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英伟达公司(NVDA.US)2026财年第一季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Nvidia reports a 69% year-over-year increase in quarterly revenue, reaching $44 billion, driven by a 73% surge in data center revenue due to heightened demand for AI inference and factory buildouts. Despite a $4.5 billion charge from U.S. export controls on the H200 data center GPU, the company sees a rapid ramp-up of its Blackwell GPU, contributing to data center revenue. Nearly 100 Nvidia-powered AI factories are operational, with a significant increase in inference demand, particularly from reasoning AI models. Additionally, Nvidia is involved in major AI infrastructure projects globally, reflecting the growing importance of AI in national development strategies.
会议速览
NVIDIA's First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results Conference Call: Insights and Updates
The conference call discusses NVIDIA's financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, featuring remarks from the CEO and CFO. It highlights the company's performance, addresses forward-looking statements, and outlines the risks and uncertainties associated with future financial results. The call also mentions the availability of the webcast replay and provides guidance on non-GAAP financial measures.
NVIDIA's Strong Q1 Performance Amidst Export Controls and AI Factory Build Outs
Despite challenging operating conditions, NVIDIA delivered a strong quarter with a 69% year-over-year revenue increase to $44 billion. Data center revenue, particularly driven by AI factory build outs, surged 73% to $39 billion. The company faced a $4.5 billion charge due to new US export controls on its H20 data center GPU, impacting sales to the China market. NVIDIA's Blackwell GPU ramp contributed significantly to data center revenue growth, with major hyperscalers deploying thousands of units weekly. The company anticipates further growth in AI demand, driven by exponential increases in token generation by companies like OpenAI, Microsoft, and Google. NVIDIA is also witnessing a sharp increase in inference demand and developer engagements across various industries.
Lama Nemo Tra Family: Revolutionizing Enterprise AI with Enhanced Accuracy and Speed
Introduced is a family of open reasoning models, Lama Nemo Tra, designed to boost AI platforms for enterprises, offering significant improvements in accuracy and inference speed. These models, available as Nims or Nvidia inference microservices, are being leveraged by major companies including Accenture, Deloitte, and Microsoft to optimize and scale AI applications. Notable enhancements include a 40% increase in model accuracy and a 10x improvement in response time. Partnerships with Yum Brands and cybersecurity firms further demonstrate the models' versatility and impact across industries. Additionally, advancements in networking, such as the NV Link, are enabling more efficient scaling of AI workloads.
NVIDIA's Revolutionary Innovations and Growth in AI, Gaming, and Robotics Technologies as of May 2025
NVIDIA has experienced significant growth in revenue, particularly in AI and gaming sectors, with strong adoption across major CSPs and consumer internet companies. The introduction of advanced silicon photonics switches and continued innovation in PC, creator, and gaming technologies highlight the company's commitment to pushing the boundaries of AI, robotics, and automotive advancements. Additionally, partnerships with major automotive and technology companies underscore the widespread integration and future potential of NVIDIA's technologies.
2025 Q1 Financial Results and Q2 Outlook for a Global Technology Company
The company reported Q1 gross margins of 60.5% and 61% excluding a 4.5 billion charge, with non-GAAP gross margins at 71.3%. Operating expenses rose due to increased compensation and employee growth, alongside investments in infrastructure and AI solutions. Shareholder returns reached a record 14.3 billion in Q1. For Q2, total revenue is forecasted at 45 billion with modest growth across all platforms, expecting gross margins of 71.8% and 72% respectively. The company aims for mid-70s gross margins by the end of the year. Upcoming financial events include conferences in San Francisco, a virtual AI summit, and GTC Paris.
Navigating the Complex Interplay of AI Innovation, Export Controls, and Global Market Dynamics in 2025
Export restrictions have significantly impacted the AI market, particularly in China, leading to a multibillion-dollar inventory write-off and driving innovation and talent towards rivals. The dialogue highlights the unintended consequences of export controls on American platforms, emphasizing the importance of considering global AI talent and market dynamics in policy-making.
