李维斯 (LEVI.US) 2025年第二季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Levi Strauss & Co. reported exceptional Q2 2025 earnings, marked by broad-based revenue growth, successful DTC transformation, brand resonance, product innovation, and robust financial performance. Key achievements include the launch of a breakthrough performance fabric for the 501 model, solid DTC segment growth, profitable DTC expansion, global store network expansion, double-digit e-commerce growth, loyalty program enhancements, and international business growth, particularly in Europe. The company's strategic focus on becoming a consumer-led DTC-first retailer and evolving into a full head-to-toe apparel lifestyle brand has significantly contributed to its strong performance.
会议速览

The conference call mainly discussed Levi Strauss & Co.'s financial performance for the second quarter ending June 1, 2025. The company's leadership, including the President and CEO, as well as the Chief Financial and Growth Officer, participated in the meeting, sharing quarter results, non-GAAP financial metrics, and future outlook, and reminding of the risks and uncertainties that may exist in forward-looking statements. The meeting emphasized the use of organic net income and constant currency values, and pointed out any differences between non-GAAP metrics and GAAP results. Additionally, the audience was reminded to pay attention to uncertain factors in financial forecasts, such as exchange rate fluctuations, tariff impacts, etc.

The company has shown outstanding performance in the most recent quarter, with sales, profits, and earnings per share all surpassing expectations, achieving high single-digit organic net income growth. This is mainly attributed to the strong performance of the Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) business, as well as growth in wholesale business and international markets, especially in the European region. The company is accelerating its transformation towards a DTC-led business model, while shifting its product line from primarily denim to a full lifestyle brand, maintaining its leadership position in the denim market while achieving significant growth in categories such as tops, dresses, coats, and non-denim pants. Additionally, the company has increased the productivity and profitability of its product portfolio by streamlining SKUs and introducing new products with higher price points.

In May, the company announced the sale of the Dockers brand, along with the decision to exit the Denizen and footwear businesses. These series of strategic decisions aim to focus on the Levi's brand, strengthen brand value, consumer connections, and category leadership. Through global marketing activities and influential partnerships, such as collaborations with Beyonce and participation in major music festivals, the Levi's brand continues to grow globally, particularly achieving significant success in both the women's and men's markets. The company is moving towards becoming a $100 billion company, navigating from a position of strength through product innovation, marketing, and supply chain optimization, despite facing uncertainties such as tariffs and consumer behavior. On the product side, Levi's is gradually evolving into a lifestyle brand, leading industry trends, especially in terms of diversity and innovation in menswear and womenswear. Additionally, through collaborations with well-known fashion brands and music culture, Levi's continues to maintain competitiveness and influence in the market.

This quarter, the company's global direct-to-consumer business performed strongly, achieving continuous positive growth. This was mainly due to increased store traffic, improved conversion rates, and higher average transaction value. While driving growth in direct-to-consumer (DTC), the company also focused on maintaining a healthy and profitable state, with DTC profit margins continuing to improve. In addition, full-price sales also saw growth through optimizing consumer experience and enhancing sales efficiency. The company expanded its store network globally, opening 16 new stores, and its e-commerce channel also achieved double-digit growth of 13%. The loyalty program is key to connecting with consumers, and through data analysis, the company is able to provide personalized products and experiences more accurately. Currently, there are nearly 40 million members, with members' purchase frequency and average transaction values higher than regular consumers. The loyalty program has expanded to multiple countries in Europe and will launch more member-exclusive features in the United States.

Levi's has shown strong growth in the European market, especially in fashionable cities such as Paris, Barcelona, and Milan, where the brand is particularly popular among young consumers. The 15% growth in the European market is mainly due to the brand's presence in the market and close collaboration with key partners. At the same time, Beyond Yoga business has also made significant progress, with a 12% growth in Q2, and plans to further expand the number of stores, demonstrating strong market potential.

Levi's has announced that they have reached an agreement with Authentic Brands Group to sell the Dockers brand, while also expressing gratitude to the Dockers team for their many years of contribution. The company emphasized that this transaction reflects progress in their strategic agenda, and noted strong performance in the most recent quarter, setting a solid foundation for development in the second half of 2025. Looking ahead, the Levi's brand will have an even brighter future. Following this, Jami will provide a financial overview for the quarter and full-year expectations.

