businesses also played a role. The company continues to strongly invest in innovation and marketing to drive growth. Although margins have been improving, they were not in a great place four years ago and are now more normalized. The most important driver for continued investment is to heavily support the portfolio, innovation, and execution to drive growth and gain share. The focus is on productivity and ongoing investment behind the brands rather than just追求短期的利润最大化。
Q:What are the drivers of operating leverage and how is currency risk management affecting the company's results?
A:The drivers of operating leverage include growth and operating margin lines which are expected to deliver in the second half of the year albeit at a slightly lower rate. The company hedges as a risk management tool to smooth fluctuations and provide certainty at the local market level, particularly focusing on the performance of G10 currencies. These hedges are partially offsetting the actual dollar weakness experienced against emerging market currencies. The company plans to provide more color on their outlook for 2026 and updated guidance in October.
Q:What is the global consumer strength and how has consumer weakness progressed in June into July?
A:The global economy and consumer remain resilient with varied performances by country. North America, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and China had good performances, while there was weakness in Dirar and Mexico and some unexpected weakness in Thailand, Indonesia, and Vietnam (ASEAN markets) in Q2. Consumers in Japan also showed some weakness. Despite geopolitical events, the consumer environment is resilient with fluctuations.
Q:What is the consumer environment like in the ASEAN markets and how is the company addressing this?
A:The consumer environment in the ASEAN markets was a bit surprising with more weakness than expected. The company is investing in programs like marketing innovation and RGM execution for the second half to improve the volume component and ensure a better top line.
Q:What is the company's strategy regarding innovation in pure sugar cane and how does it fit into consumer preferences?
A:The company is exploring opportunities to innovate in pure sugar cane, recognizing the industry's growth potential and consumer preferences towards it. They are bringing a Coke sweetened with pure cane sugar into the market and using cane sugar in various other US portfolio products like lemonades, teas, and vitamin water drinks. They plan to utilize all available sweetening options where there are consumer preferences.
Q:How is the competitive environment evolving and how is the company responding?
A:The competitive environment is evolving as the company and others in the industry try various things related to cane sugar. They are bringing a product with pure cane sugar to market and continuing to experiment and learn. Success in building a new franchise with consumers takes time and commitment, and the company aims to participate in the segment where consumer preferences lie.
Q:What is the impact of capacity constraints on Unfi Life's growth and how does the company anticipate the competitive environment?
A:The impact of capacity constraints on Unfi Life's growth is mainly due to the law of large numbers and existing capacity limitations rather than weakening of the proposition relative to competitors. The company is excited about the opportunities for Unfi Life, Core Power, and the overall nutrition plan. They acknowledge the competitive nature of the industry and the need to stay focused on execution and innovation to maintain their competitive edge.
Q:How is the consumer in EMEA and how does the company see the second half playing out across EMEA?
A:Europe performed better in the second quarter with positive volume growth and balanced price mix growth. Consumers are resilient across Europe, with more value-seeking behavior at the lower end of the income spectrum. The company gained value in EMEA, with Africa growing volumes despite tough comparables and Eurasia achieving growth through local business execution. EMEA's performance was driven by Coke, flavors, and great execution by the system. The company anticipates a good second half across EMEA.
Q:What actions are being considered to address the challenges in the coffee category?
A:The company is reflecting on lessons learned from the Costa investment and considering new avenues for growth in the coffee category while continuing to run the business efficiently. This includes focusing on the remaining refranchising goals and enhancing the top-line growth of the current portfolio of strong brands through marketing and innovation.
Q:What is the status of refranchising efforts and how is it expected to impact the company?
A:The company still has significant refranchising efforts left, but they are focused on completing these as quickly as feasible. The goal is to improve execution and work towards a partnership with bottling partners that are equally committed to raising the bar. This refranchising process is expected to lead to better overall execution due to the evolved relationship with bottling partners and a shared commitment to performance.
Q:What is the company's confidence regarding positive volume returns in the back half of the year?
A:The company has confidence that positive volume growth will be achieved in the second half of the year. Despite challenges in the second quarter and a tough comparison in the fourth quarter, the robust profit performance in the first half provides optionality for continued investment. The focus is on the next six months, and the company believes it can influence this period effectively. Even with temporary anomalies in key markets, the underlying momentum in the business is positive, and the company is comfortable that recent headwinds can be corrected.

The Coca-Cola Co.
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