Surge in AI Inference Demand and Strategic Investments in American AI Manufacturing Leadership
The introduction of reasoning AI, like Deep Seqr, significantly increases inference demand due to its compute-intensive nature. This underscores the importance of open-source AI and reinforces American leadership in AI technology. Strategic investments in on-shore manufacturing, including partnerships for chip production and AI supercomputer construction, highlight a commitment to strengthening national security and creating jobs. Additionally, rescinding the AI diffusion rule promotes US AI tech with trusted partners, leading to historic investments in AI infrastructure projects globally. Countries are racing to build national AI platforms, recognizing AI as core to the next industrial revolution, driving a new growth engine for Nvidia.
Exploration of Inference Scaling and Demand for Reasoning Models in the Technology Sector as of May 29, 2025
The dialogue discusses the increasing demand for scaling up inference around reasoning models, highlighting the progress made over the past year and addressing the capacity to serve this demand. It also touches on the potential future needs for large-scale solutions in reasoning inference.
Revolutionizing AI Reasoning: The Introduction and Capabilities of Grace Blackwell NV Link 72
The Grace Blackwell NV Link 72 is highlighted as the optimal engine for reasoning AI due to its capability to generate significantly more tokens for complex problem-solving. It excels in tasks requiring deep thought, such as planning multiple paths to an answer, utilizing tools, and processing extensive data, thereby providing higher-quality responses at a much faster speed than previous models. Compared to Hopper, it boasts a 40 times higher speed and throughput, significantly reducing costs while enhancing response quality and service. This advancement necessitated a complete redesign of supercomputers, marking a major leap in AI technology.
Understanding the Impact of China on AI Spending and the Future of Digital Intelligence Infrastructure
The discussion highlights a significant $15 billion impact attributed to China, with ongoing headwinds affecting future quarters. Further, it explores the vast potential of AI spending, estimated to reach nearly a trillion dollars in the coming years, emphasizing AI's transformative role across industries and its infrastructure-like nature in producing digital intelligence essential for global markets. The conversation underscores the early stages of AI adoption and the milestone reached in reasoning and inference time scaling, positioning AI as a foundational technology for future development.
The Emergence of AI in Enterprise, Telco Infrastructure, and Manufacturing as of May 29, 2025
The dialogue highlights the integration of AI into various sectors, emphasizing the significant role of inference in compute workloads and the shift towards enterprise AI, particularly in the United States. Key points include the announcement of new AI servers and systems for on-premises use, the software-defined future of telco infrastructure, and the advent of AI-driven factories in manufacturing. The speaker also predicts the widespread adoption of AI in robotics and the automotive industry, marking the early stages of a comprehensive AI infrastructure build-out.
Global Expansion of AI Infrastructure: Massive GPU Cluster Investments and Future Announcements
There has been a significant increase in large GPU cluster investments, with announcements from regions like Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Oracle, and X AI. The speaker highlights ongoing orders and the expansion of the supply chain to meet the growing demand for AI infrastructure, emphasizing that every country and industry will require this infrastructure. They predict numerous future announcements regarding AI factory developments, likening the current phase to the early stages of essential infrastructure buildouts similar to electricity and the internet.
NVIDIA's Q2 Guidance and Growth Prospects Amid AI Demand Surge and Export Control Revisions
The company discusses its Q2 guidance, noting an unexpected increase in orders due to AI diffusion rule lifting and strong demand post-export controls. The conversation highlights the growth seen in various customer segments and the increasing supply needs, suggesting a positive outlook for sequential growth throughout the year.
Exponential Growth in AI Demand and Infrastructure Development as of May 2025
The dialogue highlights four significant positive surprises in the AI industry: the exponential increase in demand for reasoning AI, the rescinding of AI diffusion restrictions, the readiness of enterprise AI agents, and the emergence of industrial AI. These developments indicate a global awakening to AI's importance as infrastructure and the readiness of computing systems to integrate AI into enterprise and industrial settings.
