AI热度不减,港股科技布局窗口已至?
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会议摘要
Experts and analysts discussed the characteristics of the Hong Kong Stock Technology 30ETF, sharing fixed investment, core plus satellite configuration and grid trading strategies, emphasizing the choice of appropriate methods according to risk appetite. Focus on the Hong Kong stock technology sector, analyze the growth potential of Internet giants and AI sectors, point out the investment value in the context of global valuation depressions, and recommend investors to grasp long-term opportunities in the light of market trends.
会议速览
Looking back at last week's market, both the Shanghai Composite Index and the Shenzhen Composite Index fell, but the market's trading activity increased. The main line of science and technology growth is concerned, Hong Kong stock technology in line with this trend, the AI industry structural changes are obvious. There are also opportunities for non-bank financial and pro-cyclical products, such as low-valued high-demand industries such as real estate and building materials.
The dialogue discussed the recent changes in the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, noting that despite the cooling of the labor market and the stabilization of the unemployment rate, inflation is still above target, affecting the decision to cut interest rates. In the long term, there is ample room for the Fed to cut interest rates, but the time may be delayed, with the market expecting two rate cuts in 2026. The resilience of the U.S. economy is apparent, but the growth dividend is biased towards high-income groups, exacerbating income inequality and requiring policy regulation. Consumer confidence fell to its lowest level since 2014, reflecting household concerns about the future economy and signaling possible non-market intervention policies that have a transmission effect on capital markets.
The CES2026 focuses on the upgrading of AI computing power, the popularization of intelligent hardware and the intelligent competition of automobiles, and shows the cutting-edge technologies such as AIPC, AI glasses and robots, which indicates the deep integration of AI in the intelligent travel ecology. International organizations are optimistic about China's science and technology assets and predict that the market growth engine in 2026 will be realized by advanced manufacturing and AI.
The dialogue discussed the development of the Hong Kong stock technology sector, pointing out that AI investment drives profit improvement, technology giants shift from traffic competition to ecological capability competition, cloud business accelerates growth, advertising efficiency improves, ecological entrance reconstruction, and overall shows a double-rise trend of profit and valuation.
This paper discusses the future trend of Hong Kong stock technology sector in the field of AI computing power and semiconductor chips, and points out that although Hong Kong stock has lagged behind before, in view of the integration of global AI industry chain and the strong performance of domestic AI, it is expected that Hong Kong stock technology sector, especially AI computing power and semiconductor chip manufacturing, will have the opportunity to make up for growth in 2026. The industry is expected to accelerate its independent and controllable pace and improve the imbalance between supply and demand. The overall growth trend is promising.
With the migration of AI technology from upstream computing power to downstream applications, Hong Kong stock technology enterprises are facing new opportunities, especially in the field of short video production and AI cloud platform construction, AI technology to improve video quality, reduce the threshold of creation, optimize community governance, accelerate IP realization, and bring subscription revenue growth.
Since December, technology companies have cooperated with mobile phone manufacturers to launch AI mobile phones, which are equipped with large models of bean bag AI and realize system-level housekeeping functions, such as ordering takeout and booking air tickets. Although facing the ecological challenges of the existing mobile Internet, they are obviously innovative. In addition, the concert introduced robot dance, showing the robot's precise card points and difficult movements, indicating that technological progress is expected to surpass humans. Hong Kong stock technology companies benefit from technology resonance, robot manufacturing research and development business ushered in growth space.
2026 as the first year of physical planning, the 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizes the key development of AI, advanced manufacturing, quantum computing and other fields, especially the accelerated commercialization of AI intelligence and multi-modal applications, which is expected to promote the Hong Kong stock technology sector to directly benefit from the policy dividend. The advancement of the digital China and network power strategy, as well as the U.S. technology blockade against China to exacerbate the logic of domestic substitution, have significantly enhanced the strategic position of Hong Kong-based hard technology companies. The key areas such as AI computing power, new energy and semiconductors mentioned in the 15th Five-Year Plan are widely distributed in the Hong Kong stock technology sector, indicating that the sector will usher in more policy support and market opportunities.
The dialogue discussed in depth the valuation advantages of the Hong Kong stock technology sector and its investment potential, pointing out that the Hang Seng Technology Index has a low PE value, with a margin of safety and room for repair. The continued injection of southbound funds has further enhanced the investment value of the Hong Kong stock market. The Hong Kong Stock Technology 30ETF(513160) under Yinhua Fund focuses on the AI industry chain, covering core areas such as semiconductors and cloud services, with a high proportion of leading stocks, which is an efficient tool for laying out technology self-reliance and AI commercialization.
The dialogue discussed in depth the investment strategy of the Hong Kong Stock Technology 30ETF, focusing on the three advantages of fixed investment: diversifying the risk of market volatility, lowering the investment threshold, and overcoming human weaknesses. In addition, a core plus satellite allocation strategy is proposed to balance risk and return by combining core asset bottoming with satellite asset enhancement. Grid trading strategies have also been mentioned, with the flexibility to take advantage of swing opportunities through market volatility to buy low and sell high. Investors should combine their own risk tolerance, choose the appropriate investment methods, in order to achieve a multiplier effect.
