天齐锂业 (09696.HK) 2026智通财经夏季路演大会
文章语言:
简
繁
EN
Share
Minutes
原文
会议摘要
Tianqi Lithium's performance increased significantly in the first quarter, thanks to the development of the new energy industry and the increase in the average sales price of lithium products, as well as the substantial increase in the performance of SQM, a shareholding company. The company plans to raise funds through H-share placement and convertible bond issuance to support strategic development in the lithium sector, including project development, capital expenditure and acquisition of high-quality lithium mining assets. Research on key materials for the next generation of high-performance lithium batteries is being laid out, and the production cost of lithium sulfide has dropped to 60% of the industry average. In the future, we will adhere to the coordinated development of domestic and foreign resources, diversify the layout, promote the development of lithium resources to match the construction of production capacity, and realize long-term shareholder value. The lithium industry is expected to be in tight balance in 2026, with demand continuing to grow, but there are periodic disturbances on the supply side and dynamic price adjustments.
会议速览
Tianqi Lithium Industry will hold a roadshow. It plans to use 7 to 8 minutes to brief the 2025 annual performance and the first quarter of 2026, and then enter the investor question-and-answer session to exchange the company's dynamics and market strategies with investors.
In the first quarter of 2026, the company's revenue and net profit increased significantly, mainly due to the development of the new energy industry and the increase in downstream demand, and the increase in the average sales price of lithium products. Greenbush lithium resources and production capacity have been increased, and the chemical-grade lithium gold project is progressing smoothly. The company's research and development investment continued, lithium sulfide and ultra-thin metal lithium technology breakthrough, brand influence increased. Through H-share placement and convertible bond issuance, HK $5.8 billion was raised to support the strategic development of the lithium sector. In the future, we will adhere to the coordinated development of domestic and foreign resources, diversify the layout, optimize the construction of production capacity, and promote the development of resources in an orderly manner in combination with market demand.
Last year, the output of the lithium gold mine was 130 to 1.4 million tons, and this year it is expected to increase its production capacity by 300000 tons, thanks to the design capacity of the CGP3 plant of 520000 tons. The plant is expected to reach 80% capacity by the end of the first half of the year, full production by the end of the year, and annual capacity utilization rate of about 60%. Australian partner IGO lowered its production guidance for fiscal 2026 due to fiscal year differences, but CGP3 capacity climbing in the first half of the year is still in its early stages.
The impact of the increase in diesel prices on the cost of Tellyson is discussed, and it is pointed out that the impact is small, the cost per ton increases by about 10-22 yuan, and the impact has been basically eliminated. Emphasize that rising oil prices promote the development of new energy, which is beneficial to demand. It is mentioned that the cost in 2026 may increase due to the impact of pit mining and categories, but Telison's cost per ton is still competitive, with a cost of about A $500 per ton in the first quarter.
The profitability of the lithium salt plant is discussed, and it is pointed out that the processing fee is relatively stable, but the price fluctuation of lithium gold ore is the key to affect the profit. Due to the gradual marketization of the transfer price of lithium gold, coupled with processing costs, the gross margin of lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide is not high. Domestic factory lithium carbonate inventory is low, while lithium hydroxide inventory is slightly higher, large production volume, inventory turnover is fast.
Industry analysis to maintain the 2026 lithium carbonate market supply and demand tight balance judgment, demand growth optimistic, energy storage sector performance exceeded expectations, the supply side by a variety of factors. The overall forecast for this year's demand is 2.15 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, supply 2 million tons, peers are also optimistic about the future supply and demand pattern.
Discussed the company's resource acquisition plan for this year, emphasized the importance of upstream high-quality lithium resource mergers and acquisitions, as well as the development strategy to technology transformation, and pointed out that the industry's profits mainly come from upstream mineral resources.
Based on the first quarter production schedule of the CGP3 project, Telison management lowered its calendar year production forecast, but remained optimistic about fiscal year production, with 80% capacity expected to reach mid-year and full production by the end of the year. The project has been transferred from the construction team to the operation team and is gradually entering the capacity climb phase.
The impact of the change of equity ratio, the increase of mining quota and the extension of the term on the investment project is discussed, emphasizing that the degree of impact varies in different time periods, the overall assessment does not find signs of impairment, and the stock price fluctuation is mentioned as one of the reference indicators.
The ownership structure of S subject is discussed, including the ratio of Class A shares to Class B shares, and the relationship between the number of Class A shares held and board seats. It is pointed out that Class A shares are illiquid and not easy to sell in the secondary market, and holding more than 37.5 per cent of Class A shares has no additional gain on board seats. It plans to sell no more than 1.25 percent of the shares without affecting the control of the board.
Discussed the increase in downstream cathode material capacity, limited customer acceptance of prices in the 15-200000 range, many orders without discounts, open market quotations affecting pricing, some orders can be negotiated, and the overall exchange ended amicably.