The Levi's brand achieved strong financial performance in the first half of 2025, including comprehensive growth in sales, gross margin, SNA, EBIT profit margin, and earnings per share. Both direct-to-consumer (DDC) and wholesale channels performed well, particularly with DDC seeing same-store sales growth in the high double digits. Meanwhile, international and US markets, women's and men's products, as well as online and brick-and-mortar stores all experienced high single-digit growth. The company's focus on core brands and DDC priority strategy drove sustained improvement in financial performance, positioning the company strongly in mid-2025 and leading to an upward revision of full-year performance expectations.

The performance of the global wholesale business has exceeded expectations, especially in Europe, with the completion of the transition to new distribution centers, wholesale channels are returning to growth. Levi's wholesale business in the US grew by 7%, demonstrating continued strength with digital and high-end accounts. Insights into product trends have given the company and its partners more confidence in new products, such as the 578 baggy men's pants performing well in direct sales channels and expanding to wholesale channels. The company has adjusted its forecast for the full-year wholesale channel, expecting it to be slightly positive. The second quarter gross margin reached a record 62.6%, mainly driven by lower product costs and favorable channel mix. By increasing full-price sales and reducing promotional activities, the company has improved product lifecycle management. The adjusted EBIT profit margin is 8.3%, up by 190 basis points from last year, driving a 37% growth in adjusted earnings per share. Additionally, the company has completed the transformation of its distribution center network to improve service levels and optimize distribution costs.

This report provides a detailed review of the net income growth and operating profit margin changes in the Americas, Europe, and Asia regions, emphasizing the strong performance in different channels such as DDC and wholesale channels. Additionally, the report mentions various mitigation measures taken in the face of tariff uncertainties, as well as outlooks for full-year performance and the third quarter, highlighting the close monitoring of consumer confidence and behavior.

Due to the strong performance and continued strong business in the first half of the year, the company has raised its full-year revenue and profit expectations. The organic net income growth expectation has been raised to 4.5% to 5.5%, while the reported net income growth expectation has been raised to 1% to 2%. Despite facing tariff challenges, the company still expects the gross profit margin to expand by 80 basis points this year, reaching a historic high. In addition, the EBIT profit margin is expected to be maintained at 11.4% to 11.6%, and the adjusted earnings per share expectation has been raised to $1.25 to $1.30. This guidance includes the impact of tariffs, taxes, and foreign exchange factors.

The company expects organic net revenue to grow by 4 to 5% in the third quarter of 2024, compared to a 4% growth in the same quarter last year. The revenue growth for the quarter is expected to be influenced by a positive impact of 100 basis points from foreign exchange, as well as adverse effects from business exits. Despite the impact of tariffs, the company still expects the adjusted EBIT profit margin to be within a specific range, with adjusted diluted earnings per share expected to be between 28 and 30 cents. Despite uncertainties in the macro environment, particularly with tariff issues, the company is successfully moving towards transforming into a more profitable D.C. premier lifestyle retailer through its brand, products, and profitability momentum. This will help the company achieve mid-single-digit organic growth annually and gradually move towards its target of a 15% operating profit margin.

As the boss of JP Morgan, Matthew first congratulated the company on its outstanding quarterly performance, and raised some related questions.

Discussed the sustained high demand and strong growth of the Levi's brand globally, particularly in direct-to-consumer (DTC) and wholesale businesses, international markets, and the US domestic market. At the same time, analyzed the company's strategic shift to a predominantly DTC model, as well as the contribution of product innovation and freshness to its growth. Additionally, explained the significant improvement in gross margin, explored structural changes and sustainable high-profit margin factors.

This brand focuses on core products such as linen denim and shorts, leveraging the summer popularity to drive sales, while deepening its presence in the men's and women's clothing markets, especially the women's market, to achieve double-digit growth. The brand's success is attributed to a combination of its rich heritage and modern strategies, including actively using social media, cultural events, and celebrity collaborations (such as partnerships with Beyonce and Nike) to attract consumers. In addition, by discontinuing inefficient product lines (such as Den and Dockers), optimizing product mix, and increasing full-price sales, reducing promotional activities, continuous growth in gross margin has been achieved. Despite facing challenges from tariffs and exchange rates, the brand remains optimistic and anticipates further growth in gross margin in the future.