NVIDIA's Challenges and Opportunities in the Chinese Market Amidst Export Control Restrictions
The company is currently unable to ship its latest products to China due to stringent export controls, which significantly impact its revenue in the market. While there's no approval yet for shipping modified versions, the company is considering options to serve the Chinese market within the new limits, emphasizing the need to understand these restrictions fully. No announcements are planned until discussions with the administration occur.
Insights into the Networking Business: Adoption of Ethernet Solutions and Network Attach Rates
The company discusses its networking platforms, emphasizing the scale-up platform nvlink and the Spectrum X for Ethernet. They highlight the complexity of scaling up and the adoption of Ethernet solutions by CSPs, along with trends in network attach rates.
Revolutionizing AI Clusters with Enhanced Ethernet: Spectrum X's Significant Impact
By integrating features like low latency and congestion control, Spectrum X significantly boosts Ethernet efficiency in AI computing clusters, increasing utilization from 50% to up to 90%, resulting in substantial cost savings. Two major cloud service providers recently adopted Spectrum X, marking a major success.
Blue Field: The Control Plane for High-Performance, Secure Networking and Multi-Tenant Clusters as of May 29, 2025
Blue Field serves as the control plane for networks, enhancing storage, security, and enabling high-performance, multi-tenant clusters. It's ideal for achieving isolation among users while maintaining bare metal performance. Four networking platforms are highlighted, all showing growth and success.
Embarking on a New Era of Growth: Grace Blackwell's Full Production and the Surging Demand for AI Services
A significant advancement marks the beginning of a powerful growth phase, with multiple growth engines in AI services generating revenue. AI is poised to outgrow previous technological shifts, powered by the capabilities to handle the full AI lifecycle, from model training to complex inference and reasoning at scale. Training demands are on the rise due to breakthroughs, while the need for compute for reasoning AI agents is exponentially increasing, setting the stage for scalable growth platforms.
Investments in AI Infrastructure by Sovereign Nations and the Transformation of IT Enterprises
Sovereign AI nations are significantly investing in AI infrastructure, paralleling the historical expansion of electricity and internet access. Major IT providers are integrating AI systems, such as those from RTX Pro, DGX, Nvidia Omniverse, and Isaac Group, into existing IT infrastructure both on-premises and in the cloud, modernizing the vast IT sector. This advancement marks the dawn of the AI age, encompassing AI infrastructure, enterprise AI, and industrial AI applications.
NVIDIA's GTC Paris Event: A Pioneer in Quantum GPU Computing and AI Factory Partnerships Across Europe
NVIDIA is set to host a significant event at GTC Paris, featuring a keynote on quantum GPU computing, robotic factories, and robots. The company will celebrate partnerships building AI factories across the region and embark on a tour through France, the UK, Germany, and Belgium. The event follows an earnings call, with the keynote scheduled for June 11 at Viva techcity.
要点回答
Q:How did the data center revenue grow in the first quarter?
A:Data center revenue grew by 73% year on year in the first quarter.
Q:What was the impact of new export controls on H20 sales?
A:New export controls on H20, a data center GPU designed for the China market, resulted in a $4.6 billion in revenue recognized in Q1 due to sales prior to the issuance of the new controls. However, there was also a $4.5 billion charge due to inventory and purchase obligations tied to orders received before the new controls, leading to an inability to ship an additional $2.5 billion in H20 revenue.
Q:What was the role of Blackwell GPUs in the data center revenue growth?
A:Blackwell GPUs contributed nearly 70% of data center compute revenue, driving a significant part of the year-over-year growth. The ramp of Blackwell was the fastest in the company's history, and it drove a 73% year-over-year increase in data center revenue.
Q:What are the features of GB 300 systems, and when are they expected to begin shipping?