要点回答
Q:How was the market last week?
A:Last week, the market showed a trend of rising and then falling, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.44 per cent, the Shenzhen Composite Index down 1.62 per cent and the GEM index down 0.09 per cent. The average daily turnover of the two cities increased to 3063 billion yuan. The industries that performed better were petroleum and petrochemical, communications, coal and non-ferrous metals. Among them, non-ferrous metals rose higher before Thursday, but there was a correction on Friday.
Q:What are the important data performance at the domestic macro level?
A:January's PMI data show that the manufacturing supply and demand index has fallen, the market constitutes a relatively negative information. The marginal slowdown in the growth rate of general budget revenue and the improvement in spending intensity in December led to an increase in the gap in the fiscal dimension.
Q:Any suggestions for the current industry configuration?
A:As the economy stabilizes and the demand for social asset management increases, the prices of sub-leaders and heavyweights in the technology and non-technology sectors are expected to improve. The main line of technology growth is a key part of the market, and the technology sector of Hong Kong stocks is more in line with this main line. In addition, the non-bank financial sector due to deposit moving and wealth management demand growth and opportunities, pro-cyclical products such as real estate, building materials, steel, non-ferrous, chemicals, etc. due to low valuations, tight supply and demand and price opportunities.
Q:What are the key data indicators for the Fed's future rate cut decision?
A:At its January meeting, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, in line with market expectations. In the job market, the unemployment rate has fallen steadily, in line with the natural unemployment rate trend, easing the Fed's concerns about the deterioration of employment; inflation has slowed but is still above the 2% target, the impact of commodity inflation is likely to peak in the middle of the year, and service inflation is declining. As a result, the Fed believes there is no need to cut interest rates at this time, but in the long run, it has plenty of room to cut interest rates, with two rates expected in 2026, with the first rate cut likely to be postponed to the second quarter.
Q:Has the recent growth in the U.S. economy made income more evenly distributed? What is the problem reflected in the decline in consumer confidence?
A:The U.S. economy is growing more tenacious on the surface, but in reality, the dividends from economic growth are more concentrated in high-income groups, resulting in an income structure that benefits more from those at the top of the pyramid. Middle-income people still face varying degrees of affordable pressure. Therefore, the problems of the US economy need to be gradually solved through interest rate regulation. The newly released January consumer confidence index hit the lowest level since 2014, indicating that American households are worried about the future economic outlook. This reveals that even with economic growth, if the problem of unequal income distribution cannot be effectively solved, it will be difficult to achieve sustainable economic growth and social stability.
Q:What are the highlights of CES this year?
A:As the "Spring Festival Gala" in the field of science and technology, CES held a major event focusing on the AI industry chain in Las Vegas this year. Key trends include a comprehensive upgrade of AI computing bases, accelerated popularization of AI and intelligent hardware, and increasingly competitive automotive intelligence. The AI has been deeply integrated into the smart travel ecology, from the chip to the vehicle host plant, all fields have AI-enabled new results show.
Q:What is CES's view of the current AI application market?
A:The CES meeting revealed that AI-centric system-level technological change has become a key observation window for AI application landing, from basic support to AI simulation training to real-world deployment. International mainstream institutions continue to pay more attention to China's technology assets, predicting that China's real GDP growth in 2026 may be higher than market expectations, and A- shares and Hong Kong stocks are bullish. Among them, advanced manufacturing and independent core technology are the main growth engines, and the pace of China's AI realization is also in a leading position.
Q:What are the main industry lines of concern in the Hong Kong stock technology sector?
A:In the Hong Kong stock technology sector, the three quarterly reports of leading Internet companies show that after experiencing intensified market competition and increased investment, irrational competition in some businesses such as the takeaway market has reached its peak. With the market adjustment and profitability improvement, the Internet leader is expected to gradually get out of the predicament, showing better growth space and supporting the future performance of the index.
Q:In terms of the Internet giants' investment in AI, how has their capital expenditure in the AI sector changed?
A:The investment of Internet giants in the field of AI is gradually increasing, and the capital expenditure in 2025 will increase significantly, especially in the fields of AI large model training and intelligent computing center, which directly drives the demand of the upstream industry chain.
Q:What is the current competitive landscape among tech giants?
A:Tech giants are experiencing a shift from traffic competition to ecological capability competition. The development of AI has prompted them to no longer just compete for user traffic, but to gain an advantage by building their own ecosystems. For example, the cloud business due to the accelerated development of AI demand, the profit margin is relatively stable, advertising, AI empowerment is more customized, click-through rate is expected to increase by 15% to 20%, while the ecological entrance is also due to the AI of intelligent body and face reconstruction.
Q:What are the specific impacts of AI on cloud business, advertising and ecological portals?