The conversation discussed the organic wholesale revenue growth of 6% in the past six months, despite the low single-digit growth expected for the entire year. It was mentioned that the growth in wholesale channels was positively influenced by order books, while emphasizing a cautious attitude towards wholesale business, especially for channels not directly controlled by the company. It was pointed out that growth was driven by digital channels and high-end customers, as well as the strategy of partnering with American department stores for long-term growth. Lastly, they inquired whether the wholesale business could maintain low to mid-single-digit organic growth in the third quarter.

The company is currently stocking up for the holiday season, expecting better performance in the third quarter than in the fourth quarter. Business performance should be viewed from a two-year perspective, with flat growth in the first half of last year and 4-5% growth in the second half. It is anticipated that the third quarter of this year will maintain a similar growth rate, achieving 4-5% organic growth.

In the meeting, Dana from Chelsea Consulting Group is prepared to ask a question, waiting for her question and subsequent discussion.

The conversation discussed the strategy of enhancing brand influence and product sales through collaborations with renowned designers and brands such as Sakai, Nike, and celebrities like Beyonce. It also mentioned future marketing plans, including activities targeting the male market in the autumn and holiday seasons, indicating that the brand is actively investing and seeking more market opportunities.

The discussion focused on adjusting marketing expenses and their impact on business growth, emphasizing the breadth of growth including geographic, channel, and category aspects. It was also pointed out that this growth did not sacrifice sales volume, and new product launches were introduced to continually improve this situation.

The blue Ta, as a high-end product, has performed excellently in the Asian market, showing enormous potential for further growth in the current stage.

At this meeting, an analyst from UBS raised a new question that is awaiting an answer.

Levi's is driving business growth through enhancing operational efficiency and focusing on the direct-to-consumer (DTC) strategy. Specific measures include shortening product launch times, increasing the proportion of globally unified product series, and reducing inefficient SKUs to introduce more fresh products. In terms of products, the company has comprehensively revamped its top apparel business, introducing new designs and supply chain capabilities, achieving significant growth in male and female DTC channels, especially in categories such as denim, sweaters, and women's dresses. This marks Levi's transition from a single t-shirt business to a broader top apparel market.

The company conducted a detailed discussion on the marginal profit situation of its DTC (direct-to-consumer) business, pointing out that the marginal profit of the DTC business has continued to improve in the past few quarters and is currently at a high level. The growth is mainly attributed to the increase in single-store sales, improvement in product turnover efficiency, increase in the proportion of women's products, and optimization of cost management. At the same time, the company emphasized that its e-commerce business has achieved profitability, no longer dragging down overall profit margins, and is expected to further increase efficiency through optimizing the distribution network to help achieve the 15% marginal profit target.

In response to changes in global tariffs, particularly the 30% increase in tariffs in China and 10% increase in other countries, the company anticipates an impact of 25 to 30 million US dollars on annual business and pressure on gross profit margins. To address this challenge, the company is reducing promotions, driving full-price sales, and leveraging new products to drive growth. At the same time, the company emphasizes the widespread distribution of its international business and multiple sources of product supply, indicating its competitive advantage in a globally uncertain environment.

Levi's management team stated that they are committed to achieving mid-single-digit sales growth in the medium term to steadily reach the goal of one billion in revenue. At the same time, they explained the changes in the annual SGNA (selling, general, and administrative expenses) trend, pointing out that due to organic revenue growth, SGNA was able to leverage on a yearly basis. The growth is primarily being invested in improving distribution efficiency, opening new stores, and upgrading ERP systems to support the company's transition to a more focused business model on PDC (Product Design and Development).

The brand has launched an enhanced loyalty program in the United States, hoping to drive business growth by increasing consumer loyalty and frequency. At the same time, the brand is also focusing on the inventory management of retailers in the wholesale business, actively collaborating with retail partners, especially in the European and American markets, introducing more lifestyle products and women's products to meet the new demands of the market.

