百果园集团 (02411.HK) 2026智通财经夏季路演大会
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会议摘要
By reconstructing the single-store model, technology application and supply chain opening, Baoguoyuan has improved its store operating capacity and turned from a loss to a micro-profit in 2025. The single-store return cycle is about 26 months, with annual sales of 2 million and a net interest rate of 5%. The company optimizes product structure, reduces costs, enhances brand potential, and enhances customer experience through community operations, theme stores and refined services. In the future, 100 orchards will deepen AI applications, explore new forms of fruit snacks, strengthen food safety, in order to expand market opportunities.
会议速览
By adjusting the single-store model and technology applications, the company will realize the transformation from loss to profit in 2025. The number of stores will change from net decrease to expansion. Although the revenue will decline with the decline of store size, the gross profit and gross profit rate are on the rise, and the net profit will realize micro profit, which is expected to continue to improve in 2026.
Baoguoyuan stores are all over the country. Although the number has decreased slightly, the number of registered members has reached more than 90 million and WeChat community is active. The company adjusted the layout of stores, focusing on the expansion below the third-tier cities, optimizing the single-store model, the introduction of passenger flow and gross margin product strategy, improve the quality of operation. Non-fresh fruit category sales increased by 13% year-on-year, and deepened the scene layout and service iteration, such as theme store building, fine service and after-sales service upgrade, to meet diversified consumer demand.
Fruit brands deeply cultivate the community ecology, improve sales and inventory management through pre-sale solitaire, strengthen food safety promotion, upgrade gift business, pay attention to small festivals, provide one-click gift giving and return service, and increase the proportion of gift sales to 14%.
Baoguoyuan in QC and QB side of the depth of the layout, through the supply chain opening and government-enterprise cooperation to improve performance. At the same time, the company is committed to creating 53 category brands, in-depth source to improve product quality and output, and promote the innovation and development of the fruit industry.
In the face of huge store size and complex operating scenarios, technology has become the core of change. The new generation of cash register system reduces hardware costs, improves stability and compatibility, and AI intelligent ordering system predicts demand based on sales data, inventory and weather, greatly reducing order time. The AI store operation diagnosis system analyzes the short board of operation in real time and guides the improvement strategy. Fruit knowledge big model systematic professional knowledge, support staff training and sales. Comprehensive system building from site selection to member operation, annual research and development costs of more than 0.1 billion, high proportion of science and technology investment, self-research ERP and other systems to meet specific needs.
This paper expounds the measures of food safety management in Baiguoyuan, including the training and punishment mechanism for franchisees, as well as the strategy of fully opening the supply chain to build a fruit retail ecosystem, aiming at seizing the unlimited space of the industry and realizing the goal of ubiquitous products by expanding the scale of stores, reducing costs and increasing efficiency by applying AI technology and deeply cultivating the national supply chain.
Discussed the company's subsidiary funding 0.25 billion to develop the fruit and snack business, officially enter the discount retail industry, as well as the layout strategy of the emerging snack industry, including cooperation with regional channels, store model attempts and supply chain advantages.
The dialogue discussed the difference between the profit sources of the group and the single store, pointing out that the group's profit mainly comes from the difference in the price of goods, while the profit of the single store needs to be calculated after deducting the cost of rent, labor and so on. At the same time, it is clear that the current profit model is a supply chain model rather than a platform model, emphasizing the difference between group and store-side data and the calculation of gross and net profit margins.
The dialogue focused on the transformation of the supply chain model to the platform model, discussed the revenue calculation method, tax inspection response and the adjustment of the company's profit strategy, and emphasized the tax treatment of the collection and payment model and the construction of future profit model.
The dialogue revolves around the loss management of single-store operations and the return cycle. In terms of loss, the loss from the place of origin to the warehouse is borne by the supplier, while the store loss needs to be handled by itself, including discounted sales, employee purchases or gifts. The return cycle averages 26 months and is based on a model of 23-250000 store opening costs and annual sales 2 million. Monthly reconciliation and settlement, after deducting costs, return profits to franchisees.
要点回答
Q:What is the company's financial performance in 2025 and how will the number of stores change?