要点回答
Q:How does Tianqi Lithium raise funds and plan their use? What are Tianqi Lithium's plans for diversified layout and future project planning?
A:In February 2026, the company obtained a net proceeds of approximately HK $5.8 billion through the H-share placement and convertible bond issuance, which is mainly used to support the company's strategic development in the lithium resources field, including project development, capital expenditures, and high-quality lithium mining assets. Acquisition. The remainder will be used to supplement the company's working capital and general corporate purposes. Chengdu Tianqi, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the company, signed an agreement with a professional investment institution to jointly fund the establishment of Anhui Yingshan Tianqi Double Star Equity Investment Partnership, which intends to invest in new materials, new energy and related fields. In the future, the company will adhere to the strategy of coordinated development and diversified layout of domestic and foreign resources, match the development of lithium resources and capacity construction, and promote the pace of resource development in an orderly manner in combination with market demand and industry cycle, while considering the long-term value of shareholders, and steadily promote the layout of projects with both strategic and commercial value at the right time.
Q:What is Tianqi Lithium's performance in the first quarter of 2026?
A:In the first quarter of 2026, Tianqi Lithium achieved total operating income of 5.128 billion yuan, net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies of 1.876 billion yuan, and net profit after deduction of non-profit was 1.816 billion yuan. Net cash flow from operating activities was 0.262 billion yuan, with basic earnings per share of 0.12 yuan per share. The substantial increase in performance was mainly due to multiple favorable factors such as the continuous development of the new energy industry, the growth of downstream demand, and the increase in the average sales price of the company's lithium products.
Q:What are the changes in resources and capacity of the Greenbush project in Tianqi Lithium?
A:Greenbush lithium ore resources have been increased to 18 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, with reserves of about 8.2 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent. The production capacity of the built lithium gold mine has increased from 1.62 million tons to 2.14 million tons per year. In addition, the No. 3 plant of the chemical-grade lithium gold mine was completed on December 18, 2025, and the first batch of products that meet the standards will be produced on January 30, 2026. It is planned to complete the capacity ramp this year.
Q:What is the progress of Tianqi Lithium Industry in the production capacity and market layout of lithium chemical products?
A:The completed production capacity of lithium chemical products has been increased from 91600 tons to 121600 tons, of which the 30000-ton lithium hydroxide project in Zhangjiagang, Jiangsu, was completed and put into production on July 30, 2025. The company has reduced the production cost of lithium sulfide products through process innovation, and has implemented a substantial landing project with an annual output of 50 tons of lithium sulfide. At the same time, the company broke through the high specific energy ultra-thin metal lithium preparation technology, enhance the added value of the industrial chain.
Q:What achievements has the company made in the capital market and brand building?
A:Tianqi Lithium Brand was added as a registered brand of lithium carbonate futures by GAC in January 2026, becoming the first company in China to have both the qualification and registered brand of lithium carbonate futures. This not only enhances the willingness of institutional investors to trade, but also enhances the market recognition and brand influence of the company's products.
Q:How has the recent increase in diesel prices affected the price and cost of lithium?
A:Higher diesel prices have two effects on the cost of lithium. On the one hand, the increase in oil prices will promote the development of new energy sources and replace traditional energy sources, which will have a positive impact on demand; on the other hand, the cost of Australian Telison on the supply side will be affected to a certain extent, but due to the large output of Telison, the cost per ton will increase Relatively small, about 10-200000 Australian dollars/ton. At present, due to the loosening of strait control, this impact is no longer significant.
Q:In addition to the cost of diesel, what other factors will affect the cost of Taining Province?
A:In addition to the cost of diesel, the cost of Taining this year will also be affected by the grade of ore. The higher grade pit was originally expected to be mined in the first half of this year, but the cost has increased due to the lack of transition to the pit. However, even so, the cost of a single ton of lithium in Taining Province in the first quarter was still around 500 Australian dollars, which is still competitive compared with other mines.
Q:What are the key factors for lithium salt plants to make money?
A:The key to whether a lithium salt plant makes money is the market price of the lithium gold mine, not the processing fee. Although processing fees are relatively stable, price fluctuations in lithium gold mines can affect overall profits. In particular, in the case of a holding subsidiary that provides a lithium gold mine but has only a partial indirect economic interest, the transfer price of a lithium gold mine is adjusted to fair market prices and takes into account discounts for large customers, which ultimately affects taxes and profits.
Q:What is the current lithium inventory situation in domestic factories?
A:At present, the lithium carbonate stocks in several domestic factories are between 200 and 400 tons, while the lithium hydroxide stocks in Shehong and Suzhou factories total 1000 or 2000 tons. Since each plant has a high daily output, the inventory level of 300 or 400 tons is low relative to a week's output. The Quinana plant has a certain inventory of lithium hydroxide due to its climbing capacity and its products are mainly lithium hydroxide, but lithium carbonate is basically out of stock.