The discussion mentioned the performance and strategies of the company in multiple aspects, including broad growth in performance, but weaker performance in the female and Asian markets. The company is undergoing changes and is cautious about future guidance, despite encouraging order situations. In addition, the discussion also touched on product lifecycle management strategies, emphasizing the enhancement of full-price sales and reduction of discounts through global product launches and operating teams. Furthermore, attention was also paid to wholesale and Asian markets, showing a deep analysis of regional market performance and strategic adjustments.

Levi's plans to deepen its market penetration in Asia, especially in India, Japan, and China, with an expected recovery in the Chinese market by 2026. The company emphasizes the balanced development of its men's and women's clothing businesses. The men's business continues to grow through innovations such as linen, denim, and loose-fitting styles, while the women's business shows stronger growth potential due to its lower market penetration rate. It has achieved nearly double the growth since 2019, but still needs to further develop to reach half of the total business volume.

The discussion focuses on whether the profit margin of goods has peaked, and the progress in improving retail and retail industry. It is believed that we may currently be only in the early stages, and with the improvement of retail skills, the profit margin of goods is expected to improve in the future.

The conversation discussed the growth drivers of the European business, mentioning the high single-digit growth of the wholesale business and expectations for mid to high single-digit growth in the future, in addition to adjusting distribution centers. The discussion emphasized the adaptability of products (such as responding to global warming) and the role of strong local teams in driving business growth, while also expressing a long-term positive outlook for the European market.
要点回答
Q:What were the financial results for Levi Strauss's second quarter fiscal 2025?
A:Levi Strauss reported strong financial results for its second quarter fiscal 2025, with broad-based revenue growth across channels and categories, and strong margin expansion. They exceeded expectations across sales, margins, and EPS. The company saw particularly strong performance in its women's and tops categories.
Q:What is the significance of the shift toward becoming a DTC first business?
A:The shift toward becoming a Direct to Consumer (DTC) first business is significant as it aligns with the company's transformation to a consumer-led, DTC-focused retailer. This includes progress in both brick and mortar and e-commerce channels, representing over half of the business and delivering consistent, healthy comparable sales alongside improving profitability.
Q:What recent business changes have been made by Levi Strauss to focus on the brand?
A:Levi Strauss has made recent strategic choices to focus more on its core brand by selling off its Dockers business and exiting its denizen and footwear businesses. This allows the company to concentrate its efforts and resources on strengthening the Levi's brand equity and category leadership.
Q:How is the Levi's brand positioned in the market and what are some recent marketing strategies?
A:The Levi's brand is positioned as a leading force in the apparel lifestyle market, continuing to resonate globally and grow with 9% overall increase. Marketing strategies include collaborations with influential figures like Beyonce, activations at major music festivals, and unique product drops through the House of Strauss network. These efforts underscore the brand's strength and its central role in culture.
Q:What is the Quiet Western trend and how is Levi Strauss capitalizing on it?
A:The Quiet Western trend involves a more subtle approach to Western themes, which Levi Strauss is capitalizing on by offering versatile and stylish pairings that complement its robust denim lifestyle assortment. This trend caters to consumers seeking balanced and understated Western-inspired fashion.
Q:What are the company's plans for future growth and product innovation?
A:For future growth, Levi Strauss has several initiatives in place, including new product innovations, exclusive collaborations, and marketing activities. They plan to continue expanding their assortment with fresh, on-trend offerings and will emphasize unique collaborations, new fits, and fabric innovations like a performance fabric for the iconic 501 jeans. The company expects these strategies to drive sales across genders and channels.
Q:What are the highlights of the new store openings?
A:The highlights of the new store openings include mainline locations in Nagoya, Japan, Seoul, Korea, and in the US in New Jersey. These stores have been designed to reflect the brand's enhanced denim lifestyle offering.
Q:How is the loyalty program contributing to consumer engagement?
A:The loyalty program is a key connection point to consumers, enabling more deliberate engagement with fans. It is using data and analytics to personalize product offerings and experiences, resulting in members purchasing more frequently and transacting at a higher average unit sale (AUR) than the rest of the consumer base, with close to 40 million members worldwide.