A:GB 300 systems are based on the same architecture, physical footprint, electrical, and mechanical specifications as GB 200. They are expected to leverage a 50% increase in HBM and deliver another 50% increase in dense FP4 inference compute performance compared to GB 200. Production shipments of GB 300 systems are expected to start later in the current quarter.
Q:How is the demand for inference serving models evolving according to Nvidia?
A:There is a sharp jump in inference demand, with entities like OpenAI, Microsoft, and Google experiencing a step-function leap in token generation. For example, Microsoft processed over 100 trillion tokens in Q1, showing an increase of 5 folds over the previous year. Nvidia is enabling this growth with products like H200 and GB200.
Q:What is Nvidia's commitment regarding product cadence and customer planning cycles?
A:Nvidia remains committed to its annual product cadence with a roadmap extending through 2028, which is aligned with the multiple-year planning cycles of its customers.
Q:How are AI factory deployments scaling, and what industries are adopting them?
A:AI factory deployments are scaling rapidly, with nearly 100 Nvidia-powered AI factories in operation this quarter, representing a two-fold increase year over year. The average number of GPUs per factory also doubled. AI factories are being adopted across various industries and geographies, with strategic projects in sectors such as telecommunications, financial services, and technology. The transition to AI agents capable of a broad range of tasks is anticipated to transform every industry, company, and country.
Q:What are the performance enhancements of Lama Nemo Tra models and who are the companies that are using them?
A:Lama Nemo Tra models have seen post-training enhancements resulting in a 20% accuracy boost and a 5x increase in inference speed. Companies like Accenture, Cadence, Deloitte, and Microsoft are transforming work with these reasoning models.
Q:What industries are using Nvidia Nemo microservices, and what improvements have been observed?
A:Nvidia Nemo microservices are generally available across industries and have been leveraged by leading enterprises such as Nemo, which increased model accuracy by 40% and improved response time by 10x in its code Assistant, and Nasdaq, which saw a 30% improvement in accuracy and response time in its AI platforms and search capabilities.
Q:How has the shift to networking affected revenue and what are the key features of the new networking solutions?
A:Networking sequential growth resumed in Q1 with a revenue increase of 64% quarter over quarter to 5 billion. The world's fastest switch, Nvlink, was created for efficient scaling of AI factory workloads. The fifth generation of Nvidia's Compute Fabric offers 14x the bandwidth of Pcie Gen 5, with nvlink now enabling semi-custom Ccus and accelerators to connect directly to the Nvidia platform.
Q:What is the impact of AI on PC and creator revenue, and which new products have been launched?
A:AI is transforming PC and creator revenue with a 100 million user installed base for GeForce, representing the largest footprint for PC developers. This quarter, AI PC laptop offerings were expanded, including models capable of running Microsoft's Copilot. The G force RTX 50 60 and 50 60 Ti systems, starting at $299, have been launched to mainstream gaming.
Q:How is Nvidia's technology being utilized in robotics and autonomous systems?
A:Nvidia's technology is transforming robotics and autonomous systems with the launch of Isaac Group, the world's first open, fully customizable foundation model for humanoid robots, and new Nvidia Cosmo World Foundation models. This is being utilized by companies like Agility Robotics, Boston Dynamics, and XP Robotics for advancing humanoid efforts, GE Healthcare for healthcare simulation, and for developing robotic imaging and surgery systems.
Q:What is the outlook for future financial performance and capital returns?
A:For the rest of the fiscal year, the company plans to continue investing in expanding its infrastructure capabilities and AI solutions. In Q1, a record 14.3 billion was returned to shareholders through share repurchases and cash dividends, and the capital return program remains a key element of the company's capital allocation strategy.
Q:What is the expected total revenue for the second quarter?
A:The expected total revenue for the second quarter is 45 billion, with a possible fluctuation of plus or minus 2%.
Q:What are the expected GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates for the second quarter?
A:The expected GAAP tax rate is 16.5%, and the non-GAAP tax rate is also expected to be 16.5%, with a possible fluctuation of plus or minus 1% excluding any discrete items.