A:In 2025, the company's financial performance has improved significantly. First, we have experienced a restructuring of the company over the past two years to respond to market changes, especially in the first half of 2024, with a net reduction in the number of stores and a total of more than 1600 stores closed. But by the second half of 2025, we managed to achieve a net increase in the number of stores, adding 22 new stores. This turning point is mainly due to the company's reconstruction of the single-store model and the in-depth adjustment of the ability to improve store management through the fine management of technology applications.
Q:What is the company's revenue situation? Why pay more attention to store profit model building rather than scale expansion?
A:As the size of its stores shrank, the company's revenue declined. However, we pay more attention to the construction of store profit model, rather than simply pursuing scale expansion. Consumer market demand changed significantly during the outbreak, so we positioned ourselves as a high-quality, cost-effective fruit expert and leader, and adjusted our products and services to this positioning. After adjustment, the national average number of visitors and gross profit achieved a net increase, and the store operating conditions are healthier.
Q:What is the company's gross profit, gross profit margin and net profit?
A:With the optimization of the company's product structure, gross profit and gross margin showed a month-on-month upward trend. In the second half of 2025, the gross profit reached 0.38 billion and the gross profit margin reached 10 percentage points. It is expected that there is still room for improvement in 2026. In terms of net profit, the company suffered a 4.4 billion loss in 2024, but achieved a micro-profit in the second half of 2025, thanks to the increase in gross profit brought about by product restructuring and the orderly reduction of expenses. The core factor of cost saving is the company's continuous investment and achievement transformation in science and technology since 2019, especially in ordering, operation management, staff training and other aspects, which effectively saves labor costs and lays a good foundation for the company's long-term development.
Q:What is the current store layout and server data of Baoguoyuan?
A:Baicuo Orchard currently has more than 4,000 stores in 22 provinces and more than 170 cities across the country. It has declined compared to 2022, but this trend has changed. The number of registered members exceeds 90 million, and the number of WeChat communities has also increased greatly. In terms of store layout, the distribution of first-and second-tier cities and third-and fourth-tier cities is relatively balanced. New stores opened in the second half of 2025 are mainly concentrated in third-tier cities and below. Despite a slight decline in average daily sales per store, average daily visitors and average daily gross profit remained in the mid-single digits. According to the change of price sensitivity in the consumer market, the company divides fruit products into passenger goods and gross profit products, and supports differentiated pricing and marketing strategies to improve the quality of store operation.
Q:What innovative initiatives does Baoguoyuan have on the product side and the service side?
A:At the product end, Baiguoyuan focused on creating non-fresh fruit products and gift box products, of which non-fresh category sales increased by about 13% year-on-year. In terms of store scene layout and service, stores are constantly upgrading and building theme stores. For example, different theme scenes are introduced according to different season and solar term. At the same time, refined services are further developed, such as innovative products such as grapefruit cups, which are convenient for consumers to carry and eat. After-sales service is also upgraded in an all-round way, and customers can realize one-click refund within seven days on the small program. In addition, the company attaches great importance to the ecological construction of the community. The number of WeChat communities has reached more than 10 million, and the average sales of community user stores account for more than 6%. It also enhances the stickiness of users through activities such as pre-sale and dragon-connection through the community.
Q:What are the benefits of pre-sales to store operations?
A:Pre-sale can effectively manage inventory, adjust the order quantity of the next day according to the pre-sale situation of the previous day, and avoid the problem of unsalable fruit.
Q:How do you improve the publicity and control of food safety? What new upgrades and services do you have for the gift business?
A:We conduct food safety advocacy in the community, including the correct consumption of fruits, cleaning, cutting methods and traceability information sharing, and work with suppliers to ensure food safety at the source. We not only launch personalized fruit gift-giving service on big festivals, but also pay attention to small festivals and realize one-button gift-giving function. Customers can select gift boxes through small programs and deliver them directly to the home of the gift-receiving person, while providing convenient return service.
Q:How do you solve the fruit quality problem of consumer feedback?
A:We have launched a key acceptance function, consumers can directly communicate with us about quality or type problems, and the production department will respond in a timely manner. This increased the proportion of gift sales to 14%.
Q:In the B- side business, what are the layout and achievements of Baoguoyuan?