Q:What recent growth was reported in the international business, particularly in Europe?
A:The international business grew script in Q2, with a 15% growth in Europe. This growth was attributed to the strong and relevant presence of the Levi's brand, both in stores and with consumers, especially young shoppers, and the commitment and dedication of the team.
Q:What is the company's outlook for the future of the Beyond Yoga brand?
A:The company is encouraged by the strong comp performance in stores and plans to open six more Beyond Yoga locations, bringing the total store count to 14. The first Beyond Yoga location on the East Coast in Greenwich, Connecticut, has already exceeded expectations.
Q:What changes were announced regarding the Dockers brand?
A:The company announced a definitive agreement to sell the Dockers brand through Authentic Brands Group. The brand has been a leader in the global khaki category, and the company is confident that Authentic is well positioned to guide its next chapter.
Q:How is the financial performance described and what is the impact of the strategies mentioned?
A:The financial performance is described as having a continued inflection with broad-based strength across the company's segments, leading to a high growth rate, higher margin profile, stronger cash flows, higher returns on invested capital, and a higher percentage of DTC. The strategies have resulted in a company that is fundamentally becoming one with these improved characteristics.
Q:What are the results of the company's segment performance?
A:The results of the company's segment performance show net revenue growth of 9%, with continued strength across the P&L, and EBIT margins up to 10.9% year-to-date. The operating margins increased in all regions with the Americas up 90 basis points to 20.5%, Europe up 210 basis points to 17.2%, and Asia remaining flat with a 40 basis point improvement to last year's EBIT margins.
Q:What was the declared dividend and how much is planned to be returned to shareholders?
A:The dividend was declared to be increased by 8% to 14 cents per share, and the company plans to return at least 100 million from net proceeds of the Docker sale to shareholders in the form of share repurchases.
Q:What is the expected impact of tariffs on gross margin and how is the company planning to mitigate it?
A:The company estimates a gross impact of approximately 50 basis points to its gross margin for Ly before mitigation, which is expected to be reduced to about Rick basis points, headwind to a full year gross margin or roughly a script basis points impact in the second half. The key mitigation initiatives include promotion optimization, targeted pricing actions, and further supply chain diversification.
Q:How has the company's outlook for the full year and Q3 adjusted after the first half's performance?
A:The company is raising its top and bottom line guidance for the full year due to the upside in the first half of the year and continued strong execution. Full year expectations include organic net revenue growth of 4.5% to 5.5%, a reported net revenue growth of 1 to 2%, and a new full year gross margin expectation of up 80 basis points to prior year.
Q:What is the projected impact of currency fluctuations and the exit of the Denizen footwear business on the full year financials?
A:The guidance continues to assume a three point headwind from the exit of Denizen's footwear business and the 53rd week. Despite this, the company continues to expect gross margin expansion and SG&A rate around 50%, leading to an EBIT margin expansion and adjusted diluted EPS between 1 dollar 25 to a dollar 30.
Q:How is the company's quarterly guidance for organic net revenue and EBIT margin?
A:The quarterly organic net revenue from continuing operations is expected to be up 4 to 5%, and the adjusted EBIT margin is expected to be in the range of ed ed to ed ed. This is due to a flat to up trend in gross margin after incorporating the impact of tariffs, and the adjusted diluted EPS is expected to be in the range of 28 to 30 cents.
Q:What are the drivers behind the strength in demand and market share for the Levi's brand?
A:The demand strength is attributed to the company's pivot to become a DTC-first company, robust product execution, a pipeline of newness and freshness in fits, fabrics, and styles. The brand is gaining market share and is underpinned by a strong foundation of heritage and a commitment to meeting consumers where they are, culturally.
Q:What is the company's approach to improving gross margins?
A:The company's approach to improving gross margins includes a focus on higher performing categories like DDC, women's, and international, as well as a more robust pipeline that drives full price sales and reduces promotions. The company is also taking a hard look at productivity in assortments, exiting lower-turning SKUs, and aligning the product pipeline to support higher COGS over time.
Q:What is the company's performance in terms of same store sales?
A:The company has delivered 13 consecutive quarters of same store sales growth.