Q:What events is the company scheduled to attend in the upcoming months?
A:The company is scheduled to attend the B of A Global Technology Conference in San Francisco on June 4, the Rosenbluth Virtual AI Summit and Nasdaq Investor Conference in London on June 10, and GTC Paris at Viva Tech on June 11 in Paris.
Q:What is the impact of export controls on the Hopper data center business in China?
A:The H-20 export ban has ended the Hopper data center business in China, effectively closing the $50 billion China market to the company's industry. The company cannot reduce Hopper further to comply with the export ban and is taking a multi-billion dollar write-off on inventory that cannot be sold or repurposed.
Q:How does the company view the global AI market excluding the US?
A:The company views the global AI market excluding the US as continuing to progress with or without American chips. It emphasizes that the question is whether the world's largest AI market will run on American platforms, which is increasingly unlikely as China progresses with its own AI capabilities.
Q:What role does the US play in the global AI development ecosystem?
A:The US plays a critical role in the global AI development ecosystem by being the preferred platform for open source AI, with models like DeepSea and Qn gaining traction across the US, Europe, and beyond. Open source models trained and optimized on US platforms drive usage feedback and continuous improvement, reinforcing American leadership across the AI stack.
Q:What are President Trump's policies on AI and semiconductor manufacturing?
A:President Trump's policies include a vision for advanced manufacturing in the US, job creation, and national security strengthening. TSMC is building factories in Arizona to make chips for Nvidia, with process qualification underway and volume production expected by year-end. The administration also announced historic investments and AI infrastructure projects in foreign countries.
Q:How significant is the inference business and the demand for N Bell 72 rack scale solutions for reasoning inference?
A:The inference business is significant, and there is a substantial demand for N Bell 72 rack scale solutions for reasoning inference going forward. The company aims to serve most of this demand.
Q:What are the primary benefits of Grace Blackwell for reasoning AI?
A:Grace Blackwell benefits reasoning AI by generating tokens at a rate 100 to 1000 times higher than a one shot chatbot, allowing it to think step by step, consider multiple paths to an answer, use tools, and produce smarter results the longer it thinks.
Q:How does Grace Blackwell compare to Hopper in terms of performance?
A:Grace Blackwell is approximately 40 times faster and has higher throughput compared to Hopper.
Q:What major changes were required to build Grace Blackwell?
A:To build Grace Blackwell, the entire way that supercomputers are constructed had to be reinvented and redesigned.
Q:What impact did the shortage have on the company's revenue in Q1 and Q2?
A:Due to the shortage, the company's Q1 revenue should have been $7 billion instead of the reported $4.6 billion. Q2 is expected to see a significant decrease in China data center revenue, with a reduction in planned orders, impacting the amount of inventory and purchase commitments.
Q:How is the company addressing the market's inability to serve in China due to AI technology restrictions?
A:The company recognizes that AI is needed in every country and industry, and while it cannot serve the中国市场 with current products, the long-term assessment of the TAM (total addressable market) in China is close to $50 billion.
Q:In which sectors is AI expected to have significant infrastructure requirements?
A:AI is expected to require infrastructure in every country and industry, as it is anticipated to transform all industries, from software to healthcare to financial services and retail.
Q:What are the key milestones in AI adoption and inference scaling?
A:The adoption of AI technology is in its early stages and a new era of inference has been reached where inference is a significant part of the compute workload. The company is building the new infrastructure in the cloud, starting in the United States, with plans to expand to on-premises solutions as well.
Q:What new products and strategies are being implemented to advance AI in the enterprise?
A:New products such as the RTX Pro Enterprise AI server and the DGX Spark and DGX Station are being announced for on-premises use. The company is also moving AI into the enterprise, with strategies such as software-defined 6G infrastructure and AI factories that create and operate AI for the factories themselves.
Q:What are the expected developments in the AI infrastructure across different sectors like telcos and manufacturing?