A:In addition to our investment in QC channels, we have also done a lot of work in QB, with a revenue of more than 1 billion yuan. We mainly face government and enterprise customers and Internet enterprises, provide solutions for specific scenarios, and cooperate with trade unions and banks to drive the growth of store passenger flow.
Q:What is the strategy of Baoguoyuan in category brand building?
A:At present, Baiguoyuan has 53 categories of brands, such as red ballet strawberries, soft fragrant jade, etc., and through specific trademarks and bases to build. When encountering yield and quality problems, it will adjust the category brand plan, introduce varieties from the source, guide agricultural technology and post-natal preservation technology, and improve quality and yield.
Q:What role does technology play in the operation of Hundred Orchard?
A:Facing the huge store scale and complex operation scenarios, Baoguoyuan actively embraces cutting-edge technologies such as AI, introduces a new generation of cash register system to reduce costs, improve system stability and compatibility, and uses AI to identify fresh products, thus improving the accuracy of cash register, reducing the manpower burden of stores and promoting the overall operation efficiency.
Q:How can Baiguoyuan use AI intelligent ordering system to help franchisees improve ordering efficiency?
A:The AI intelligent ordering system launched by Baiguoyuan can provide intelligent order suggestions for franchisees based on historical sales data, inventory system, weather conditions and promotional activities. After receiving the order pushed by the system, the franchisee can complete the order work the next day by simply increasing or decreasing, greatly shortening the original order time of more than one hour, and now it only takes more than ten minutes or even a few seconds.
Q:What role does the AI store operation diagnosis system play in store management?
A:The AI store operation diagnosis system uses advanced data analysis capabilities to automatically scan and identify the shortcomings and blind spots in each store operation, and give targeted improvement strategies in real time. In the past, it was necessary to check the store operation data manually on a regular basis, but now the system sends out key information tips every day, paying attention to the store inventory, passenger flow, etc., which helps enterprises to understand and solve the problems of each store in a timely manner and lays the foundation for large-scale development.
Q:How does the large model of fruit knowledge help Baoguoyuan to improve the professional skills of its employees?
A:The fruit knowledge model integrates the professional knowledge, quality control and preservation methods and sales skills accumulated by 100 orchards for more than 20 years to form a reusable and inheritable core digital asset. This measure not only helps employees master the characteristics of different fruits more efficiently, but also provides professional support in the sales process, solves consumer questions, and reduces the pressure on store employees to remember many varieties.
Q:What is the situation of the investment in science and technology in the orchard?
A:Baoguoyuan invests more than 0.1 billion yuan in research and development of science and technology every year, which is mainly used for the construction and optimization of ERP system, WMS, WTS and other self-owned systems, because the use experience of standard systems in the market is not friendly. Since 2016, Baoguoyuan has set up its own science and technology team, which is committed to the research and development of its own system to realize the fine management of the whole link.
Q:What is the social responsibility of the orchard?
A:As a green agricultural product enterprise, Baicuo Orchard bears social responsibility, connects farmers and citizens, and pays special attention to food safety. For food safety issues, Baiguoyuan adopts strict management measures, trains and educates illegal franchisees, guides the resumption of trading, and may take management measures such as punishment or even cancellation of processing qualifications to ensure the provision of safe fruit products.
Q:What are the plans for Baoguoyuan to expand its stores and strengthen information management?
A:The strategic layout of Baiguoyuan first focuses on optimizing the store model and shortening the return cycle of franchisees; secondly, strengthening the application of AI and AM technology to reduce costs and improve operational efficiency; finally, Baiguoyuan fully opens its supply chain, aiming to build a fruit retail ecosystem with the market and jointly promote industry innovation and development.
Q:Does the company's 0.25 billion funding of its subsidiary to develop its fruit snack business mean that the company is officially entering the discount retail industry?
A:Yes, the company does have some layout in this area recently. In early 2025, we worked with some regional channels to set up some subsidiaries to jointly build a snack and fruit format, hoping to empower these snack stores through fruit, and not just stay at the fruit level, but hope to expand the scope of the business.
Q:How does the company view the new business form of emerging snacks and what is the corresponding layout?