A:In the cloud business, AI drives domestic and foreign technology giants to accelerate revenue growth and maintain stable profit margins, especially Hong Kong stock cloud manufacturers in the AI investment period did not face too much cost pressure, and now can also use the generation AI to achieve cost reduction and efficiency and bring additional benefits. In the advertising field, the AI assists in advertising cover design, scene adaptation and user conversion attribution to improve the realization effect. In terms of ecological entry, mainstream technology platforms introduce AI assistants to enhance ecological value and then tap commercial value.
Q:What will be the subsequent trend of the Hong Kong stock technology sector?
A:Although Hong Kong stocks were once stagnant in AI development, the AI industrial chain evolved synchronously around the world, and the overall performance of the Hong Kong stock market was not bad after the third quarter. With the theme of the AI expected to continue to receive attention in 2026, as well as the acceleration of the independent and controllable pace of domestic computing power and the arrival of the turning point in the industry, the Hong Kong stock technology sector, especially the leaders in semiconductor chip manufacturing and AI computing power, is expected to welcome the opportunity to make up for the increase, and with the gradual landing of AI applications, the whole sector will show a good growth trend.
Q:What do you think about which categories will gain?
A:We think short video is one of the beneficiary categories. AI-produced videos are increasing in short video applications, even reaching the level of fake and real, which will have a significant impact on video content creation and may bring multiple enablement such as subscription revenue and lower creative threshold.
Q:What is the performance of AI technology in hardware terminal applications? How is the application of AI robots in the entertainment field?
A:Cross-border cooperation between AI technology and mobile phone manufacturers, such as the development of AI mobile phones at the operating system level, can realize convenient functions such as ordering takeout, booking air tickets and price comparison shopping, etc., forming a system-level housekeeping function. Although it may have an impact on the existing mobile Internet ecology, it has innovatively demonstrated the application potential of AI digital housekeeping. An Internet company cooperated with a number of hardware manufacturers to pre-install AIGC plug-ins for mobile phones to obtain user access. At the same time, a concert introduced humanoid robots to accompany the dance for the first time, demonstrating the robot's precise click rhythm and ability to complete difficult movements in the performance, indicating that the robot's limb potential is expected to surpass that of human beings.
Q:Will the Hong Kong stock technology sector usher in more policy benefits?
A:According to the 14th Five-Year Plan proposal, AI intelligence, multi-modal applications and other cutting-edge technologies to accelerate the commercialization of landing, Hong Kong stock technology as the core gathering place of domestic AI, will directly benefit from the policy dividend, especially in the AI computing power, new energy, semiconductors and other fields, the strategic position of leading enterprises is more significant.
Q:What is the current price/performance ratio of the Hong Kong stock technology sector?
A:Hong Kong stock technology sector is currently in the global valuation depression, the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology PE value is lower than other major indices, and the technology index is usually higher valuation, so Hang Seng Technology has a higher margin of safety and valuation repair space. In the context of the continued repair of fundamentals and the injection of funds from the south, the investment cost performance of Hong Kong stock technology stocks is highlighted.
Q:What are the noteworthy features of the index tracked by Yinhua Fund's Hong Kong Technology 30 etf?
A:The Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect China Technology Index is compiled by Hang Seng Company, which is characterized by better liquidity of all constituent stocks within the scope of the Hong Kong Stock Connect, and emphasizes investment in the more representative of China's technology. The index industry distribution, AI-related weight is high, covering the semiconductor equipment, cloud services, smart terminals and other AI of the whole industry chain, leading a high proportion and has a good investment advantage.
Q:What is the concentration of individual stocks in the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect China Technology Index?
A:The upper limit of the index's weight on a single stock is adjusted to 12%, and the top five constituent stocks can account for about 60%, with a high concentration of leading stocks overall.
Q:How should investors choose the right investment approach for medium to high flexibility industry and thematic ETFs?
A:Investors can seize opportunities through fixed investment, a long-term investment method, which has the advantages of diversifying the risk of market volatility, diluting the overall investment cost, lowering the investment threshold and overcoming human weaknesses to avoid emotional operations.
Q:What are the specific advantages of fixed investment? For investors who want to invest in Hong Kong stock technology 30 etf, in addition to fixed investment, what are the appropriate investment strategies?
A:The advantages of fixed investment are: first, it can disperse the risk of market fluctuation and dilute the investment cost; second, it lowers the investment threshold, which is suitable for ordinary investors to participate; third, it overcomes the weakness of human nature and reduces the loss caused by irrational decision-making. Investors can choose a "core satellite" allocation strategy based on market conditions, or use an ETF grid trading strategy. When bullish on a market sector or industry theme trend, the use of core asset bottoming, satellite asset enhancement portfolio model; in the sector market volatility, through the volatility of the grid trading to obtain income.
Q:How to allocate core and satellite assets according to individual risk tolerance?
A:Steady investors can increase the proportion of core assets, while aggressive investors can appropriately reduce the proportion of core assets and increase the proportion of satellite assets. The core part can be invested in broad-based index products such as A50ETF or A500 etf, while the satellite part can be configured with more flexible industry-themed products such as technology Hong Kong 30 etf, CRE artificial intelligence etf, and brokerage ETF to balance the risk-return ratio of the portfolio.

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