A:The future of telco infrastructure will be software-defined and built on AI, with 6G being built on AI. Additionally, every factory will be an AI factory, driving the creation and operation of AI for the factory and the products made there.
Q:How are large GPU cluster investment announcements by other companies affecting the company's lead times and current order visibility?
A:There have been many large GPU cluster investment announcements by various companies, and while the company has more orders than before, it is also expanding its supply chain, which is keeping it busy for several years. With numerous AI factories being planned and announced, the company is continuing to build and fulfill orders related to AI infrastructure.
Q:What is the significance of electricity and the internet in various industries?
A:Electricity and the internet are considered essential infrastructure that impact every industry, country, and society.
Q:Why are factories needed for the production of intelligence?
A:Factories are necessary for producing sophisticated intelligence, similar to how energy infrastructure requires factories.
Q:What breakthrough has been made with reasoning AI and super agents?
A:A significant breakthrough has been the development of reasoning AI and the advent of super agents that can use various tools and collaborate with other agents to solve problems.
Q:What impact did the AI diffusion rule's rescission have on business expectations?
A:The rescission of the AI diffusion rule is seen as a positive surprise that will likely lead to increased demand for AI technology and contribute to business growth.
Q:What is the role of enterprise AI agents and the RTX Pro Enterprise server?
A:Enterprise AI agents are quite successful and the RTX Pro Enterprise server is a computing system designed to run enterprise IT stacks with integrated AI capabilities, marking the readiness of enterprise AI to take off.
Q:How is the industrial AI sector expected to grow due to global changes?
A:The industrial AI sector is poised to grow due to regions onshoring manufacturing and building plants, creating a demand for AI in factories and necessitating the training of vast amounts of data.
Q:Can Hopper's products be shipped into China, and when?
A:The president's plan includes new export controls, which have effectively made it impossible to further reduce Hopper's functionality for productive use. The limits on Hopper have reached a point where it's necessary to understand them and explore alternative products to serve the Chinese market.
Q:What is the impact of Hopper's reduced functionality on the company's business in China?
A:The reduced functionality of Hopper due to new export limits impacts the ability to ship products into China and may affect quarterly run rates. The company is working on coming up with interesting products that could continue to serve the Chinese market, pending a resolution of the export restrictions.
Q:How many networking platforms does the company have, and what are they used for?
A:The company has four networking platforms: a scale-up platform called nvlink, Infiniband, Spectrum X, and Bluefield. These platforms are used for different purposes such as scaling computing capacity, supporting AI workloads with low latency, improving Ethernet utilization in clusters, and providing control plane solutions for storage and security.
Q:What are the key features and benefits of the company's Ethernet solutions?
A:The company's Ethernet solutions have been enhanced with features like extremely low latency, congestion control, and adaptive routing to serve AI workloads more effectively. These improvements significantly increase the utilization of Ethernet in clusters, from 50% to as high as 85% to 90%, which can be a substantial financial benefit for large clusters.
Q:Which major cloud service providers (CSPs) have adopted the company's Ethernet solutions?
A:The speaker hints that the company has added two very significant CSPs to the adoption of their Ethernet solutions, but the specific names of these CSPs are not provided.
Q:What is blue field, and what is its purpose?
A:Blue field is the company's control plane solution, ideal for environments that require high performance and isolation among users, such as multi-tenant clusters. It is used for storage, security, and achieving performance akin to bare metal in these scenarios.
Q:What are the prospects of the company's networking platforms?
A:The company is proud of its networking platforms and reports that they are all growing and performing well, which represents a powerful new wave of growth.
Q:What are the upcoming events related to Nvidia's GTC and other AI initiatives?
A:Nvidia has announced several upcoming events related to GTC Paris, including a keynote at Viva Techcity, a tour of France, the UK, Germany, and Belgium, and the general availability of AI infrastructure solutions like DGX systems for modernizing IT infrastructure. The company is actively involved in building AI factories across the region and promoting its partnerships.
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