Q:What is the company's judgment on the entire industry in 2026?
A:Our company's industry group has maintained a tight balance since the second half of last year, based on optimism about 2026 demand, with momentum growth continuing to grow, although not as expected, and energy storage growth exceeding expectations. At the end of last year, energy storage was expected to grow by 30% this year, and the actual performance was better. Therefore, the figure was slightly revised up, and the average annual compound growth rate of energy storage demand in the next few years is expected to reach 24% to 25%.
Q:What are the company's specific forecasts for demand and supply this year and in the coming years?
A:Under the neutral and optimistic situation, the demand is expected to reach 2.15 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent this year, with a lower limit of about 1.95 million tons. On the supply side, considering the recent promulgation of the Mineral Resources Law, the situation in Jiangxi mining towns and the resumption and expansion plans of some Australian mines, the overall supply this year is estimated to be around 2 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, which is still in a tight balance.
Q:How do peers and other related companies view the future market?
A:Peers said in an investor exchange note on May 20 that they not only think this year is a tight balance, but also expect it to be the same next year. In addition, data disclosed by peers such as SKM through annual reports and investor exchange meetings also show optimism, and foreign companies such as Yabao are more optimistic about future demand growth than we are.
Q:What new acquisition plans does the company have in terms of resources?
A:This year, the company is carrying out new mergers and acquisitions in terms of resources. In February, the company explained the purpose of raising funds during the placement of Hong Kong stocks and the issuance of CB. It mainly follows the established development strategy, I .e. consolidating the upstream, strengthening the midstream, penetrating the downstream and transforming into technology, especially the merger and acquisition of high-quality lithium resources.
Q:What does the company think about the IGO production cut?
A:IGO is not cutting production based on its expectations and the small nature of its main business. The IGO shares capacity, cost and production planning related to dislikes in its periodic reports. In the first quarter of this year, IGO did make some downward adjustments because the CGP3 project was not putting into production as expected, but this was not a reduction in production, but an adjustment based on the actual production ramp. Telison management believes that there will be no reduction in production guidelines this year and expects that as the CDP3 project moves from construction to normal production, the capacity climb problem will be gradually resolved and full production will be reached in the second half of this year.
Q:What is the current status of the partnership agreement between codec o and s cream in Chile? What is the impact of the partnership agreement on the shareholding structure and business operations?
A:At present, the partnership agreement between Chile's codec o company and s cream has come into effect, and they have officially issued the relevant announcement. According to the agreement, retroactive provisions in partnership agreements will be considered from 2025. In terms of shareholding structure, SKM introduced a shareholder (Mouth Bag Company) at the subsidiary level, resulting in a 50% shareholding in the originally wholly-owned Atkama Salt Lake business. However, the impact at the actual operational level is more complex and is analyzed in two stages before 2030 and after 2031.
Q:How will the mining quota situation change after 2031? What will be the quota compensation mechanism before and after 2030?
A:For the mining quota from 2031 to 2060, due to the addition of new shareholders and the introduction of quotas that were not originally available, the term was extended and the total quota increased significantly, with an average annual quota of 440000 tons, more than double the previous increase. Until 2030, the company will compensate its partners a certain amount of compensation each year to make up for the dilution of the equity ratio, which is about 30000 tons. After 2031, despite the new quota allocation, the overall impact on the company is relatively small due to the extension of the term and the increase of the total quota.
Q:How do companies consider these factors when conducting impairment tests?
A:In doing the impairment test, the Company has taken into account all relevant factors such as changes in equity ratios and extensions of mining quotas. Based on this, it is believed that this investment is not impaired at the time of the annual reports in 2024 and 2025.
Q:What is the impact of stock price volatility on investment decisions?
A:Although the impairment test is more about future earnings than the stock price, the stock price has some reference value as a market bellwether. At present, although the price of HQM stock fluctuates, it is not the main basis for the company to do impairment testing.
Q:What about the sale of S subject equity?
A:The company has previously sold some Class B shares and currently holds 43.8 per cent of Class A shares, accounting for 21.9 per cent of the total share capital. Class A shares have seven board seats, while Class B shares have only one. The company is within the control of the board of directors and plans to sell no more than 3 million shares (about 1.25 per cent) of Class A shares, but the transaction has not yet been completed due to the illiquidity and low turnover rate of Class A shares.
Q:What is the acceptance of the current lithium price and order situation by downstream customers?
A:Downstream customers have a better scheduling situation, and there will be new positive material capacity in the second half of the year. In terms of price, customers do not stock up in large quantities, but are price sensitive. At present, most orders have been confirmed, the pricing basically follows the open market quotation, and most orders do not give discounts. Customers will actively pick up the goods when the market price is reasonable, but will hesitate to the price is too high.

TIANQI LITHIUM
Follow