A:We have noticed that fresh snacks are a very hot format, and major retailers are trying to enter. Although fresh snack shops are usually large in scale and have higher unit prices, this market opportunity does exist and can meet the needs of some young people. As a fruit supply chain enterprise, we regard them as an important sales channel and maintain close contact. We may try to combine fruits with fresh snacks with short shelf life, such as baked goods and marinated products, in some CBD stores or street stores, if the franchisee wishes to cooperate, but this will be adjusted according to the characteristics of the business circle.
Q:What is the difference between a company's source of profit and a single store's source of profit?
A:At the group level, profits mainly come from the difference in the price of fruit sales to franchisees, I .e. 90% of the revenue comes from this, while profits are revenue minus labor costs, research and development costs, etc. At the single store level, the gross profit margin is about 30%, and the profit is the balance after deducting rent, labor and utilities. At present, the net interest rate of a single store is about 5%.
Q:Does the publicized data refer to the data of the supply chain or the data of the terminal store?
A:The published data are all group data, that is, supply chain data. The consumption data of terminal stores needs to be calculated by adding about 30% to the group data.
Q:Is the company's profit model a supply chain model or a platform model?
A:At present, our profit model is mainly the supply chain model, from the retail side is the supply chain model. We are gradually shifting to a platform model, in which QC-side revenue may gradually decrease, while to-B-side platform revenue will gradually increase.
Q:Who is paid when consumers buy fruit?
A:The money paid by the consumer's order will go directly to our group's account, and then we will settle the monthly settlement to the franchisee. Therefore, this money is not counted as our revenue, but is processed on a collection and payment basis.
Q:In the process of inspection, as the store is currently a small store type, it has not yet reached the standard, but after the payment data penetration found that the group's income is relatively high, can you specify it?
A:Yes, actually through payment data penetration analysis, our group's revenue is actually 20% to 30% higher than the current store display data. This is because the data has already penetrated the calculation, and at present, through the clearing model, the tax department does not think that our collection and payment model needs to be penetrated, which is a common situation in the retail industry.
Q:If investors still have questions, how should they operate?
A:Investors can raise their hands if they are in doubt.
Q:How is the company losing money since 2025? Is it expected to break even this year?
A:The company has indeed lost money since 2025, but in the first half of this year (January-April) it has achieved a micro-profit state and has not lost money from the group side. For the full year, the guidance is expected to be flat and stop falling to profit, although the exact amount of profit is not yet certain.
Q:This year the company's focus is on building a new profit model, specifically in what areas?
A:This year, the focus is on adjusting the franchise model. It is estimated that more than 200 new stores will be added, with a relatively limited scale. With the strategy of stopping giving stores and consumers too much profit subsidies and returning to normal levels, revenues and profits will gradually pick up as stores expand and same-store stability.
Q:The first question is about how to manage the loss of single-store products? The second question is about how long is the return time of single-store franchisees? The third question is how to manage single-store franchisees? How long is the return period of single-store?
A:First of all, for loss management, Baiguan has done a relatively good job in fresh loss control, and the loss rate of the whole link is about 5 points. Losses include the process from the origin to the warehouse and then to the store, where the loss from the origin to the warehouse is borne by the supplier, while the store bears the loss (about 3-4 points) after receiving the goods. The causes of loss will be analyzed and processed through the return policy and loss reporting process. At present, the average return cycle of a single store is about two years. The specific calculation is based on the national average cost of a single store of about 23-250000, annual sales of about 2 million, and net interest rate of about 5%, so it can be returned in about 26 months.
Q:What is the specific treatment for loss?
A:If it is found that the product is not fresh enough, the store can choose to sell it at a discount or sell it, but it is not allowed to smash it into a fruit plate. In addition, the store is required to handle the remaining fruits after the customer purchases them, such as reducing the price or giving away to employees and customers, but the store is not allowed to provide processing services such as juicing.
Q:What is the cooperation mode with the platform?
A:We adopt a monthly settlement model, automatically allocate goods to the platform every day, automatically reconcile and settle accounts at the end of the month, and return the remaining money to the platform after deducting the cost of the product. The platform is responsible for paying rent and labor.

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