Q:What is the projected growth for the third quarter in wholesale organically?
A:The projected growth for the third quarter in wholesale organically is in the low to mid single digits.
Q:What are the expectations for the brand's growth over a two-year stack?
A:The brand is expected to grow organically by approximately 4 or 5% over the last year, which is in line with the projected growth for the third quarter.
Q:What marketing initiatives and partnerships are contributing to the brand's strength?
A:Marketing initiatives contributing to the brand's strength include collaborations with designers and influencers like Sakai and Beyonce, who is an ambassador for the brand.
Q:How is the company managing marketing expenses and pricing strategies?
A:The company is managing marketing expenses by adjusting the timing between quarters and focusing on value while maintaining volume growth. They are also broadening their assortment globally and continuing to refine their product offerings.
Q:What operational rigor is the company implementing and how is it affecting the business?
A:The company is operating with greater rigor and discipline, focusing on a DTC first mindset, agility in product introduction, and a globally directed assortment to improve efficiencies.
Q:How is the DTC business evolving and what are the expectations for its future?
A:The DTC business is seeing double-digit growth, with a reset in supply chain efficiencies and a focus on fresh product introductions. The business is not only improving in women's and men's apparel but is also seeing growth in top categories like denim and outerwear, signaling a transformation from a t-shirt business to a full top business.
Q:What factors are contributing to the improved EBIT margins in the DTC business?
A:Improved EBIT margins in the DTC business are being driven by revenue per square foot growth, increased product turnover, improved cost management, and the profitability of the e-commerce business. The pivot to DTC is also a significant factor in these improvements.
Q:How is the company managing the impact of tariffs?
A:The company is offsetting the impact of tariffs through various means, although specific actions are not detailed in the provided text.
Q:What is the expected mid-term growth rate for Levi's, and how does the company plan to achieve it?
A:The expected mid-term growth rate for Levi's is focused on achieving consistent mid-single-digit growth, which is a goal the executive team is concentrating on to reach the target of $5 billion over time.
Q:What factors have contributed to the company's SGA leverage year-to-date?
A:The factors contributing to SGA leverage year-to-date include leveraging distribution expenses, improving the company's focus as a PDC (Product Distribution Center) focused company, and planning to open 50 to 60 stores on a net basis.
Q:What is the anticipated contribution from the enhanced loyalty program in the back half of the year in the U.S.?
A:While specific expectations for the enhanced loyalty program's contribution to the back half of the year in the U.S. are not provided, it is mentioned that the program is showing encouraging trends with more loyal fans and higher frequency among those fans.
Q:How is the wholesale business responding to the lifestyle assortment, and what is the impact on inventory levels?
A:The wholesale business has generally responded positively to the lifestyle assortment, with some partners like Galler, Lafayette, and Orlandi leaning into lifestyle and women's categories. Inventory levels are described as good across channels.
Q:What is the outlook for the Asia business, and how does it compare with the performance in Europe?
A:The Asia business is expected to grow in the mid single digits and see expanding EBIT margins. The outlook for the Asia business is positive, while Europe is performing well with high single-digit growth in year-to-date sales and strong demand books for the fall season.
Q:How is the men's and women's business performing, and what is the company's strategy in these segments?
A:The men's business is performing strongly with a 6% growth, and the women's business is seeing significant outperformance, driven by the brand's strong resiliency and expansion potential, especially as it is still underpenetrated at only 38% of the business.
Q:Are merchandise margins considered peakish, and what is the company's view on this?
A:Merchandise margins are not considered peakish, and the company is in the early innings of improving them. As it becomes better at retail and retailing practices evolve, merchandise margins are expected to improve over time.
Q:What are the expectations for the Europe business excluding the impact of distribution center adjustments, and how does the company view its growth prospects?
A:Excluding the impact of distribution center adjustments, the Europe business is expected to grow in the mid to high single digits. The company sees a clear opportunity and a strong team on the ground in Europe, with well-received products and a solid pipeline. The company is long on Europe and believes there is significant opportunity for growth.

Levi Strauss & Co.
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